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Brighton vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 21/03/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 2-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
32%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: D England

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.05
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.62
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
40.7%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.19
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L11D01L01L03L20W21W01L10WH·BOU19/01A·FUL24/01H·EVE31/01H·CRY08/02A·AST11/02A·LIV14/02A·BRE21/02H·NOT01/03H·ARS04/03A·SUN14/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.201.461.081.411.29
vs Stronger (6)0.331.830.001.000.402.00
vs Similar (23)1.521.091.581.081.451.09
vs Weaker (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L10W30W10W52W12L31W01L11D40WH·MAN08/02A·SUN11/02H·BRI14/02A·NOT22/02H·WES28/02A·WOL03/03A·WOL06/03A·GAL10/03H·TOT15/03H·GAL18/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.102.251.061.501.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.271.091.601.401.000.83
vs Weaker (19)2.261.112.550.911.881.38
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.57-7.2%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 2.35+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
2-1 ✓
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Brighton goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
07.4%8.0%6.9%3.4%1.3%
16.8%13%8.9%4.4%1.6%
25.2%7.7%5.7%2.9%1.1%
32.2%3.3%2.5%1.2%0.5%
40.7%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Brighton is 0.18 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Brighton is 0.29 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.66).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Brighton is 0.18 goals better than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Brighton is 5.3 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (53% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1703743444665573452661161078101112771217A·SUNH·ARSH·NOTA·BREA·LIVA·ASTH·CRYH·EVEA·FULH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

5021413121432131211233543454325A·SUNH·ARSH·NOTA·BREA·LIVA·ASTH·CRYH·EVEA·FULH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

34012714121213149191515912913146107619262523342421271613A·SUNH·ARSH·NOTA·BREA·LIVA·ASTH·CRYH·EVEA·FULH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 6.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

150623447111121052756113548711111315911149H·GALH·TOTA·GALA·WOLA·WOLH·WESA·NOTH·BRIA·SUNH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

704112122224134130533424174H·TOTA·GALA·WOLA·WOLH·WESA·NOTH·BRIA·SUNH·MANH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

3401578131811713131012119131519108131622212920232322341829H·GALH·TOTA·GALA·WOLA·WOLH·WESA·NOTH·BRIA·SUNH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.09.64.03.54.422.422.222.5
vs Stronger (9)7.76.08.54.23.34.723.924.323.7
vs Similar (39)9.79.59.94.03.54.522.021.822.2
vs Weaker (2)10.0-10.02.0-2.022.5-22.5
% over line52%41%62%58%57%59%56%50%62%
% under line48%59%38%42%43%41%44%50%38%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.410.03.33.03.720.820.820.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)9.29.29.33.83.04.822.322.222.4
vs Weaker (30)10.911.310.52.92.92.919.819.819.8
% over line56%63%48%42%37%48%40%41%39%
% under line44%37%52%58%63%52%60%59%61%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
West Ham
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Liverpool
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Aston Villa
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Everton
9.5
Burnley
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Wolves
9.2
Sunderland
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Bournemouth
4.6
Manchester United
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Brighton
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Liverpool
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.0
Bournemouth
23.6
Aston Villa
23.4
Nottingham Forest
23.2
West Ham
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Brighton
22.4
Tottenham
22.3
Sunderland
22.2
Everton
22.2
Arsenal
21.8
Leeds
21.8
Manchester United
21.5
Newcastle
21.4
Liverpool
20.8
Burnley
20.8
Crystal Palace
20.7
Manchester City
20.5
Brentford
19.8
Fulham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.9%
Under 21.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D00D00D01L20W21W01L00DH·BOU19/01A·FUL24/01H·EVE31/01H·CRY08/02A·AST11/02A·LIV14/02A·BRE21/02H·NOT01/03H·ARS04/03A·SUN14/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.690.540.530.59
vs Stronger (6)0.000.830.001.000.000.80
vs Similar (23)0.650.520.750.500.550.55
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D30W00D00D01L10W10WH·MAN08/02A·SUN11/02H·BRI14/02A·NOT22/02H·WES28/02A·WOL03/03A·WOL06/03A·GAL10/03H·TOT15/03H·GAL18/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.331.060.250.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.360.360.600.200.170.50
vs Weaker (19)0.790.321.270.270.120.38
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L11D01L01L02L00D00D00D10WH·BOU19/01A·FUL24/01H·EVE31/01H·CRY08/02A·AST11/02A·LIV14/02A·BRE21/02H·NOT01/03H·ARS04/03A·SUN14/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.630.770.540.880.71
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.000.000.401.20
vs Similar (23)0.870.570.830.580.910.55
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W20W10W22D12L31W00D01L30WH·MAN08/02A·SUN11/02H·BRI14/02A·NOT22/02H·WES28/02A·WOL03/03A·WOL06/03A·GAL10/03H·TOT15/03H·GAL18/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.771.190.811.360.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.731.001.200.830.33
vs Weaker (19)1.470.791.270.641.751.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners72.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Brighton's squad is €360m less valuable than Liverpool's (€620m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Brighton's attack is €328m less valuable than Liverpool's (€190m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brighton's midfield is €20m less valuable than Liverpool's (€180m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Brighton's defence is €12m less valuable than Liverpool's (€249m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
1
Draws
5
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Liverpool · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26ALiverpool Vs BHA3-0
13/12/25ALiverpool Vs BHA2-0
19/05/25HBHA Vs Liverpool3-2
02/11/24ALiverpool Vs BHA2-1
30/10/24HBHA Vs Liverpool2-3
31/03/24ALiverpool Vs BHA2-1
08/10/23HBHA Vs Liverpool2-2
14/01/23HBHA Vs Liverpool3-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26ASunderland Vs BHA0-1
04/03/26HBHA Vs Arsenal0-1
01/03/26HBHA Vs Nottingham Forest2-1
21/02/26ABrentford Vs BHA0-2
14/02/26ALiverpool Vs BHA3-0
11/02/26AAston Villa Vs BHA1-0
08/02/26HBHA Vs Crystal Palace0-1
31/01/26HBHA Vs Everton1-1
24/01/26AFulham Vs BHA2-1
19/01/26HBHA Vs Bournemouth1-1

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/26HLIV Vs Galatasaray4-0
15/03/26HLIV Vs Tottenham1-1
10/03/26AGalatasaray Vs LIV1-0
06/03/26AWolves Vs LIV1-3
03/03/26AWolves Vs LIV2-1
28/02/26HLIV Vs West Ham5-2
22/02/26ANottingham Forest Vs LIV0-1
14/02/26HLIV Vs Brighton3-0
11/02/26ASunderland Vs LIV0-1
08/02/26HLIV Vs Manchester City1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.50
HomeDDLWL1.70
AwayLLLWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%37%
AVG goals2.922.743.07
Over 1.5 %86%83%89%
Over 2.5 %56%57%56%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.641.521.74
Conceded1.281.221.33
BTTS60%70%52%
Clean Sheet24%17%30%
Corners9.339.059.58
Cards4.123.644.54
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.74
HomeLWWDW2.00
AwayWWLWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%59%43%
AVG goals3.223.373.04
Over 1.5 %80%89%70%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %38%37%39%
Scored1.922.191.61
Conceded1.301.191.43
BTTS60%63%57%
Clean Sheet30%30%30%
Corners10.2610.4410.04
Cards3.353.083.65

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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