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Brighton vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
22%
26%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: D England

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
21.7%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.47
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.64
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
52.5%
Avg Implied 46.7% · @ 2.03
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D24L32W11D20W32W41W11D02L60WH·LEI12/04A·BRE19/04H·WES26/04H·NEW04/05A·WOL10/05H·LIV19/05A·TOT25/05H·FUL16/08A·EVE24/08A·OXF27/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.401.401.272.271.53
vs Stronger (3)2.001.672.001.502.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.651.421.311.232.001.62
vs Weaker (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W20W10W00D01L31W20W40W02LA·EVE19/04H·AST22/04A·NOT27/04H·WOL02/05A·SOU10/05A·CRY17/05H·BOU20/05A·FUL25/05A·WOL16/08H·TOT23/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.132.711.141.691.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.503.001.672.001.334.00
vs Weaker (24)2.330.673.000.911.770.46
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.57-6.6%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.33+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
2-1 ✓
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
Brighton goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
07.2%9.5%9.3%5.4%2.4%
15.3%12%9.8%5.7%2.5%
23.4%5.9%5.2%3.0%1.3%
31.2%2.1%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Brighton is 0.66 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 2.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Brighton is 0.66 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Brighton is 0.29 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Brighton is 7.0 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 4.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

13057224311233471481843612471361159129A·OXFA·EVEH·FULA·TOTH·LIVA·WOLH·NEWH·WESA·BREH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

701343313111211143251764123277A·OXFA·EVEH·FULA·TOTH·LIVA·WOLH·NEWH·WESA·BREH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

3108715716158139812815107911791115223121172025161820A·OXFA·EVEH·FULA·TOTH·LIVA·WOLH·NEWH·WESA·BREH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 6.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

16072646131711514562102529107481698127H·TOTA·WOLA·FULH·BOUA·CRYA·SOUH·WOLA·NOTH·ASTA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60142124512323345306620564H·TOTA·WOLA·FULH·BOUA·CRYA·SOUH·WOLA·NOTH·ASTA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.1 · Against 10.3 · Total 17.4

⚠️ Fouls

20071271351171377897118109106719201620141718181913H·TOTA·WOLA·FULH·BOUA·CRYA·SOUH·WOLA·NOTH·ASTA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.23.83.73.922.823.921.6
vs Stronger (7)8.85.712.03.93.05.022.823.322.3
vs Similar (41)9.89.89.83.94.03.823.024.021.8
vs Weaker (2)12.0-12.00.50.01.015.0-15.0
% over line63%55%71%58%52%65%56%68%43%
% under line37%45%29%42%48%35%44%32%57%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.310.43.03.22.917.117.716.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)10.79.711.22.81.73.315.914.016.8
vs Weaker (41)9.79.310.13.13.42.817.418.316.4
% over line51%52%50%42%48%37%13%14%12%
% under line49%48%50%58%52%63%87%86%88%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.2
Tottenham
11.1
Bournemouth
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Liverpool
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Manchester City
10.0
Everton
10.0
Leeds
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.9
Brighton
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Wolves
9.6
Arsenal
9.4
Burnley
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.9
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Chelsea
4.4
Aston Villa
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Wolves
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Liverpool
4.0
Tottenham
4.0
Brentford
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Burnley
3.8
Fulham
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Everton
3.5
Leeds
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.4
Wolves
24.3
Tottenham
23.8
Sunderland
23.0
Burnley
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Aston Villa
22.8
Brighton
22.8
Leeds
22.3
Chelsea
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.4
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Arsenal
21.1
Fulham
21.1
Liverpool
20.8
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.0%
Under 9.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
41.6%
Under 21.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D10W10W10W12L01L00D01L20WH·LEI12/04A·BRE19/04H·WES26/04H·NEW04/05A·WOL10/05H·LIV19/05A·TOT25/05H·FUL16/08A·EVE24/08A·OXF27/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.600.600.800.80
vs Stronger (3)0.671.670.501.501.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.620.620.460.690.77
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W00D01L20W10W20W02LA·EVE19/04H·AST22/04A·NOT27/04H·WOL02/05A·SOU10/05A·CRY17/05H·BOU20/05A·FUL25/05A·WOL16/08H·TOT23/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.360.790.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.331.000.671.000.001.00
vs Weaker (24)1.040.461.550.730.620.23
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L22D01L10W20W40W11D01L40WH·LEI12/04A·BRE19/04H·WES26/04H·NEW04/05A·WOL10/05H·LIV19/05A·TOT25/05H·FUL16/08A·EVE24/08A·OXF27/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.700.800.671.470.73
vs Stronger (3)1.330.001.500.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)1.000.810.690.771.310.85
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W00D00D00D11D10W20W00DA·EVE19/04H·AST22/04A·NOT27/04H·WOL02/05A·SOU10/05A·CRY17/05H·BOU20/05A·FUL25/05A·WOL16/08H·TOT23/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.571.360.361.190.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.172.001.001.001.333.00
vs Weaker (24)1.290.211.450.181.150.23
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls85.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Brighton's squad is €706m less valuable than Manchester City's (€620m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Brighton's attack is €445m less valuable than Manchester City's (€190m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brighton's midfield is €20m more valuable than Manchester City's (€180m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Brighton's defence is €282m less valuable than Manchester City's (€249m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BHA wins
2
Draws
5
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Manchester City · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25AManchester City Vs BHA2-2
09/11/24HBHA Vs Manchester City2-1
25/04/24HBHA Vs Manchester City0-4
21/10/23AManchester City Vs BHA2-1
24/05/23HBHA Vs Manchester City1-1
22/10/22AManchester City Vs BHA3-1
20/04/22AManchester City Vs BHA3-0
23/10/21HBHA Vs Manchester City1-4

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/25AOxford Vs BHA0-6
24/08/25AEverton Vs BHA2-0
16/08/25HBHA Vs Fulham1-1
25/05/25ATottenham Vs BHA1-4
19/05/25HBHA Vs Liverpool3-2
10/05/25AWolves Vs BHA0-2
04/05/25HBHA Vs Newcastle1-1
26/04/25HBHA Vs West Ham3-2
19/04/25ABrentford Vs BHA4-2
12/04/25HBHA Vs Leicester2-2

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HMC Vs Tottenham0-2
16/08/25AWolves Vs MC0-4
25/05/25AFulham Vs MC0-2
20/05/25HMC Vs Bournemouth3-1
17/05/25ACrystal Palace Vs MC1-0
10/05/25ASouthampton Vs MC0-0
02/05/25HMC Vs Wolves1-0
27/04/25ANottingham Forest Vs MC0-2
22/04/25HMC Vs Aston Villa2-1
19/04/25AEverton Vs MC0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.58
HomeDWDWD1.59
AwayLWWLW1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%41%43%
AVG goals3.262.963.61
Over 1.5 %90%85%96%
Over 2.5 %68%67%70%
Over 3.5 %44%37%52%
Scored1.801.592.04
Conceded1.461.371.57
BTTS66%70%61%
Clean Sheet24%19%30%
Corners9.729.2310.24
Cards4.374.504.24
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.70
HomeWWWWL2.09
AwayWDLWW1.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%65%41%
AVG goals3.343.832.93
Over 1.5 %86%91%81%
Over 2.5 %66%74%59%
Over 3.5 %46%61%33%
Scored2.022.571.56
Conceded1.321.261.37
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners9.899.3310.38
Cards3.623.843.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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