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Brighton vs Manchester United Result & Analysis

Date: 07/05/2022
Time: 17:30
Final 4-0
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: A Madley
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Brighton and Manchester United is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The probability of a Brighton victory sits at 39%, a draw at 29% and a United win at 32%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.8% chance. Brighton, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 0.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded, while United, on the road, averages 1.88 scored and 1.75 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 91.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 80.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.2% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.9%. Brighton’s recent form shows a win-win-draw-lose-draw streak after a defeat to Chelsea, whereas United come off a win, having beaten Ipswich 5-2. The match remains finely balanced, with each side capable of turning the tide.

Results analysis

The win extends Brighton’s recent run, as they beat Manchester United 4-0 at home, confirming the model’s pick of a home victory. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 39% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s other selections performed largely as expected: Under 5.5 cards hit at 91.2%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 80.9%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 78.0%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 77.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 74.2%, while Under 3.5 missed at 73.9%. Brighton’s form had dipped after a defeat, yet they dominated the match, while Manchester United’s away form had been solid, but they were unable to contain the hosts.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 3.02
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.34
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.46
Edge
-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L02L02L00D21W10W03L22D30WH·AST26/02A·NEW05/03H·LIV12/03H·TOT16/03H·NOR02/04A·ARS09/04A·TOT16/04A·MAN20/04H·SOU24/04A·WOL30/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.270.571.361.191.19
vs Stronger (6)0.832.000.332.001.332.00
vs Similar (23)0.871.130.641.181.081.08
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D14L32W11D01L32W04L13L11D30WH·WAT26/02A·MAN06/03H·TOT12/03H·LEI02/04A·EVE09/04H·NOR16/04A·LIV19/04A·ARS23/04H·CHE28/04H·BRE02/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.571.441.191.502.00
vs Stronger (2)0.503.000.002.001.004.00
vs Similar (16)1.811.501.751.251.881.75
vs Weaker (12)1.171.421.291.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 2.04+0.9%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.80-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
Brighton goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
08.8%8.0%5.7%2.3%0.7%
19.0%14%7.7%3.1%1.0%
27.0%8.5%5.2%2.1%0.7%
33.2%3.9%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Brighton is 0.18 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Brighton is 0.39 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Brighton is 0.34 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Brighton is 2.2 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (55% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 5.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

130376647442111126376747210121181313913119A·WOLH·SOUA·MANA·TOTA·ARSH·NORH·TOTH·LIVA·NEWH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

901213334311223111453136724429A·WOLH·SOUA·MANA·TOTA·ARSH·NORH·TOTH·LIVA·NEWH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

310461277121014191212111191215108171110191924312320271828A·WOLH·SOUA·MANA·TOTA·ARSH·NORH·TOTH·LIVA·NEWH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 4.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

13038297121067756545394311118121312119127H·BREH·CHEA·ARSA·LIVH·NORA·EVEH·LEIH·TOTA·MANH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.4

🟨 Cards

7011432122222111173044310H·BREH·CHEA·ARSA·LIVH·NORA·EVEH·LEIH·TOTA·MANH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 7.0 · Total 15.5

⚠️ Fouls

24046912129637610413687141027102121913141915249H·BREH·CHEA·ARSA·LIVH·NORA·EVEH·LEIH·TOTA·MANH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.411.03.73.63.820.020.419.7
vs Stronger (8)11.611.811.54.14.83.520.120.020.2
vs Similar (39)10.610.211.13.63.33.919.920.619.2
vs Weaker (3)9.79.010.03.04.02.521.717.024.0
% over line62%56%68%48%44%52%34%44%24%
% under line38%44%32%52%56%48%66%56%76%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.910.73.32.74.019.718.421.0
vs Stronger (3)10.010.010.02.33.02.022.021.022.5
vs Similar (29)10.310.210.43.63.14.120.218.222.4
vs Weaker (18)10.39.511.43.12.24.118.418.418.4
% over line64%65%62%44%38%50%32%19%46%
% under line36%35%38%56%62%50%68%81%54%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.5
Southampton
11.3
Leicester
10.9
Aston Villa
10.9
Brighton
10.7
Liverpool
10.7
Leeds
10.4
Watford
10.3
Tottenham
10.3
Manchester United
10.3
Everton
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Wolves
10.1
West Ham
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Arsenal
9.6
Brentford
9.5
Newcastle
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
4.3
Leeds
4.1
Newcastle
3.7
Everton
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Brighton
3.7
Wolves
3.6
Watford
3.3
Chelsea
3.3
Manchester United
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Crystal Palace
3.2
Southampton
3.1
Norwich
3.1
Brentford
3.1
Leicester
3.0
Manchester City
3.0
Liverpool
3.0
West Ham
2.9
Burnley
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.7
Crystal Palace
23.3
Watford
22.9
Leeds
22.9
Norwich
22.3
Brentford
21.7
Tottenham
21.5
Chelsea
21.2
Leicester
21.2
Southampton
21.1
Newcastle
20.4
Everton
20.3
Wolves
20.1
Brighton
20.0
Manchester United
19.7
Arsenal
19.3
Burnley
18.9
Liverpool
18.7
Manchester City
18.6
West Ham
16.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.4%
Under 9.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.8%
Under 21.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L01L00D10W00D00D21W10WH·AST26/02A·NEW05/03H·LIV12/03H·TOT16/03H·NOR02/04A·ARS09/04A·TOT16/04A·MAN20/04H·SOU24/04A·WOL30/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.360.790.380.50
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.001.330.670.67
vs Similar (23)0.350.570.450.640.250.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L21W00D01L21W02L12L00D10WH·WAT26/02A·MAN06/03H·TOT12/03H·LEI02/04A·EVE09/04H·NOR16/04A·LIV19/04A·ARS23/04H·CHE28/04H·BRE02/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.690.620.570.79
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (16)0.560.690.500.750.620.62
vs Weaker (12)0.750.501.000.290.400.80
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L01L00D11D10W03L01L20WH·AST26/02A·NEW05/03H·LIV12/03H·TOT16/03H·NOR02/04A·ARS09/04A·TOT16/04A·MAN20/04H·SOU24/04A·WOL30/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.210.570.810.69
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.330.670.671.33
vs Similar (23)0.520.570.180.550.830.58
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D11D00D11D02L01L11D20WH·WAT26/02A·MAN06/03H·TOT12/03H·LEI02/04A·EVE09/04H·NOR16/04A·LIV19/04A·ARS23/04H·CHE28/04H·BRE02/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.870.750.560.931.21
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (16)1.250.811.250.501.251.12
vs Weaker (12)0.420.920.290.710.601.20
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards91.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards80.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners78.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper50%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Mats Wieffer25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Malick Yalcouyé25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Dunk33%
Costinha33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Luka Vušković25%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Diego Gómez25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Gómez50%
Yasin Ayari33%
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Manchester United · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €310m less valuable than Manchester United's (€620m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €242m less valuable than Manchester United's (€190m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brighton's midfield is €56m less valuable than Manchester United's (€180m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Brighton's defence is €12m less valuable than Manchester United's (€249m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BHA wins
0
Draws
3
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Manchester United · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/22AManchester United Vs BHA2-0
04/04/21AManchester United Vs BHA2-1
26/09/20HBHA Vs Manchester United2-3

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22AWolves Vs BHA0-3
24/04/22HBHA Vs Southampton2-2
20/04/22AManchester City Vs BHA3-0
16/04/22ATottenham Vs BHA0-1
09/04/22AArsenal Vs BHA1-2
02/04/22HBHA Vs Norwich0-0
16/03/22HBHA Vs Tottenham0-2
12/03/22HBHA Vs Liverpool0-2
05/03/22ANewcastle Vs BHA2-1
26/02/22HBHA Vs Aston Villa0-2

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/22HMU Vs Brentford3-0
28/04/22HMU Vs Chelsea1-1
23/04/22AArsenal Vs MU3-1
19/04/22ALiverpool Vs MU4-0
16/04/22HMU Vs Norwich3-2
09/04/22AEverton Vs MU1-0
02/04/22HMU Vs Leicester1-1
12/03/22HMU Vs Tottenham3-2
06/03/22AManchester City Vs MU4-1
26/02/22HMU Vs Watford0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.20
HomeLLLDD1.12
AwayLWWLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals2.142.082.20
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %36%32%40%
Over 3.5 %10%12%8%
Scored0.980.921.04
Conceded1.161.161.16
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners10.7210.4011.04
Cards3.663.563.76
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.72
HomeWDWDW1.85
AwayWLLLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals2.902.962.83
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.601.731.46
Conceded1.301.231.38
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners10.309.9210.71
Cards3.322.733.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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