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Brighton vs Crystal Palace Result & Analysis

Date: 15/12/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-3
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
49%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Referee: M Oliver

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✗ Miss
48.8%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.90
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.69
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.05
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W22D23L12L21W21W11D13L22DH·TOT06/10A·NEW19/10H·WOL26/10H·LIV30/10A·LIV02/11H·MAN09/11A·BOU23/11H·SOU29/11A·FUL05/12A·LEI08/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.471.471.231.54
vs Stronger (7)1.002.291.002.751.001.67
vs Similar (22)1.361.321.421.171.301.50
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W21W22D02L22D11D10W22DH·LIV05/10A·NOT21/10H·TOT27/10A·AST30/10A·WOL02/11H·FUL09/11A·AST23/11H·NEW30/11A·IPS03/12H·MAN07/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.201.931.131.271.27
vs Stronger (5)1.201.601.332.331.000.50
vs Similar (23)1.701.132.180.821.251.42
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.79-0.8%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 2.06+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
Brighton goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
01234
07.3%5.8%3.9%1.5%0.4%
19.1%13%6.5%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.6%5.4%2.0%0.6%
34.7%5.3%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.0%2.2%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Brighton is 0.21 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Brighton is 0.39 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Brighton is 0.21 goals worse than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Brighton is 10.0 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (53% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 4.4 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

1705565767471096494728101113741715131110A·LEIA·FULH·SOUA·BOUH·MANA·LIVH·WOLA·NEWH·TOTA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

60212224323311332222233465626445A·LEIA·FULH·SOUA·BOUH·MANA·LIVH·WOLA·NEWH·TOTA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

3601098720161013121018101210911141081119153623222822202419A·LEIA·FULH·SOUA·BOUH·MANA·LIVH·WOLA·NEWH·TOTA·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

For 5.4 · Against 6.9 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

170687489110186388663885141117119916121113H·MANA·IPSH·NEWA·ASTH·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·NOTH·LIVA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

80114233232121443242122665338563H·MANA·IPSH·NEWA·ASTH·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·NOTH·LIVA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

2804101314121111101011971612129715111314272321211628212224H·MANA·IPSH·NEWA·ASTH·FULA·WOLH·TOTA·NOTH·LIVA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.810.14.54.54.522.423.921.1
vs Stronger (8)11.09.012.53.92.85.022.120.723.2
vs Similar (40)9.79.99.64.85.14.422.324.420.4
vs Weaker (2)11.0-11.02.00.04.027.0-27.0
% over line66%64%68%68%72%64%64%82%48%
% under line34%36%32%32%28%36%36%18%52%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.610.53.94.13.623.023.322.6
vs Stronger (10)10.311.09.63.74.43.021.921.422.4
vs Similar (37)10.610.310.93.93.93.822.923.422.4
vs Weaker (3)11.514.09.04.05.03.529.031.027.0
% over line64%62%65%56%60%52%55%58%52%
% under line36%38%35%44%40%48%45%42%48%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
13.0
Bournemouth
11.8
Southampton
11.5
Manchester United
11.5
Newcastle
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Ipswich
10.9
Manchester City
10.9
Everton
10.8
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.3
Aston Villa
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Arsenal
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.3
Aston Villa
5.2
Wolves
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Brighton
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Tottenham
4.7
Liverpool
4.6
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leicester
4.4
Brentford
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
West Ham
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Fulham
4.0
Ipswich
3.8
Manchester City
3.5
Everton
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Chelsea
23.6
Wolves
23.6
Bournemouth
23.4
Crystal Palace
23.0
Ipswich
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.2
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.6
Everton
21.4
West Ham
21.0
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.4
Brentford
20.3
Manchester City
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.8%
Under 9.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.4%
Under 21.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W00D10W01L10W10W01L10WH·TOT06/10A·NEW19/10H·WOL26/10H·LIV30/10A·LIV02/11H·MAN09/11A·BOU23/11H·SOU29/11A·FUL05/12A·LEI08/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.590.590.690.69
vs Stronger (7)0.291.000.001.250.670.67
vs Similar (22)0.730.550.750.420.700.70
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W11D00D01L21W00D00D11DH·LIV05/10A·NOT21/10H·TOT27/10A·AST30/10A·WOL02/11H·FUL09/11A·AST23/11H·NEW30/11A·IPS03/12H·MAN07/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.330.870.400.600.27
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.671.000.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.740.260.910.270.580.25
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D12L23L02L20W11D01L12L12LH·TOT06/10A·NEW19/10H·WOL26/10H·LIV30/10A·LIV02/11H·MAN09/11A·BOU23/11H·SOU29/11A·FUL05/12A·LEI08/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.880.880.540.85
vs Stronger (7)0.711.291.001.500.331.00
vs Similar (22)0.640.770.670.750.600.80
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D10W22D01L01L11D10W11DH·LIV05/10A·NOT21/10H·TOT27/10A·AST30/10A·WOL02/11H·FUL09/11A·AST23/11H·NEW30/11A·IPS03/12H·MAN07/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.070.730.671.00
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.671.330.500.00
vs Similar (23)0.960.871.270.550.671.17
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls83.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards80.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eberechi Eze33%
Jean-Philippe Mateta28%
Trevoh Chalobah21%
Ismaïla Sarr17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Matheus França14%
Daniel Muñoz13%
Romain Esse11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Justin Devenny7%
Marc Guéhi7%
Daichi Kamada5%
Chris Richards3%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Matt Turner0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Adam Wharton0%
Caleb Kporha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joel Ward33%
Will Hughes29%
Daniel Muñoz28%
Caleb Kporha25%
Jefferson Lerma24%
Marc Guéhi20%
Edward Nketiah16%
Chris Richards16%
Daichi Kamada14%
Maxence Lacroix14%
Dean Henderson11%
Adam Wharton11%
Nathaniel Clyne11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Cheick Doucouré7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta7%
Justin Devenny4%
Eberechi Eze2%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Matt Turner0%
Chadi Riad0%
Matheus França0%
Romain Esse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eberechi Eze23%
Daniel Muñoz15%
Ismaïla Sarr15%
Tyrick Mitchell13%
Adam Wharton11%
Romain Esse11%
Jean-Philippe Mateta9%
Will Hughes7%
Daichi Kamada7%
Edward Nketiah5%
Nathaniel Clyne5%
Marc Guéhi5%
Justin Devenny4%
Chris Richards3%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Dean Henderson2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Matt Turner0%
Chadi Riad0%
Matheus França0%
Caleb Kporha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eberechi Eze28%
Ismaïla Sarr17%
Jean-Philippe Mateta15%
Edward Nketiah11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Maxence Lacroix5%
Daniel Muñoz4%
Justin Devenny4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Matt Turner0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Adam Wharton0%
Matheus França0%
Caleb Kporha0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €115m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€620m vs €505m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €39m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€190m vs €229m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €87m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€180m vs €93m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €66m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€249m vs €182m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
5
Draws
1
CRY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Crystal Palace · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24HBHA Vs Crystal Palace4-1
21/12/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
15/03/23HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-0
11/02/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
14/01/22HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-1
27/09/21ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
22/02/21HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-2
18/10/20ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/24ALeicester Vs BHA2-2
05/12/24AFulham Vs BHA3-1
29/11/24HBHA Vs Southampton1-1
23/11/24ABournemouth Vs BHA1-2
09/11/24HBHA Vs Manchester City2-1
02/11/24ALiverpool Vs BHA2-1
30/10/24HBHA Vs Liverpool2-3
26/10/24HBHA Vs Wolves2-2
19/10/24ANewcastle Vs BHA0-1
06/10/24HBHA Vs Tottenham3-2

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24HCRY Vs Manchester City2-2
03/12/24AIpswich Vs CRY0-1
30/11/24HCRY Vs Newcastle1-1
23/11/24AAston Villa Vs CRY2-2
09/11/24HCRY Vs Fulham0-2
02/11/24AWolves Vs CRY2-2
30/10/24AAston Villa Vs CRY1-2
27/10/24HCRY Vs Tottenham1-0
21/10/24ANottingham Forest Vs CRY1-0
05/10/24HCRY Vs Liverpool0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.44
HomeWDLWD1.76
AwayWLWLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.862.842.88
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.401.561.24
Conceded1.461.281.64
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners9.969.7710.12
Cards4.795.144.48
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD1.26
HomeLWLDD1.36
AwayLWDDW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.923.082.76
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.461.761.16
Conceded1.461.321.60
BTTS60%52%68%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.5710.6210.52
Cards4.114.253.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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