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Brighton vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2024
Time: 20:00
Final 0-4
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
14%
21%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: J Gillett

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✗ Miss
14.3%
Avg Implied 12.1% · @ 7.99
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.65
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✓ Hit
64.2%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.36
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W11D03L04L10W10W12L00D03L11DA·SHE18/02H·EVE24/02A·FUL02/03A·AS 07/03H·NOT10/03H·AS 14/03A·LIV31/03A·BRE03/04H·ARS06/04A·BUR13/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.271.460.851.121.59
vs Stronger (4)0.502.250.003.000.672.00
vs Similar (25)1.441.001.580.671.311.31
vs Weaker (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W31W31W11D00D41W42W33D51W11DA·BOU24/02H·MAN03/03H·FC 06/03A·LIV10/03H·ARS31/03H·AST03/04A·CRY06/04A·REA09/04H·LUT13/04H·REA17/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.531.172.530.942.541.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.571.570.750.752.672.67
vs Weaker (23)2.831.043.081.002.501.10
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.41-8.3%
Under 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.95+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.6%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
Brighton goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
05.5%9.0%11%7.6%4.1%
13.4%10%9.9%7.1%3.8%
22.0%4.3%4.6%3.3%1.8%
30.6%1.3%1.4%1.0%0.5%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Brighton is 1.13 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Brighton is 1.08 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 2.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Brighton is 0.74 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Brighton is 5.5 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (60% vs 66%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 6.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1505487514851636562113105915612691181415A·BURH·ARSA·BREA·LIVH·AS H·NOTA·AS A·FULH·EVEA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

80211211352544212133423328783366A·BURH·ARSA·BREA·LIVH·AS H·NOTA·AS A·FULH·EVEA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

280818141312962015131414851016914532627212628281326238A·BURH·ARSA·BREA·LIVH·AS H·NOTA·AS A·FULH·EVEA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 8.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1901811212492237447441528319136115111181711H·REAH·LUTA·REAA·CRYH·ASTH·ARSA·LIVH·FC H·MANA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

503212211122321225142323214H·REAH·LUTA·REAA·CRYH·ASTH·ARSA·LIVH·FC H·MANA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.5 · Against 11.3 · Total 18.8

⚠️ Fouls

2901511769113136139201065951061426132016192916141520H·REAH·LUTA·REAA·CRYH·ASTH·ARSA·LIVH·FC H·MANA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.18.95.25.25.123.424.022.8
vs Stronger (7)9.110.08.54.13.05.026.028.724.0
vs Similar (41)9.410.08.95.45.75.122.823.322.4
vs Weaker (2)12.013.011.04.04.04.025.023.027.0
% over line46%50%42%72%75%69%64%75%54%
% under line54%50%58%28%25%31%36%25%46%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.610.43.83.83.719.820.419.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)10.711.69.44.23.94.822.824.720.0
vs Weaker (38)10.510.310.73.63.83.418.918.818.9
% over line56%62%50%52%54%50%32%35%29%
% under line44%38%50%48%46%50%68%65%71%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.9
Tottenham
11.7
Liverpool
11.1
Everton
11.0
Luton
10.8
Sheffield United
10.7
Manchester City
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Newcastle
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Burnley
10.3
Aston Villa
10.1
Chelsea
10.1
Crystal Palace
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Brighton
9.5
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.2
Brighton
5.2
Chelsea
4.9
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Sheffield United
4.2
Liverpool
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Burnley
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Everton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Fulham
3.6
Luton
3.6
Arsenal
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.3
Wolves
24.0
Crystal Palace
24.0
Aston Villa
23.8
Brighton
23.4
Chelsea
23.2
Luton
23.2
Newcastle
23.1
Bournemouth
22.4
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.7
Brentford
21.5
Burnley
21.5
Fulham
21.3
West Ham
20.4
Manchester United
20.1
Sheffield United
20.0
Manchester City
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.4%
Under 3.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
22.4%
Under 21.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D02L02L10W10W11D00D01L00DA·SHE18/02H·EVE24/02A·FUL02/03A·AS 07/03H·NOT10/03H·AS 14/03A·LIV31/03A·BRE03/04H·ARS06/04A·BUR13/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.850.230.470.88
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.001.000.331.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.440.920.170.540.69
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L31W10W00D21W11D12L10W01LA·BOU24/02H·MAN03/03H·FC 06/03A·LIV10/03H·ARS31/03H·AST03/04A·CRY06/04A·REA09/04H·LUT13/04H·REA17/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.060.470.920.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.860.250.501.331.33
vs Weaker (23)1.090.571.310.460.800.70
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D01L02L00D00D01L00D02L11DA·SHE18/02H·EVE24/02A·FUL02/03A·AS 07/03H·NOT10/03H·AS 14/03A·LIV31/03A·BRE03/04H·ARS06/04A·BUR13/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.620.620.650.71
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.002.000.331.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.560.670.500.770.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W00D01L00D20W31W21W41W10WA·BOU24/02H·MAN03/03H·FC 06/03A·LIV10/03H·ARS31/03H·AST03/04A·CRY06/04A·REA09/04H·LUT13/04H·REA17/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.531.470.471.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.710.500.251.331.33
vs Weaker (23)1.740.481.770.541.700.40
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls94.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls88.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls77.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland52%
Phil Foden40%
Julián Álvarez33%
Kevin De Bruyne25%
Rodri21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Jérémy Doku11%
Oscar Bobb11%
Jack Grealish11%
Manuel Akanji11%
Rico Lewis9%
Nathan Aké6%
John Stones5%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Sergio Gómez0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Grealish25%
Rodri24%
Bernardo Silva22%
Manuel Akanji13%
Ederson12%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Kevin De Bruyne10%
John Stones9%
Jérémy Doku8%
Kyle Walker5%
Rúben Dias5%
Phil Foden5%
Julián Álvarez5%
Rico Lewis4%
Erling Haaland2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne50%
Phil Foden23%
Rodri21%
Julián Álvarez21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Jérémy Doku17%
Erling Haaland15%
Rico Lewis13%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jack Grealish11%
Sergio Gómez9%
Kyle Walker8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Nathan Aké6%
Oscar Bobb6%
John Stones5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland57%
Phil Foden37%
Kevin De Bruyne35%
Julián Álvarez26%
Rodri19%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jérémy Doku8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Bernardo Silva5%
Jack Grealish4%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji0%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Rico Lewis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Brighton's squad is €706m less valuable than Manchester City's (€620m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Brighton's attack is €445m less valuable than Manchester City's (€190m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Brighton's midfield is €20m more valuable than Manchester City's (€180m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Brighton's defence is €282m less valuable than Manchester City's (€249m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
BHA wins
1
Draws
5
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Manchester City · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23AManchester City Vs BHA2-1
24/05/23HBHA Vs Manchester City1-1
22/10/22AManchester City Vs BHA3-1
20/04/22AManchester City Vs BHA3-0
23/10/21HBHA Vs Manchester City1-4
18/05/21HBHA Vs Manchester City3-2
13/01/21AManchester City Vs BHA1-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24ABurnley Vs BHA1-1
06/04/24HBHA Vs Arsenal0-3
03/04/24ABrentford Vs BHA0-0
31/03/24ALiverpool Vs BHA2-1
14/03/24HBHA Vs AS Roma1-0
10/03/24HBHA Vs Nottingham Forest1-0
07/03/24AAS Roma Vs BHA4-0
02/03/24AFulham Vs BHA3-0
24/02/24HBHA Vs Everton1-1
18/02/24ASheffield United Vs BHA0-5

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/24HMC Vs Real Madrid1-1
13/04/24HMC Vs Luton5-1
09/04/24AReal Madrid Vs MC3-3
06/04/24ACrystal Palace Vs MC2-4
03/04/24HMC Vs Aston Villa4-1
31/03/24HMC Vs Arsenal0-0
10/03/24ALiverpool Vs MC1-1
06/03/24HMC Vs FC Copenhagen3-1
03/03/24HMC Vs Manchester United3-1
24/02/24ABournemouth Vs MC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.52
HomeWDWWL1.92
AwayLLLDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%31%
AVG goals3.183.123.23
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.661.921.42
Conceded1.521.211.81
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.4810.128.88
Cards5.165.255.08
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD2.32
HomeWDWWD2.54
AwayWWDWD2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%77%62%
AVG goals3.323.233.42
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored2.342.462.21
Conceded0.980.771.21
BTTS66%62%71%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners10.5210.6210.42
Cards3.783.853.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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