Brighton’s recent two-game winning streak and a 4-0 demolition of Tromsø give the home side a clear edge, reflected in the model’s 62% home win probability and its pick of a Brighton victory. The Wolves, though in a three-game run of wins, have conceded 1.86 goals per match away, matching their scoring rate, and the model’s 15% away win chance is modest. The expected total of 3.0 goals and the most likely total of 2 goals, with a 23% chance, hint at a tight but active contest. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.6% probability. Brighton averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home against similarly matched opponents, while Wolves average 1.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded away. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 85.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 83.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 81.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 70.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.6% (miss), and Over 3.5 cards at 70.5%. The model therefore favours a Brighton win, with a 62% chance, a draw at 22%, and an away win at 15%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Brighton, fell short of the model’s expectation, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that snapped the home side’s two-game winning run. The model had predicted a home win with a 62% probability, but the outcome proved otherwise. The most likely scoreline, 2-0, had a 10.5% chance, yet the 1-1 and 2-1 draws were close behind. The model’s other selections largely held: Over 2.5 cards (85.7%) hit, Over 19.5 fouls (83.6%) hit, Over 1.5 (81.3%) hit, Over 21.5 fouls (70.8%) hit, and Over 3.5 cards (70.5%) hit. Only Under 11.5 corners (70.6%) missed. Both Brighton and Wolves entered the game on winning streaks, yet the final result was a surprise draw.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brighton win✗ Miss
62.4%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.57
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.3%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.37
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wolves win✗ Miss
15.3%
Avg Implied 16.9% · @ 5.67
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.50
1.44
1.25
1.14
1.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
0.00
3.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.29
1.46
1.00
1.27
1.64
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
2.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
2.03
1.33
1.87
1.40
2.20
vs Stronger (14)
1.14
2.71
1.33
3.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (16)
1.56
1.44
1.33
1.11
1.86
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.61-1.5%
Under 2.5
42.0%
@ 2.37+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2 ✓
4.7%
Brighton goals ↓
Wolves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
3.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
1
9.2%
11%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.3%
3
7.3%
6.9%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.8%
3.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Wolves goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Brighton is 0.50 points better than Wolves in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Brighton is 0.32 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Brighton is 0.26 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brighton
For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolves
For 3.5 · Against 8.4 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.4
4.7
4.4
5.0
22.6
23.6
21.7
vs Stronger (7)
9.9
10.7
9.2
4.4
2.7
5.8
22.4
24.0
21.2
vs Similar (41)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.8
4.8
4.8
22.6
23.6
21.6
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
58%
57%
60%
68%
64%
72%
58%
74%
44%
% under line
42%
43%
40%
32%
36%
28%
42%
26%
56%
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.2
4.8
5.4
4.2
23.7
23.2
24.2
vs Stronger (23)
10.7
11.2
10.2
4.9
5.9
3.8
23.7
23.6
23.9
vs Similar (27)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.6
4.8
4.4
23.7
22.8
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
54%
67%
76%
88%
64%
69%
67%
71%
% under line
40%
46%
33%
24%
12%
36%
31%
33%
29%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.7
Manchester United
12.3
Bournemouth
11.7
Southampton
11.6
Everton
11.2
Manchester City
10.9
Brentford
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Liverpool
10.8
Fulham
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Wolves
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Chelsea
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Aston Villa
9.7
West Ham
9.6
Brighton
9.5
Arsenal
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.4
Aston Villa
5.3
Wolves
5.0
Brighton
5.0
Tottenham
4.9
Southampton
4.8
Newcastle
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Bournemouth
4.4
Leicester
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Brentford
4.2
Liverpool
4.2
West Ham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Arsenal
3.9
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.8
Wolves
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Bournemouth
23.2
Newcastle
23.2
Aston Villa
23.2
Ipswich
23.2
Brighton
22.5
Southampton
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Liverpool
21.8
Everton
21.6
Arsenal
21.6
Leicester
21.4
Fulham
21.4
West Ham
21.3
Brentford
20.7
Manchester United
20.2
Manchester City
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.1%
Under 9.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.8%
Under 21.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.69
0.56
0.64
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.62
0.77
0.38
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.60
0.73
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.21
0.67
1.17
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.88
0.56
0.44
1.29
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.75
0.69
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.67
0.69
0.62
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.73
1.13
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.50
0.67
1.83
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.78
0.67
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matheus Cunha44%
Jørgen Strand Larsen32%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Rayan Aït Nouri12%
Gonçalo Guedes12%
Pablo Sarabia11%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
João Gomes10%
Hee-Chan Hwang8%
Matt Doherty6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Mario Lemina5%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde5%
Tommy Doyle4%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera40%
João Gomes28%
Nélson Semedo24%
Mario Lemina21%
Toti Gomes21%
André19%
Carlos Forbs18%
Matt Doherty17%
Rayan Aït Nouri17%
Emmanuel Agbadou17%
Pablo Sarabia14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Craig Dawson12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Santiago Bueno9%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde8%
Tommy Doyle8%
José Sá7%
Gonçalo Guedes3%
Daniel Podence0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence33%
Pedro Lima17%
Mario Lemina16%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde15%
Gonçalo Guedes15%
Rayan Aït Nouri15%
Matheus Cunha14%
Nélson Semedo14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Pablo Sarabia7%
Marshall Munetsi6%
Matt Doherty6%
João Gomes5%
Hee-Chan Hwang4%
Tommy Doyle4%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
José Sá0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matheus Cunha39%
Jørgen Strand Larsen16%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Mario Lemina11%
Gonçalo Guedes9%
João Gomes5%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Rayan Aït Nouri2%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Pablo Sarabia0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €346m more valuable than Wolves's (€620m vs €273m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €111m more valuable than Wolves's (€190m vs €79m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €102m more valuable than Wolves's (€180m vs €79m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €133m more valuable than Wolves's (€249m vs €116m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton