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Brighton vs Crystal Palace Result & Analysis

Date: 03/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 4-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
54%
25%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Referee: S Hooper

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
54.2%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.72
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.81
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 5.17
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L21W11D10W02L11D42W00D00D04LA·CHE03/12H·BRE06/12H·BUR09/12H·MAR14/12A·ARS17/12A·CRY21/12H·TOT28/12A·WES02/01H·WOL22/01A·LUT30/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.501.871.201.471.80
vs Stronger (4)1.001.751.501.500.502.00
vs Similar (24)1.751.381.751.171.751.58
vs Weaker (2)2.002.504.001.000.004.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L11D02L12L22D11D12L31W05L32WA·LUT25/11A·WES03/12H·BOU06/12H·LIV09/12A·MAN16/12H·BRI21/12A·CHE27/12H·BRE30/12A·ARS20/01H·SHE30/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.501.401.331.001.67
vs Stronger (5)0.802.400.501.501.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.291.291.541.311.001.27
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
@ 2.01+6.0%
Under 2.5
46.2%
@ 1.84-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
Brighton goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
01234
07.0%5.0%3.1%1.1%0.3%
19.5%12%5.7%1.9%0.5%
29.5%9.8%5.1%1.7%0.5%
35.7%5.9%3.0%1.0%0.3%
42.6%2.7%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Brighton is 0.03 points worse than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Brighton is 0.05 goals worse than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Brighton is 0.11 goals worse than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Brighton is 17.9 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (60% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 4.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

130478227613110291738511102134112101013A·LUTH·WOLA·WESH·TOTA·CRYA·ARSH·MARH·BURH·BREA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

902214132253143431544515747449A·LUTH·WOLA·WESH·TOTA·CRYA·ARSH·MARH·BURH·BREA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

29014131013641861112911151458108121627231024232029131828A·LUTH·WOLA·WESH·TOTA·CRYA·ARSH·MARH·BURH·BREA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

130111767434311665393254121311747111259H·SHEA·ARSH·BREA·CHEH·BRIA·MANH·LIVH·BOUA·WESA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

8014123521162132165015728427H·SHEA·ARSH·BREA·CHEH·BRIA·MANH·LIVH·BOUA·WESA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

34081812814101613121191217171017717121526202429232134272427H·SHEA·ARSH·BREA·CHEH·BRIA·MANH·LIVH·BOUA·WESA·LUT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.310.18.44.84.84.823.223.622.8
vs Stronger (6)7.57.77.33.73.34.025.327.323.3
vs Similar (42)9.410.38.55.05.05.022.823.122.5
vs Weaker (2)12.013.011.04.04.04.025.023.027.0
% over line50%56%44%70%68%72%56%68%44%
% under line50%44%56%30%32%28%44%32%56%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.09.74.34.24.424.124.423.7
vs Stronger (9)10.09.010.84.25.83.025.127.823.0
vs Similar (40)9.810.29.44.23.94.623.823.823.8
vs Weaker (1)9.0-9.07.0-7.027.0-27.0
% over line48%54%42%62%58%65%66%75%58%
% under line52%46%58%38%42%35%34%25%42%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.6
Bournemouth
11.5
Tottenham
11.2
Newcastle
10.9
Liverpool
10.5
Luton
10.5
Everton
10.4
West Ham
10.3
Sheffield United
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Chelsea
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Brentford
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.8
Burnley
9.8
Arsenal
9.7
Manchester City
9.6
Brighton
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Aston Villa
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Newcastle
4.6
Sheffield United
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.3
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Manchester City
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Everton
3.9
Luton
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Bournemouth
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
West Ham
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Chelsea
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Tottenham
24.1
Crystal Palace
24.1
Aston Villa
24.0
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
23.0
Luton
22.8
Liverpool
22.2
Fulham
21.9
Everton
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Brentford
21.5
Bournemouth
21.0
Burnley
21.0
Sheffield United
20.7
Arsenal
20.6
Manchester United
20.6
Manchester City
20.5
West Ham
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.4%
Under 9.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L00D00D01L20W00D00D03LA·CHE03/12H·BRE06/12H·BUR09/12H·MAR14/12A·ARS17/12A·CRY21/12H·TOT28/12A·WES02/01H·WOL22/01A·LUT30/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.800.600.471.13
vs Stronger (4)0.501.251.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.750.750.500.581.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.000.000.003.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D01L10W11D21W02L22DA·LUT25/11A·WES03/12H·BOU06/12H·LIV09/12A·MAN16/12H·BRI21/12A·CHE27/12H·BRE30/12A·ARS20/01H·SHE30/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.670.530.270.80
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (24)0.540.670.770.620.270.73
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W10W02L10W22D00D00D01LA·CHE03/12H·BRE06/12H·BUR09/12H·MAR14/12A·ARS17/12A·CRY21/12H·TOT28/12A·WES02/01H·WOL22/01A·LUT30/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.070.601.000.67
vs Stronger (4)0.500.500.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)1.080.621.000.671.170.58
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W01L12L21W01L01L10W03L10WA·LUT25/11A·WES03/12H·BOU06/12H·LIV09/12A·MAN16/12H·BRI21/12A·CHE27/12H·BRE30/12A·ARS20/01H·SHE30/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.730.800.730.87
vs Stronger (5)0.601.600.501.500.671.67
vs Similar (24)0.750.620.770.690.730.55
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls78.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Olise42%
Jean-Philippe Mateta34%
Eberechi Eze33%
Odsonne Édouard20%
Jordan Ayew11%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Tyrick Mitchell5%
Joachim Andersen5%
Chris Richards4%
Jefferson Lerma4%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Daniel Muñoz0%
Will Hughes0%
James Tomkins0%
Joel Ward0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Adam Wharton0%
David Ozoh0%
Matheus França0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jefferson Lerma29%
Daniel Muñoz25%
Jordan Ayew23%
Will Hughes20%
Joachim Andersen18%
Cheick Doucouré18%
Tyrick Mitchell16%
Joel Ward15%
Naouirou Ahamada15%
Odsonne Édouard13%
Adam Wharton12%
Chris Richards12%
Dean Henderson11%
Eberechi Eze11%
David Ozoh11%
Matheus França10%
Jean-Philippe Mateta9%
Marc Guéhi8%
Sam Johnstone5%
Jeffrey Schlupp3%
James Tomkins0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Michael Olise0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise26%
Jordan Ayew20%
Daniel Muñoz19%
Adam Wharton19%
Eberechi Eze15%
Jean-Philippe Mateta11%
Matheus França10%
Tyrick Mitchell8%
Joachim Andersen8%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Marc Guéhi4%
Joel Ward4%
Chris Richards4%
Jefferson Lerma4%
Will Hughes3%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
James Tomkins0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
David Ozoh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Olise37%
Eberechi Eze30%
Jean-Philippe Mateta14%
Jefferson Lerma11%
Odsonne Édouard10%
Jordan Ayew9%
Joachim Andersen0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Daniel Muñoz0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
James Tomkins0%
Joel Ward0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Adam Wharton0%
David Ozoh0%
Matheus França0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Brighton's squad is €115m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€620m vs €505m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Brighton's attack is €39m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€190m vs €229m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Brighton's midfield is €87m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€180m vs €93m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Brighton's defence is €66m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€249m vs €182m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
BHA wins
5
Draws
1
CRY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Crystal Palace · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
15/03/23HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-0
11/02/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
14/01/22HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-1
27/09/21ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
22/02/21HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-2
18/10/20ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/24ALuton Vs BHA4-0
22/01/24HBHA Vs Wolves0-0
02/01/24AWest Ham Vs BHA0-0
28/12/23HBHA Vs Tottenham4-2
21/12/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
17/12/23AArsenal Vs BHA2-0
14/12/23HBHA Vs Marseille1-0
09/12/23HBHA Vs Burnley1-1
06/12/23HBHA Vs Brentford2-1
03/12/23AChelsea Vs BHA3-2

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/24HCRY Vs Sheffield United3-2
20/01/24AArsenal Vs CRY5-0
30/12/23HCRY Vs Brentford3-1
27/12/23AChelsea Vs CRY2-1
21/12/23HCRY Vs Brighton1-1
16/12/23AManchester City Vs CRY2-2
09/12/23HCRY Vs Liverpool1-2
06/12/23HCRY Vs Bournemouth0-2
03/12/23AWest Ham Vs CRY1-1
25/11/23ALuton Vs CRY2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDL1.66
HomeWDWWD1.96
AwayLLDDL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals3.263.163.36
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.842.041.64
Conceded1.421.121.72
BTTS66%60%72%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.2810.128.44
Cards4.804.804.80
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.12
HomeLLDWW1.25
AwayLDDLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.502.382.62
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.441.291.58
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners9.8410.049.65
Cards4.284.174.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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