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Brighton vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
25%
24%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: D England

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.92
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.73
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.34
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L00D13L41W32W12L31W24L41WH·TOT08/10A·BRE14/10H·NOT18/10A·MAN22/10H·CHE29/10A·WOL05/11H·AST13/11A·SOU26/12H·ARS31/12A·EVE03/01
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.371.471.271.801.47
vs Stronger (6)1.332.671.003.001.502.50
vs Similar (24)1.711.041.541.001.911.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L30W12L20W21W31W31W21W13LH·WES19/10A·NOT22/10A·AJA26/10H·LEE29/10H·NAP01/11A·TOT06/11H·SOU12/11A·AST26/12H·LEI30/12A·BRE02/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.072.440.751.931.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.001.172.000.402.001.71
vs Weaker (18)2.331.002.640.911.861.14
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.2%
@ 1.58+0.9%
Under 2.5
38.8%
@ 2.40-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
Brighton goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
05.3%7.0%7.6%4.8%2.3%
14.4%11%9.6%6.1%2.9%
23.4%6.5%6.1%3.9%1.8%
31.4%2.7%2.6%1.6%0.8%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Brighton is 0.13 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Brighton is 0.08 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Brighton is 0.16 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Brighton is 1.0 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (60% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 6.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

150257424114948737911126271161513151010138A·EVEH·ARSA·SOUH·ASTA·WOLH·CHEA·MANH·NOTA·BREH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

9013332127312313113124639334443A·EVEH·ARSA·SOUH·ASTA·WOLH·CHEA·MANH·NOTA·BREH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

2701087111091411111516612111014151291418181925262223242723A·EVEH·ARSA·SOUH·ASTA·WOLH·CHEA·MANH·NOTA·BREH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 6.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1909445663543145431128313966871971311A·BREH·LEIA·ASTH·SOUA·TOTH·NAPH·LEEA·AJAA·NOTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.8 · Total 1.8

🟨 Cards

4031123112314102031304A·BREH·LEIA·ASTH·SOUA·TOTH·NAPH·LEEA·NOTH·WESH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 8.6 · Total 18.3

⚠️ Fouls

2808581512788810181093968149813231916182812152217A·BREH·LEIA·ASTH·SOUA·TOTH·NAPH·LEEA·AJAA·NOTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.010.44.04.04.020.620.820.4
vs Stronger (9)11.412.510.64.24.54.020.218.521.6
vs Similar (40)10.610.710.44.04.04.020.621.319.9
vs Weaker (1)9.0-9.05.0-5.025.0-25.0
% over line62%67%58%56%54%58%46%54%38%
% under line38%33%42%44%46%42%54%46%62%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.810.02.72.52.917.917.318.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.711.08.82.83.32.520.221.619.4
vs Weaker (32)10.810.710.92.62.23.216.615.717.8
% over line60%65%54%30%19%42%26%19%33%
% under line40%35%46%70%81%58%74%81%67%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Southampton
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Brighton
10.7
Aston Villa
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.4
Everton
10.4
Tottenham
10.3
Manchester United
10.3
Bournemouth
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Leicester
10.1
Manchester City
10.0
Wolves
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Newcastle
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.3
Everton
4.3
Aston Villa
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Tottenham
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Chelsea
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.3
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
3.0
Manchester City
2.9
Leicester
2.9
Liverpool
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Aston Villa
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.7
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
22.6
Bournemouth
21.5
Newcastle
21.1
Everton
20.6
Brighton
20.6
Leicester
20.6
Fulham
20.6
Southampton
20.5
Arsenal
20.5
Tottenham
20.1
Wolves
20.0
Brentford
19.4
Manchester United
19.1
Liverpool
17.9
West Ham
17.5
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
27.4%
Under 9.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.3%
Under 21.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D02L30W22D11D20W02L10WH·TOT08/10A·BRE14/10H·NOT18/10A·MAN22/10H·CHE29/10A·WOL05/11H·AST13/11A·SOU26/12H·ARS31/12A·EVE03/01
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.600.730.870.53
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.001.500.750.75
vs Similar (24)0.790.540.690.620.910.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W11D00D20W31W20W21W02LH·WES19/10A·NOT22/10A·AJA26/10H·LEE29/10H·NAP01/11A·TOT06/11H·SOU12/11A·AST26/12H·LEI30/12A·BRE02/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.120.560.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.670.600.201.001.00
vs Weaker (18)1.000.721.360.730.430.71
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D11D11D10W01L11D22D31WH·TOT08/10A·BRE14/10H·NOT18/10A·MAN22/10H·CHE29/10A·WOL05/11H·AST13/11A·SOU26/12H·ARS31/12A·EVE03/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.730.870.530.930.93
vs Stronger (6)0.831.671.001.500.751.75
vs Similar (24)0.920.500.850.381.000.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W01L20W01L00D11D00D11DH·WES19/10A·NOT22/10A·AJA26/10H·LEE29/10H·NAP01/11A·TOT06/11H·SOU12/11A·AST26/12H·LEI30/12A·BRE02/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.371.310.191.210.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.501.400.201.000.71
vs Weaker (18)1.330.281.270.181.430.43
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards93.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners89.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners72.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Trossard31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Alexis Mac Allister26%
Kaoru Mitoma21%
Julio Enciso20%
Pascal Groß19%
Deniz Undav18%
Danny Welbeck16%
Solly March15%
Adam Lallana12%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Joël Veltman3%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Lewis Dunk3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moisés Caicedo27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Alexis Mac Allister23%
Joël Veltman19%
Pascal Groß19%
Facundo Buonanotte15%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Lewis Dunk11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Deniz Undav9%
Robert Sánchez9%
Adam Webster7%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Leandro Trossard6%
Solly March6%
Levi Colwill6%
Evan Ferguson5%
Julio Enciso5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Adam Lallana0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Danny Welbeck0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß22%
Solly March21%
Enock Mwepu17%
Kaoru Mitoma15%
Leandro Trossard12%
Levi Colwill12%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Evan Ferguson11%
Danny Welbeck10%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Adam Lallana6%
Alexis Mac Allister6%
Julio Enciso5%
Joël Veltman3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Robert Sánchez0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Deniz Undav0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Mac Allister31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck23%
Solly March18%
Leandro Trossard12%
Kaoru Mitoma12%
Deniz Undav9%
Pascal Groß5%
Adam Webster4%
Adam Lallana0%
Joël Veltman0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €360m less valuable than Liverpool's (€620m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €328m less valuable than Liverpool's (€190m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €20m less valuable than Liverpool's (€180m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €12m less valuable than Liverpool's (€249m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
BHA wins
3
Draws
1
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Liverpool · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ALiverpool Vs BHA3-3
12/03/22HBHA Vs Liverpool0-2
30/10/21ALiverpool Vs BHA2-2
03/02/21ALiverpool Vs BHA0-1
28/11/20HBHA Vs Liverpool1-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/23AEverton Vs BHA1-4
31/12/22HBHA Vs Arsenal2-4
26/12/22ASouthampton Vs BHA1-3
13/11/22HBHA Vs Aston Villa1-2
05/11/22AWolves Vs BHA2-3
29/10/22HBHA Vs Chelsea4-1
22/10/22AManchester City Vs BHA3-1
18/10/22HBHA Vs Nottingham Forest0-0
14/10/22ABrentford Vs BHA2-0
08/10/22HBHA Vs Tottenham0-1

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/23ABrentford Vs LIV3-1
30/12/22HLIV Vs Leicester2-1
26/12/22AAston Villa Vs LIV1-3
12/11/22HLIV Vs Southampton3-1
06/11/22ATottenham Vs LIV1-2
01/11/22HLIV Vs Napoli2-0
29/10/22HLIV Vs Leeds1-2
26/10/22AAjax Vs LIV0-3
22/10/22ANottingham Forest Vs LIV1-0
19/10/22HLIV Vs West Ham1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.32
HomeLDWLL1.12
AwayLLWWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%25%38%
AVG goals2.642.422.85
Over 1.5 %80%67%92%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.341.171.50
Conceded1.301.251.35
BTTS54%42%65%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners10.6810.9610.42
Cards4.044.044.04
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.26
HomeWLWWW2.65
AwayLWWWL1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%85%54%
AVG goals3.143.153.12
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %62%58%67%
Over 3.5 %42%38%46%
Scored2.282.621.92
Conceded0.860.541.21
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet44%58%29%
Corners10.4010.819.96
Cards2.762.503.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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