PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/10/2026
Time: 13:00
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
54%
26%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Brighton are tipped to win the clash against Crystal Palace, a result that the model deems most likely. The expected goal tally sits at 2.8, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1, carrying a 12.2% chance. Brighton’s home form shows 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Palace’s away record is 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded. The home win probability is 54%, a draw 25%, and an away win 20%.

The model’s selections are: Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Under 5.5 (93.6%), Home +2 handicap (92.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.5%), and Under 4.5 (84.9%). Each pick is presented with its exact percentage, and the edge percentages are omitted as none are provided. This concise preview highlights the statistical edge for Brighton while outlining the likely low-scoring nature of the encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win
53.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W13L30W01L03L00D40W40W34LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.640.711.121.50
vs Stronger (6)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.501.091.550.731.451.45
vs Weaker (2)2.000.004.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W03L21W22D03L22D12L10W02L14LA·SHA30/04A·BOU03/05H·SHA07/05H·EVE10/05A·MAN13/05A·BRE17/05H·ARS24/05H·RAY27/05A·EVE22/08H·MAN28/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.201.071.131.73
vs Stronger (5)0.803.001.003.000.503.00
vs Similar (19)1.321.211.330.781.301.60
vs Weaker (6)1.000.671.000.001.001.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
Brighton goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
01234
07.3%5.2%3.2%1.1%0.3%
19.8%12%5.6%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.8%5.0%1.7%0.4%
35.7%5.8%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.5%2.6%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Brighton is 0.21 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Brighton is 0.29 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Brighton is 0.13 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Brighton is 8.1 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 6.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

160747521153877110265571177163158121112A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6031124211123311134162113624A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 8.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

280126136129197118799111210156141418192126191620222128A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

For 2.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

15026441344949510151711384571313156814H·MANA·EVEH·RAYH·ARSA·BREA·MANH·EVEH·SHAA·BOUA·SHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

90121361312212233191422125H·MANA·EVEH·RAYH·ARSA·BREA·MANH·EVEH·SHAA·BOUA·SHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

310810155161591257710513810111013718203121121718182120H·MANA·EVEH·RAYH·ARSA·BREA·MANH·EVEH·SHAA·BOUA·SHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.610.43.33.03.722.021.122.8
vs Stronger (8)8.79.58.44.55.04.224.324.024.4
vs Similar (37)10.39.810.83.43.13.721.220.821.6
vs Weaker (5)10.37.012.01.20.32.525.019.028.0
% over line62%47%74%48%46%50%52%37%65%
% under line38%53%26%52%54%50%48%63%35%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.29.52.92.73.220.721.120.3
vs Stronger (7)9.17.012.02.62.82.319.018.819.3
vs Similar (35)9.18.59.62.62.13.120.321.019.7
vs Weaker (8)7.98.27.54.65.04.223.423.823.0
% over line42%32%52%42%31%54%35%42%29%
% under line58%68%48%58%69%46%65%58%71%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Brighton or Draw
79.5%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
21%
covers Brighton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton or Crystal Palace
74.4%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
21%
covers Brighton + Crystal Palace
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Crystal Palace
46.1%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
21%
covers Draw + Crystal Palace
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Brighton over/under 0.5
Over
82.9%
Under
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5
Over
52.7%
Under
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5
Over
26.0%
Under
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 3.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Brighton, so a minus line means Brighton give that many goals of a start and Crystal Palace receive them. At -1, Brighton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Brighton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Brighton)
Brighton -2
13.9%
Draw -2
16.9%
Crystal Palace +2
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Brighton)
Brighton -1
30.8%
Draw -1
23.0%
Crystal Palace +1
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Brighton)
Brighton +1
79.5%
Draw +1
12.8%
Crystal Palace -1
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Brighton)
Brighton +2
92.3%
Draw +2
5.6%
Crystal Palace -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W02L20W00D02L00D40W30W13LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.000.430.500.75
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.550.910.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L11D11D02L11D01L00D01L01LA·SHA30/04A·BOU03/05H·SHA07/05H·EVE10/05A·MAN13/05A·BRE17/05H·ARS24/05H·RAY27/05A·EVE22/08H·MAN28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.470.600.730.87
vs Stronger (5)0.001.400.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (19)0.790.740.670.670.900.80
vs Weaker (6)0.500.170.330.000.670.33
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D10W01L01L00D00D10W21WA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.640.290.620.75
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.550.640.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L10W11D01L11D11D10W01L13LA·SHA30/04A·BOU03/05H·SHA07/05H·EVE10/05A·MAN13/05A·BRE17/05H·ARS24/05H·RAY27/05A·EVE22/08H·MAN28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.730.470.400.87
vs Stronger (5)0.801.601.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (19)0.530.470.670.110.400.80
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.670.000.331.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.0%-------
Under 6.597.6%-------
Under 5.593.6%-------
Home +2 handicap92.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals91.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.7%-------
Under 4.585.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals82.9%-------
Home or Draw79.5%-------
Home +1 handicap79.5%-------
Over 1.577.7%-------
Home or Away74.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals74.0%-------
Away under 1.5 goals73.0%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper50%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Mats Wieffer25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Malick Yalcouyé25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Dunk33%
Costinha33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Luka Vušković25%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Diego Gómez25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Gómez50%
Yasin Ayari33%
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Crystal Palace · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismaïla Sarr36%
Jean-Philippe Mateta24%
Edward Nketiah21%
Evann Guessand14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen14%
Daniel Muñoz11%
Yéremy Pino10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Christantus Uche9%
Justin Devenny6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Tyrick Mitchell6%
Chris Richards4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Adam Wharton2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Will Hughes0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chadi Riad33%
Borna Sosa29%
Jørgen Strand Larsen23%
Marc Guéhi22%
Will Hughes19%
Jaydee Canvot17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Yéremy Pino16%
Daniel Muñoz16%
Brennan Johnson15%
Adam Wharton15%
Jefferson Lerma15%
Romain Esse12%
Chris Richards12%
Maxence Lacroix11%
Tyrick Mitchell11%
Dean Henderson10%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Jean-Philippe Mateta8%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Walter Benítez0%
Evann Guessand0%
Justin Devenny0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Christantus Uche0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Wharton10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Daniel Muñoz9%
Jefferson Lerma9%
Chadi Riad8%
Yéremy Pino8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Evann Guessand7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Justin Devenny3%
Ismaïla Sarr2%
Will Hughes2%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Chris Richards0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Christantus Uche0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Philippe Mateta18%
Ismaïla Sarr16%
Christantus Uche9%
Evann Guessand7%
Borna Sosa6%
Yéremy Pino6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Chris Richards4%
Brennan Johnson4%
Adam Wharton4%
Justin Devenny3%
Daniel Muñoz2%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Will Hughes2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Daichi Kamada0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Brighton's squad is €115m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€620m vs €505m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Brighton's attack is €39m less valuable than Crystal Palace's (€190m vs €229m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Brighton's midfield is €87m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€180m vs €93m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Brighton's defence is €66m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€249m vs €182m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
3
Draws
3
CRY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Crystal Palace · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/26HBHA Vs Crystal Palace0-1
09/11/25ACrystal Palace Vs BHA0-0
05/04/25ACrystal Palace Vs BHA2-1
15/12/24HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-3
03/02/24HBHA Vs Crystal Palace4-1
21/12/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
15/03/23HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-0
11/02/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AChelsea Vs BHA4-3
27/08/26HBHA Vs Tromso4-0
23/08/26HBHA Vs Aston Villa4-0
20/08/26ATromso Vs BHA0-0
24/05/26HBHA Vs Manchester United0-3
17/05/26ALeeds Vs BHA1-0
09/05/26HBHA Vs Wolves3-0
02/05/26ANewcastle Vs BHA3-1
21/04/26HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
18/04/26ATottenham Vs BHA2-2

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HCRY Vs Manchester City1-4
22/08/26AEverton Vs CRY2-0
27/05/26HCRY Vs Rayo Vallecano1-0
24/05/26HCRY Vs Arsenal1-2
17/05/26ABrentford Vs CRY2-2
13/05/26AManchester City Vs CRY3-0
10/05/26HCRY Vs Everton2-2
07/05/26HCRY Vs Shakhtar Donetsk2-1
03/05/26ABournemouth Vs CRY3-0
30/04/26AShakhtar Donetsk Vs CRY1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.56
HomeWWLWW1.91
AwayDLLDL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%55%36%
AVG goals2.902.862.93
Over 1.5 %84%86%82%
Over 2.5 %56%64%50%
Over 3.5 %28%23%32%
Scored1.721.861.61
Conceded1.181.001.32
BTTS50%55%46%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.749.0910.25
Cards4.003.734.21
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.24
HomeWDLWL1.32
AwayWLLDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.562.402.72
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.221.201.24
Conceded1.341.201.48
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners8.728.409.04
Cards3.683.803.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches