Brighton’s home form, averaging 2.08 goals scored and only 0.77 conceded against similar opposition, gives the model a 79% chance of a home win - the clear favourite. The model’s pick is a Brighton victory, and the expected total of 3.4 goals points to a high-scoring affair. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 12.2% probability. Everton, averaging just 0.7 goals scored and conceding 1.4 at home, is the weaker side, especially in a hostile setting. The model assigns a 15% draw probability and a 7% chance of an Everton win. The predicted total goals is 3, with a 22% chance of that exact total. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 96.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 95.6%, Under 4.5 cards at 91.5%, Under 23.5 fouls at 90.0%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 84.7%, Under 21.5 fouls at 80.1%, and Under 3.5 cards at 79.7%. The match’s outcome hinges on Brighton’s offensive potency and Everton’s defensive frailties at home.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Brighton, was expected to win with a 79% probability, but the match ended 1-5 in favour of Everton, proving the model’s call wrong. The final score of 1-5 matched the actual result of an away win. The model had also predicted a 3-goal total, yet the game produced six goals, far above the expected 3.4. Among the suggested picks, Under 25.5 fouls (95.6%) and Over 1.5 (85.8%) were hits, while Under 5.5 cards (96.9%), Under 4.5 cards (91.5%), Under 23.5 fouls (90.0%), Over 8.5 corners (84.7%), Under 21.5 fouls (80.1%) and Under 3.5 cards (79.7%) missed. Brighton’s recent form had been a loss, win, win, defeat, loss, and Everton had a draw, win, win, loss, loss. The upset was stark, with Everton’s performance eclipsing expectations.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brighton win✗ Miss
78.6%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.35
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.8%
Avg Implied 17.4% · @ 5.54
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Everton win✓ Hit
6.7%
Avg Implied 11.4% · @ 8.45
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.30
2.13
0.93
1.87
1.67
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
2.50
2.50
2.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.96
1.12
2.08
0.77
1.85
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.57
0.93
1.47
0.67
1.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.67
0.50
1.00
0.60
2.20
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.52
1.09
1.64
0.70
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.8%
@ 1.50+2.2%
Under 2.5
34.2%
@ 2.62-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.2%
Brighton goals ↓
Everton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
8.4%
7.0%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
2
12%
8.6%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
7.7%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
7.3%
5.2%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Everton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Brighton is 0.68 points better than Everton in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 0.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Brighton is 1.00 goals better than Everton in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Brighton is 0.11 goals better than Everton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Brighton is 18.3 percentage points better than Everton in terms of average possession (60% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brighton
For 6.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Everton
For 3.5 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.7
3.8
4.0
3.5
21.3
22.0
20.7
vs Stronger (7)
11.0
10.7
11.2
4.3
4.7
4.0
23.3
22.7
23.8
vs Similar (42)
10.1
10.7
9.4
3.6
4.0
3.3
20.9
21.9
19.9
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
5.0
-
5.0
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
62%
68%
56%
50%
52%
48%
52%
64%
40%
% under line
38%
32%
44%
50%
48%
52%
48%
36%
60%
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.5
4.1
4.4
3.8
20.6
20.8
20.4
vs Stronger (16)
11.1
11.6
10.6
4.2
4.6
3.8
20.0
20.5
19.5
vs Similar (34)
10.1
9.9
10.4
4.1
4.3
3.8
20.8
20.9
20.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
52%
56%
64%
76%
52%
38%
44%
32%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
36%
24%
48%
62%
56%
68%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.9
Fulham
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Everton
10.5
West Ham
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Tottenham
10.4
Manchester United
10.4
Southampton
10.2
Brighton
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Chelsea
9.9
Leicester
9.9
Wolves
9.8
Liverpool
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Leeds
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.3
Manchester City
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Chelsea
4.3
Tottenham
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Leeds
4.1
Everton
4.1
Wolves
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Newcastle
3.7
Bournemouth
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Manchester City
3.3
Leicester
3.3
Southampton
3.3
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
2.9
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Aston Villa
23.7
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
23.3
Nottingham Forest
22.9
Tottenham
21.7
Fulham
21.6
Wolves
21.5
Brighton
21.3
Newcastle
21.1
Leicester
21.0
Arsenal
20.9
Bournemouth
20.8
Southampton
20.7
Everton
20.6
Manchester United
20.2
Brentford
19.8
Liverpool
19.0
Manchester City
18.6
West Ham
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
76.0%
Under 9.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
19.9%
Under 21.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
0.93
0.53
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.54
1.08
0.46
0.92
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.78
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.62
0.45
0.45
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.20
0.40
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.58
1.00
0.31
0.92
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.53
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.25
0.50
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.90
0.64
1.18
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
78.6%
1.35
-
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Trossard31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Alexis Mac Allister26%
Kaoru Mitoma21%
Julio Enciso20%
Pascal Groß19%
Deniz Undav18%
Danny Welbeck16%
Solly March15%
Adam Lallana12%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Joël Veltman3%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Lewis Dunk3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moisés Caicedo27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Alexis Mac Allister23%
Joël Veltman19%
Pascal Groß19%
Facundo Buonanotte15%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Lewis Dunk11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Deniz Undav9%
Robert Sánchez9%
Adam Webster7%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Leandro Trossard6%
Solly March6%
Levi Colwill6%
Evan Ferguson5%
Julio Enciso5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Adam Lallana0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Danny Welbeck0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß22%
Solly March21%
Enock Mwepu17%
Kaoru Mitoma15%
Leandro Trossard12%
Levi Colwill12%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Evan Ferguson11%
Danny Welbeck10%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Adam Lallana6%
Alexis Mac Allister6%
Julio Enciso5%
Joël Veltman3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Robert Sánchez0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Deniz Undav0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Mac Allister31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck23%
Solly March18%
Leandro Trossard12%
Kaoru Mitoma12%
Deniz Undav9%
Pascal Groß5%
Adam Webster4%
Adam Lallana0%
Joël Veltman0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Everton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yerry Mina29%
Anthony Gordon19%
Dwight McNeil17%
Abdoulaye Doucouré16%
Demarai Gray12%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin12%
Ellis Simms9%
Michael Keane8%
Alex Iwobi5%
Séamus Coleman4%
Conor Coady4%
Neal Maupay4%
Amadou Onana3%
James Tarkowski3%
James Garner0%
Vitaliy Mykolenko0%
Salomón Rondón0%
Jordan Pickford0%
Idrissa Gueye0%
Tom Davies0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Mason Holgate0%
Nathan Patterson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anthony Gordon38%
Yerry Mina29%
Amadou Onana27%
Mason Holgate25%
Abdoulaye Doucouré24%
Idrissa Gueye21%
James Garner19%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin18%
Jordan Pickford16%
James Tarkowski16%
Tom Davies16%
Nathan Patterson16%
Ben Godfrey15%
Neal Maupay15%
Dwight McNeil14%
Vitaliy Mykolenko12%
Demarai Gray9%
Conor Coady8%
Alex Iwobi5%
Séamus Coleman4%
Salomón Rondón0%
Michael Keane0%
Ellis Simms0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Keane17%
Alex Iwobi16%
Dwight McNeil8%
Abdoulaye Doucouré8%
Ben Godfrey8%
James Garner6%
Amadou Onana6%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin6%
Conor Coady4%
Idrissa Gueye3%
Demarai Gray3%
Jordan Pickford3%
James Tarkowski3%
Vitaliy Mykolenko0%
Salomón Rondón0%
Yerry Mina0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Tom Davies0%
Mason Holgate0%
Neal Maupay0%
Nathan Patterson0%
Ellis Simms0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Keane25%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin24%
Demarai Gray15%
Yerry Mina14%
Anthony Gordon12%
Neal Maupay11%
James Garner6%
Amadou Onana6%
Dwight McNeil6%
Alex Iwobi5%
Vitaliy Mykolenko0%
Salomón Rondón0%
Jordan Pickford0%
James Tarkowski0%
Idrissa Gueye0%
Conor Coady0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Tom Davies0%
Abdoulaye Doucouré0%
Ben Godfrey0%
Mason Holgate0%
Nathan Patterson0%
Ellis Simms0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €160m more valuable than Everton's (€620m vs €459m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €16m more valuable than Everton's (€190m vs €174m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €18m more valuable than Everton's (€180m vs €162m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €126m more valuable than Everton's (€249m vs €123m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton