The encounter between Brighton and Manchester United feels razor-thin, with the model favouring a home victory yet recognising a tight contest. The predicted probabilities are 40% for a Brighton win, 26% for a draw and 33% for a United win, making a home win the model’s pick. The average goal expectation sits at three, but the most probable total is two goals, with a 23% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 12.1% probability. Brighton, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while United, on the road, averages 1.36 scored and 2.18 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 8.5 corners (88.8%), Over 9.5 corners (81.7%), Over 1.5 goals (81.7%), Over 2.5 cards (81.5%), Under 25.5 fouls (77.5%), Over 10.5 corners (72.7%) and Under 5.5 cards (71.9%). Brighton’s recent form shows a win-win-draw-lose-draw pattern after a defeat to Chelsea, while United come off a win against Ipswich. The match promises a balanced showdown with both sides capable of turning the tide.
Results analysis
Brighton finished 0-2 against Manchester United (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 40% home win, 26% draw and 33% away win. Picks that landed: Over 8.5 corners (89%), Over 9.5 corners (82%), Over 1.5 (82%), Over 2.5 cards (82%), Under 25.5 fouls (78%), Over 10.5 corners (73%), Under 5.5 cards (72%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brighton win✗ Miss
40.3%
Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.62
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 4.02
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied 39.4% · @ 2.44
Edge
-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.29
1.14
1.00
1.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.75
0.00
3.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.16
1.50
0.75
1.15
1.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.67
1.71
1.36
1.62
1.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.95
1.88
1.62
1.36
2.18
vs Weaker (9)
2.11
1.00
1.80
1.00
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.31-14.1%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 3.46+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
Brighton goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.8%
5.0%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.6%
12%
7.9%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.1%
8.8%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.3%
4.7%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Brighton is 0.32 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Brighton is 0.05 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Brighton is 0.11 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Brighton is 9.5 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (60% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brighton
For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 5.1 · Against 8.3 · Total 13.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.0
5.1
5.0
5.3
23.4
23.5
23.3
vs Stronger (8)
9.0
9.5
8.5
3.9
2.8
5.0
24.4
24.8
24.0
vs Similar (40)
9.3
9.6
9.0
5.5
5.5
5.4
23.1
23.3
23.0
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
13.0
11.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
25.0
23.0
27.0
% over line
48%
50%
46%
72%
71%
73%
64%
71%
58%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
28%
29%
27%
36%
29%
42%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.4
13.2
11.6
4.2
4.0
4.3
19.8
19.4
20.3
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
12.5
13.5
2.8
4.0
1.5
15.8
16.0
15.5
vs Similar (32)
12.1
12.9
11.4
4.2
4.2
4.2
19.9
19.5
20.4
vs Weaker (14)
13.0
14.0
11.7
4.4
3.8
5.3
20.8
20.1
21.7
% over line
70%
77%
62%
58%
58%
58%
34%
35%
33%
% under line
30%
23%
38%
42%
42%
42%
66%
65%
67%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.4
Tottenham
12.0
Bournemouth
11.6
Everton
11.2
Liverpool
11.2
Luton
10.9
Newcastle
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Brentford
10.6
Burnley
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Chelsea
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Aston Villa
10.0
Brighton
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brighton
5.1
Chelsea
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Aston Villa
4.9
Tottenham
4.9
Newcastle
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.2
West Ham
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Burnley
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Bournemouth
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Everton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Luton
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Fulham
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.4
Wolves
23.9
Crystal Palace
23.9
Chelsea
23.7
Luton
23.5
Brighton
23.4
Aston Villa
23.2
Newcastle
22.9
Bournemouth
22.9
Liverpool
22.2
Arsenal
21.9
Everton
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Brentford
21.3
Burnley
21.2
West Ham
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Sheffield United
19.9
Manchester United
19.8
Manchester City
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
81.7%
Under 9.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.1%
Under 21.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.64
0.50
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.52
0.75
0.25
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.84
0.62
0.88
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.22
0.60
0.20
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.64
0.64
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.64
0.75
0.50
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
1.14
0.79
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.11
1.25
0.75
0.64
1.36
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.78
1.20
0.80
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Brighton's squad is €310m less valuable than Manchester United's (€620m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Brighton's attack is €242m less valuable than Manchester United's (€190m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Brighton's midfield is €56m less valuable than Manchester United's (€180m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Brighton's defence is €12m less valuable than Manchester United's (€249m vs €261m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United