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Brighton vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 06/11/2021
Time: 17:30
Final 1-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Match preview & prediction

Brighton are tipped to win, with the model favouring a home victory at 45%. The match is expected to be a modest affair, averaging 2.5 goals, with the most likely total of two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% chance. Brighton’s home form shows they average one goal scored and 0.73 conceded against similar opposition, while Newcastle’s away numbers are 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 92%, Under 25.5 fouls at 89.4%, Under 4.5 cards at 82.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 79.7%, Under 3.5 goals at 76.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 72.2%, and Under 11.5 corners at 71.4%. The home win probability stands at 45%, the draw at 29%, and the away win at 26%. Both sides have been on two-game winning streaks, with Brighton’s last win a 4-0 triumph over Tromsø and Newcastle’s last a 2-0 victory over Tottenham.

Results analysis

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Brighton, who had been on a two-game winning run and were tipped to win with a 45% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Newcastle, also on a two-game winning streak, held Brighton to a level result. The model’s selection of a Home win was incorrect, but its other picks delivered mixed outcomes. The Under 3.5 was hit, as were the Over 1.5 and Under 11.5 corners, each with probabilities of 76.1%, 72.2% and 71.4% respectively. The remaining selections - Under 5.5 cards, Under 25.5 fouls, Under 4.5 cards, Under 23.5 fouls - were missed, with probabilities of 92.0%, 89.4%, 82.1% and 79.7% respectively. The match’s most likely score of 1-1, with a 27% chance, proved accurate, while the expected total of 2.5 goals was not reached.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✗ Miss
44.6%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.59
Edge
-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.13
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.84
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W02L10W21W11D00D00D14L22DA·BUR14/08H·WAT21/08H·EVE28/08A·BRE11/09H·LEI19/09A·CRY27/09H·ARS02/10A·NOR16/10H·MAN23/10A·LIV30/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.931.130.930.870.93
vs Stronger (6)1.171.671.332.001.001.33
vs Similar (21)1.000.811.000.731.000.90
vs Weaker (3)0.670.332.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L02L22D14L11D11D12L23L11D03LH·WES15/08A·AST21/08H·SOU28/08A·MAN11/09H·LEE17/09A·WAT25/09A·WOL02/10H·TOT17/10A·CRY23/10H·CHE30/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.831.532.071.071.60
vs Stronger (3)1.332.331.503.001.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.162.001.442.220.901.80
vs Weaker (8)1.621.251.751.251.501.25
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.89-5.5%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.94+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.7%
No
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
Brighton goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
09.6%7.5%4.6%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.6%9.0%4.7%1.7%0.4%
34.1%4.3%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Brighton is 0.05 points better than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Brighton is 0.05 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Brighton is 0.47 goals better than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Brighton is 14.8 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (55% vs 40%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 5.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

130357648855649614572678131213111379913A·LIVH·MANA·NORH·ARSA·CRYH·LEIA·BREH·EVEH·WATA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

8022235321322123124124583535343A·LIVH·MANA·NORH·ARSA·CRYH·LEIA·BREH·EVEH·WATA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 8.0 · Total 17.2

⚠️ Fouls

220581061458510128101297911671013161913221821161717A·LIVH·MANA·NORH·ARSA·CRYH·LEIA·BREH·EVEH·WATA·BUR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130273294654537444376210114119108713H·CHEA·CRYH·TOTA·WOLA·WATH·LEEA·MANH·SOUA·ASTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

70324351234221334315762741671H·CHEA·CRYH·TOTA·WOLA·WATH·LEEA·MANH·SOUA·ASTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

3101412913134515121991129116188432622172031201117267H·CHEA·CRYH·TOTA·WOLA·WATH·LEEA·MANH·SOUA·ASTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (48)10.310.010.63.13.22.920.320.120.5
vs Stronger (9)10.310.010.83.04.01.817.218.016.2
vs Similar (35)10.310.110.53.13.13.121.120.821.4
vs Weaker (4)10.08.511.53.53.04.020.019.021.0
% over line52%50%54%33%29%38%35%38%33%
% under line48%50%46%67%71%62%65%62%67%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (48)9.99.110.73.53.93.221.221.520.9
vs Stronger (6)10.712.09.33.34.32.318.720.716.7
vs Similar (29)10.29.111.43.74.03.421.422.120.8
vs Weaker (13)8.87.79.93.23.53.021.820.323.0
% over line52%42%62%56%71%42%44%46%42%
% under line48%58%38%44%29%58%56%54%58%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Leeds
11.3
Burnley
10.7
Aston Villa
10.7
Leicester
10.5
Everton
10.4
Chelsea
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Watford
10.3
Brighton
10.3
Arsenal
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Norwich
10.0
Tottenham
10.0
Newcastle
9.9
Manchester City
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.8
Manchester United
9.7
West Ham
9.7
Brentford
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
3.9
Tottenham
3.6
Newcastle
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Watford
3.4
Everton
3.3
Wolves
3.3
Norwich
3.3
Leeds
3.3
Arsenal
3.2
Brentford
3.2
Leicester
3.2
Southampton
3.1
Brighton
3.1
Manchester City
3.0
Crystal Palace
2.9
Chelsea
2.9
Liverpool
2.7
West Ham
2.7
Burnley
2.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
26.0
Brentford
24.9
Watford
24.7
Norwich
24.4
Tottenham
23.9
Leeds
22.8
Southampton
22.7
Crystal Palace
22.3
Manchester United
21.9
Leicester
21.7
Wolves
21.5
Chelsea
21.5
Newcastle
21.2
Brighton
20.3
Everton
20.2
Burnley
20.0
Arsenal
19.7
Liverpool
19.4
Manchester City
19.4
West Ham
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
34.5%
Under 21.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W01L00D10W01L00D00D03L12LA·BUR14/08H·WAT21/08H·EVE28/08A·BRE11/09H·LEI19/09A·CRY27/09H·ARS02/10A·NOR16/10H·MAN23/10A·LIV30/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.470.400.400.47
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.001.330.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.480.290.450.180.500.40
vs Weaker (3)0.670.332.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L00D01L11D10W11D13L00D00DH·WES15/08A·AST21/08H·SOU28/08A·MAN11/09H·LEE17/09A·WAT25/09A·WOL02/10H·TOT17/10A·CRY23/10H·CHE30/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.930.930.400.73
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.531.000.891.110.200.90
vs Weaker (8)1.000.251.000.251.000.25
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L10W11D10W00D00D11D10WA·BUR14/08H·WAT21/08H·EVE28/08A·BRE11/09H·LEI19/09A·CRY27/09H·ARS02/10A·NOR16/10H·MAN23/10A·LIV30/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.670.530.470.47
vs Stronger (6)1.000.671.330.670.670.67
vs Similar (21)0.520.520.550.550.500.50
vs Weaker (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L22D13L00D01L01L10W11D03LH·WES15/08A·AST21/08H·SOU28/08A·MAN11/09H·LEE17/09A·WAT25/09A·WOL02/10H·TOT17/10A·CRY23/10H·CHE30/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.000.601.130.670.87
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.631.000.561.110.700.90
vs Weaker (8)0.621.000.751.000.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards92.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls89.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards82.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls79.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.576.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper67%
Olivier Boscagli33%
Mats Wieffer33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pascal Groß33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Luka Vušković33%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper33%
Diego Gómez33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maxim De Cuyper33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Diego Gómez33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Newcastle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €52m more valuable than Newcastle's (€620m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €44m less valuable than Newcastle's (€190m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brighton's midfield is €56m more valuable than Newcastle's (€180m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Brighton's defence is €39m more valuable than Newcastle's (€249m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
0
Draws
0
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Newcastle · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
20/03/21HBHA Vs Newcastle3-0
20/09/20ANewcastle Vs BHA0-3

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/21ALiverpool Vs BHA2-2
23/10/21HBHA Vs Manchester City1-4
16/10/21ANorwich Vs BHA0-0
02/10/21HBHA Vs Arsenal0-0
27/09/21ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1
19/09/21HBHA Vs Leicester2-1
11/09/21ABrentford Vs BHA0-1
28/08/21HBHA Vs Everton0-2
21/08/21HBHA Vs Watford2-0
14/08/21ABurnley Vs BHA1-2

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/21HNEW Vs Chelsea0-3
23/10/21ACrystal Palace Vs NEW1-1
17/10/21HNEW Vs Tottenham2-3
02/10/21AWolves Vs NEW2-1
25/09/21AWatford Vs NEW1-1
17/09/21HNEW Vs Leeds1-1
11/09/21AManchester United Vs NEW4-1
28/08/21HNEW Vs Southampton2-2
21/08/21AAston Villa Vs NEW2-0
15/08/21HNEW Vs West Ham2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.19
HomeWLWDL1.17
AwayWWDDD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%29%
AVG goals2.252.332.17
Over 1.5 %67%71%62%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %17%21%12%
Scored1.061.121.00
Conceded1.191.211.17
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet33%38%29%
Corners10.299.9610.62
Cards3.083.252.92
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.02
HomeLDDLL1.04
AwayLLDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%25%25%
AVG goals2.963.292.62
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %50%67%33%
Over 3.5 %27%38%17%
Scored1.191.381.00
Conceded1.771.921.62
BTTS60%75%46%
Clean Sheet15%8%21%
Corners9.909.1210.67
Cards3.543.923.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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