Brighton and Newcastle enter a tightly contested Premier League clash, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 40% for Brighton, 26% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively match, yet the most likely total is two goals, at 23%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 11.8% chance. Brighton’s home form shows they average 2.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Newcastle’s away numbers are 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 89.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.8%, Under 23.5 fouls at 79.9% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.4%. Brighton’s recent five matches are LWWDL, coming off a loss to Chelsea, whereas Newcastle are on a two-game winning run after a 2-0 victory over Tottenham. This balanced set of figures leaves the outcome uncertain, though the model’s pick remains a Brighton win.
Results analysis
Brighton edged Newcastle 3-1, a result that confirms the model’s pre-match favourite and its 40% probability of a home win. The win extends Brighton’s recent form, which now reads LWWDL after a 3-4 loss to Chelsea, while Newcastle’s 2-game winning streak continues. The model’s selection of a 3-1 outcome was correct, and the most likely score of 1-1 (23%) proved a poor predictor. Among the suggested picks, the Over 2.5 cards (85.6%) and Over 3.5 cards (70.4%) hit, while the Under 25.5 fouls (89.5%) and Under 23.5 fouls (79.9%) missed. The Over 1.5 goal selection (82.8%) also succeeded, reflecting the match’s high scoring.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brighton win✓ Hit
40.1%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.55
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.81
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
34.0%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.58
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.47
2.25
1.38
2.14
1.57
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
1.25
2.00
1.67
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
2.12
1.52
2.17
1.33
2.08
1.69
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.93
2.00
0.80
1.73
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.50
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
2.26
0.84
2.67
0.44
1.90
1.20
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.60
1.67
0.67
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.48-4.4%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.70+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
Brighton goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
5.5%
4.9%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.2%
12%
8.0%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.9%
8.7%
6.5%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.2%
4.7%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.9%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Brighton is 0.32 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Brighton is 0.79 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 2.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Brighton and Newcastle are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Brighton is 7.8 percentage points better than Newcastle in terms of average possession (60% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brighton
For 6.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 7.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.2
9.2
4.0
4.0
4.0
22.2
21.9
22.4
vs Stronger (8)
9.6
8.3
10.4
4.0
4.3
3.8
24.1
22.7
25.0
vs Similar (41)
10.3
11.5
8.9
4.0
4.0
4.1
21.8
21.8
21.8
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
60%
72%
48%
52%
52%
52%
58%
64%
52%
% under line
40%
28%
52%
48%
48%
48%
42%
36%
48%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.8
10.6
3.7
3.7
3.6
21.6
22.5
20.5
vs Stronger (11)
11.3
12.7
9.6
4.5
3.8
5.2
21.2
21.2
21.2
vs Similar (30)
10.6
10.3
10.9
3.8
3.9
3.7
22.7
24.5
20.9
vs Weaker (9)
10.2
10.0
10.5
2.4
3.2
1.5
18.3
18.2
18.5
% over line
68%
65%
71%
48%
46%
50%
42%
50%
33%
% under line
32%
35%
29%
52%
54%
50%
58%
50%
67%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Everton
10.9
West Ham
10.9
Bournemouth
10.7
Newcastle
10.7
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Manchester United
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Tottenham
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Brentford
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Liverpool
9.9
Arsenal
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.4
Manchester City
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wolves
4.3
Chelsea
4.3
Everton
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Burnley
3.8
Luton
3.8
Newcastle
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Bournemouth
3.5
Manchester City
3.4
Liverpool
3.0
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.9
Aston Villa
24.1
Chelsea
23.4
Luton
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Brighton
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Wolves
22.0
Tottenham
21.7
Newcastle
21.6
Arsenal
21.1
Bournemouth
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Everton
20.5
Sheffield United
20.2
Manchester United
20.0
Brentford
19.9
Liverpool
19.7
Manchester City
19.7
West Ham
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
34.2%
Under 21.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.00
0.62
0.93
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.08
0.72
1.17
0.58
1.00
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.87
0.40
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.47
1.22
0.22
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
0.33
0.33
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.77
1.25
0.75
1.21
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
0.50
1.67
0.67
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.80
1.00
0.75
1.08
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.13
0.40
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (19)
1.21
0.37
1.44
0.22
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak49%
Callum Wilson33%
Anthony Gordon27%
Harvey Barnes18%
Sean Longstaff15%
Bruno Guimarães14%
Joelinton12%
Jacob Murphy12%
Sven Botman11%
Miguel Almirón10%
Fabian Schär10%
Joe Willock9%
Sandro Tonali9%
Dan Burn8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Hall5%
Lewis Miley5%
Jamaal Lascelles5%
Valentino Livramento3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Joe White0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton33%
Anthony Gordon29%
Joe White25%
Bruno Guimarães23%
Matt Targett20%
Jamaal Lascelles19%
Sandro Tonali18%
Sean Longstaff18%
Fabian Schär17%
Lewis Hall16%
Nick Pope15%
Kieran Trippier15%
Elliot Anderson13%
Callum Wilson12%
Emil Krafth12%
Sven Botman11%
Dan Burn11%
Harvey Barnes9%
Miguel Almirón8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Miley5%
Martin Dúbravka4%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento3%
Alexander Isak3%
Joe Willock0%
Paul Dummett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier26%
Jacob Murphy25%
Anthony Gordon22%
Lewis Miley20%
Bruno Guimarães19%
Harvey Barnes14%
Sven Botman11%
Elliot Anderson9%
Alexander Isak6%
Dan Burn5%
Sean Longstaff5%
Joelinton4%
Callum Wilson4%
Miguel Almirón3%
Fabian Schär2%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak34%
Callum Wilson21%
Anthony Gordon17%
Miguel Almirón13%
Joelinton12%
Elliot Anderson9%
Lewis Miley5%
Harvey Barnes5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Sean Longstaff2%
Fabian Schär2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Brighton's squad is €52m more valuable than Newcastle's (€620m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Brighton's attack is €44m less valuable than Newcastle's (€190m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Brighton's midfield is €56m more valuable than Newcastle's (€180m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Brighton's defence is €39m more valuable than Newcastle's (€249m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United