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Brighton vs Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: 29/04/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 6-0
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
59%
28%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wolves
Wolves
England: Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Match preview & prediction

Brighton’s defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 0.83 goals conceded per home match, a figure that suggests a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours a Brighton victory, with a 59% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw and 13% for a Wolves win. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a modest tally, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0, carrying a 17.5% probability. Brighton’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored per game against similar-strength opponents, while Wolves, on the road, average only 1.0 goal scored and concede 1.22 against comparable teams.

The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners (86.6%), Under 5.5 cards (82.4%), Under 10.5 corners (78.6%), Under 25.5 fouls (75.3%) and Over 19.5 fouls (72.0%). The remaining picks, Under 3.5 (83.9%), Over 2.5 cards (72.2%) and Under 11.5 corners (hit), complete the list. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, with no other outcomes assigned win chances.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved spot on, as Brighton secured a 6-0 home win, extending their two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite was a Home win, with a 59% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-0 at 14.1%, yet the match produced a far more decisive result. The model’s selections largely performed: Under 11.5 corners hit at 86.6%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 82.4%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 78.6%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 75.3%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 72.0%. The Under 3.5 goal total missed at 83.9%, and Over 2.5 cards missed at 72.2%. Overall, the favoured outcome and most picks aligned with the final outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
59.0%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.57
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 4.28
Edge
+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wolves win✗ Miss
13.1%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.97
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L40W22D10W33D20W12L21W13LA·CRY11/02H·FUL18/02H·WES04/03A·LEE11/03H·CRY15/03H·BRE01/04A·BOU04/04A·TOT08/04A·CHE15/04A·NOT26/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.331.791.001.881.62
vs Stronger (4)2.252.502.502.002.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.771.151.670.831.861.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L10W12L24L11D10W20W12L20WA·FUL24/02A·LIV01/03H·TOT04/03A·NEW12/03H·LEE18/03A·NOT01/04H·CHE08/04H·BRE15/04A·LEI22/04H·CRY25/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.371.061.190.791.57
vs Stronger (12)0.671.500.861.000.402.20
vs Similar (18)1.111.281.221.331.001.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.1%
Under 1.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 1.76-19.5%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 2.11+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.6%
No
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.5%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
Brighton goals ↓
Wolves goals →
01234
013%6.1%2.1%0.4%0.1%
117%12%3.2%0.6%0.1%
214%8.2%2.4%0.5%0.1%
37.1%4.1%1.2%0.2%0.0%
42.7%1.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Wolves goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Brighton is 0.55 points better than Wolves in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Brighton is 1.08 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 0.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Brighton is 0.13 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 7.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

14072827355141474731026191010101451110127A·NOTA·CHEA·TOTA·BOUH·BREH·CRYA·LEEH·WESH·FULA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

50222131121121135142442332355A·NOTA·CHEA·TOTA·BOUH·BREH·CRYA·LEEH·WESH·FULA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

330871111151551116101320912681214111015223016263321142621A·NOTA·CHEA·TOTA·BOUH·BREH·CRYA·LEEH·WESH·FULA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WolvesWolves

For 4.6 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

170611715288345431048253417871679131277H·CRYA·LEIH·BREH·CHEA·NOTH·LEEA·NEWH·TOTA·LIVA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

9054311125534521113229427893252H·CRYA·LEIH·BREH·CHEA·NOTH·LEEA·NEWH·TOTA·LIVA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.1

⚠️ Fouls

3301314161712814101314159101111181413171227332024272421292729H·CRYA·LEIH·BREH·CHEA·NOTH·LEEA·NEWH·TOTA·LIVA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.79.83.63.93.421.121.620.5
vs Stronger (7)11.010.711.24.34.74.023.322.723.8
vs Similar (42)10.110.79.63.53.83.220.621.519.7
vs Weaker (1)9.0-9.05.0-5.025.0-25.0
% over line62%67%58%48%50%46%48%58%38%
% under line38%33%42%52%50%54%52%42%62%
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.911.18.64.14.53.721.421.121.8
vs Stronger (21)10.912.09.93.64.13.119.419.919.0
vs Similar (29)9.210.67.54.64.84.222.921.824.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%62%29%58%58%58%50%50%50%
% under line54%38%71%42%42%42%50%50%50%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.8
Fulham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Brentford
10.6
West Ham
10.4
Manchester United
10.4
Everton
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
Tottenham
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Wolves
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Liverpool
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.2
Manchester City
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Chelsea
4.3
Tottenham
4.3
Leeds
4.2
Wolves
4.1
Aston Villa
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Everton
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
3.9
Newcastle
3.8
Bournemouth
3.7
Brighton
3.6
Manchester United
3.5
Manchester City
3.3
Leicester
3.3
Southampton
3.3
Brentford
2.9
West Ham
2.8
Liverpool
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.4
Aston Villa
23.8
Leeds
23.4
Chelsea
23.2
Nottingham Forest
23.1
Fulham
21.9
Tottenham
21.6
Wolves
21.4
Newcastle
21.1
Brighton
21.1
Leicester
21.0
Bournemouth
20.9
Arsenal
20.8
Southampton
20.7
Everton
20.5
Manchester United
19.8
Brentford
19.4
Liverpool
18.8
Manchester City
18.6
West Ham
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
32.0%
Under 9.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W11D10W22D10W11D11D11DA·CRY11/02H·FUL18/02H·WES04/03A·LEE11/03H·CRY15/03H·BRE01/04A·BOU04/04A·TOT08/04A·CHE15/04A·NOT26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.710.571.000.69
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.920.540.830.501.000.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D01L01L01L10W10W11D10WA·FUL24/02A·LIV01/03H·TOT04/03A·NEW12/03H·LEE18/03A·NOT01/04H·CHE08/04H·BRE15/04A·LEI22/04H·CRY25/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.560.440.360.57
vs Stronger (12)0.420.420.570.290.200.60
vs Similar (18)0.500.560.560.560.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L30W11D00D11D10W01L10W02LA·CRY11/02H·FUL18/02H·WES04/03A·LEE11/03H·CRY15/03H·BRE01/04A·BOU04/04A·TOT08/04A·CHE15/04A·NOT26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.070.430.880.94
vs Stronger (4)1.751.252.501.001.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.850.620.830.330.860.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WolvesWolves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L10W11D23L10W00D10W01L10WA·FUL24/02A·LIV01/03H·TOT04/03A·NEW12/03H·LEE18/03A·NOT01/04H·CHE08/04H·BRE15/04A·LEI22/04H·CRY25/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.500.750.431.00
vs Stronger (12)0.251.080.290.710.201.60
vs Similar (18)0.610.720.670.780.560.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners86.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.583.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards82.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners78.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Trossard31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Alexis Mac Allister26%
Kaoru Mitoma21%
Julio Enciso20%
Pascal Groß19%
Deniz Undav18%
Danny Welbeck16%
Solly March15%
Adam Lallana12%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Joël Veltman3%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Lewis Dunk3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moisés Caicedo27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Alexis Mac Allister23%
Joël Veltman19%
Pascal Groß19%
Facundo Buonanotte15%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Lewis Dunk11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Deniz Undav9%
Robert Sánchez9%
Adam Webster7%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Leandro Trossard6%
Solly March6%
Levi Colwill6%
Evan Ferguson5%
Julio Enciso5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Adam Lallana0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Danny Welbeck0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß22%
Solly March21%
Enock Mwepu17%
Kaoru Mitoma15%
Leandro Trossard12%
Levi Colwill12%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Evan Ferguson11%
Danny Welbeck10%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Adam Lallana6%
Alexis Mac Allister6%
Julio Enciso5%
Joël Veltman3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Robert Sánchez0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Deniz Undav0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Mac Allister31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck23%
Solly March18%
Leandro Trossard12%
Kaoru Mitoma12%
Deniz Undav9%
Pascal Groß5%
Adam Webster4%
Adam Lallana0%
Joël Veltman0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Podence19%
Rúben Neves17%
Matheus Cunha12%
Hee-Chan Hwang11%
João Gomes9%
Gonçalo Guedes8%
Pablo Sarabia8%
Adama Traoré6%
Craig Dawson6%
Toti Gomes6%
Jonny Otto6%
Rayan Aït Nouri5%
Diego Costa4%
Matheus Nunes3%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Pedro Neto0%
João Moutinho0%
Raúl Jiménez0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Max Kilman0%
Mario Lemina0%
Nathan Collins0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Chem Campbell0%
Joe Hodge0%
Hugo Bueno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Gomes45%
Toti Gomes35%
Rúben Neves34%
Nélson Semedo31%
Craig Dawson24%
Pablo Sarabia23%
Diego Costa22%
Boubacar Traoré20%
Rayan Aït Nouri19%
Jonny Otto17%
Joe Hodge17%
Mario Lemina16%
Daniel Podence16%
João Moutinho10%
Max Kilman8%
Gonçalo Guedes8%
Nathan Collins8%
Matheus Cunha6%
Adama Traoré6%
Matheus Nunes6%
José Sá6%
Pedro Neto6%
Hugo Bueno5%
Hee-Chan Hwang4%
Raúl Jiménez0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Chem Campbell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Boubacar Traoré10%
Gonçalo Guedes8%
Raúl Jiménez7%
João Moutinho6%
Mario Lemina5%
Hugo Bueno5%
Hee-Chan Hwang4%
Adama Traoré3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Neves3%
Nélson Semedo3%
Diego Costa0%
Matheus Cunha0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Pedro Neto0%
Pablo Sarabia0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jonny Otto0%
Max Kilman0%
Craig Dawson0%
Nathan Collins0%
Rayan Aït Nouri0%
Toti Gomes0%
Chem Campbell0%
João Gomes0%
Joe Hodge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leander Dendoncker25%
Rúben Neves20%
Gonçalo Guedes15%
Raúl Jiménez13%
Diego Costa13%
Daniel Podence9%
Pablo Sarabia8%
Matheus Cunha6%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Pedro Neto0%
João Moutinho0%
Jonny Otto0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Mario Lemina0%
Craig Dawson0%
Nathan Collins0%
Rayan Aït Nouri0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Toti Gomes0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Chem Campbell0%
João Gomes0%
Joe Hodge0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €346m more valuable than Wolves's (€620m vs €273m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €111m more valuable than Wolves's (€190m vs €79m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €102m more valuable than Wolves's (€180m vs €79m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €133m more valuable than Wolves's (€249m vs €116m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
1
Draws
2
WOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Wolves · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22AWolves Vs BHA2-3
30/04/22AWolves Vs BHA0-3
15/12/21HBHA Vs Wolves0-1
09/05/21AWolves Vs BHA2-1
02/01/21HBHA Vs Wolves3-3

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/23ANottingham Forest Vs BHA3-1
15/04/23AChelsea Vs BHA1-2
08/04/23ATottenham Vs BHA2-1
04/04/23ABournemouth Vs BHA0-2
01/04/23HBHA Vs Brentford3-3
15/03/23HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-0
11/03/23ALeeds Vs BHA2-2
04/03/23HBHA Vs West Ham4-0
18/02/23HBHA Vs Fulham0-1
11/02/23ACrystal Palace Vs BHA1-1

WolvesWolves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/23HWOL Vs Crystal Palace2-0
22/04/23ALeicester Vs WOL2-1
15/04/23HWOL Vs Brentford2-0
08/04/23HWOL Vs Chelsea1-0
01/04/23ANottingham Forest Vs WOL1-1
18/03/23HWOL Vs Leeds2-4
12/03/23ANewcastle Vs WOL2-1
04/03/23HWOL Vs Tottenham1-0
01/03/23ALiverpool Vs WOL2-0
24/02/23AFulham Vs WOL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.52
HomeWLWWD1.42
AwayDWLWL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals2.922.673.15
Over 1.5 %82%67%96%
Over 2.5 %56%46%65%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.601.501.69
Conceded1.321.171.46
BTTS54%38%69%
Clean Sheet28%38%19%
Corners10.2410.679.85
Cards3.643.883.42
Wolves
Wolves
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.08
HomeWLWWW1.38
AwayDLLDL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals2.382.502.25
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %16%23%8%
Scored0.961.120.79
Conceded1.421.381.46
BTTS42%31%54%
Clean Sheet26%38%12%
Corners9.9011.128.58
Cards4.144.543.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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