Bromley are tipped to take the win, with a 42% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 30% for an AFC Wimbledon victory. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals, with the most likely total being two. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.7% probability. Bromley, playing at home against a similar-strength side, average 1.27 goals scored and 1.07 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon, on the road, average 0.83 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.3% with a 2% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0% with a 7% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.9% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4%, Under 5.5 at 95.1% with a 3% edge and Home under 3.5 goals at 94.3% with a 3% edge. Bromley’s recent run of LLDWD, including a 0-5 loss to Leyton Orient, contrasts with Wimbledon’s LWLDL streak and a 1-4 defeat to Burton.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bromley win
43.4%
Avg Implied 39.2% · @ 2.37
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.45
William Hil
2.45
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.38
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.33
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.56
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Dafabet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
AFC Wimbledon win
29.7%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.82
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.95
Bet365
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bromley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.23
1.27
1.07
1.53
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.45
1.28
1.27
1.07
1.64
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.77
1.13
1.60
0.87
1.93
vs Stronger (17)
0.94
2.24
1.00
2.25
0.89
2.22
vs Similar (13)
1.08
1.15
1.29
0.86
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.3%
@ 1.28+7.1%
Under 1.5
20.7%
@ 3.33-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.92+6.0%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.83-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
SBO
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.5%
@ 3.25+4.0%
Under 3.5
67.5%
@ 1.30-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.24
Under
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.32
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.71+4.7%
No
41.2%
@ 2.01-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.75
William Hil
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Bet365
1.70
No
Bet365
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 5.87+5.1%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.60+4.0%
1-0
7.8%@ 7.68+2.0%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.66+2.8%
2-0
7.1%@ 11.15+3.1%
0-0
6.8%@ 9.70+2.2%
0-1
6.1%@ 8.62+0.9%
2-2
5.9%@ 12.57+2.3%
Bromley goals ↓
AFC Wimbledon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
6.1%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
1
7.8%
13%
7.4%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.2%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.9%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bromley goals (down), columns = AFC Wimbledon goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Bromley is 0.08 points worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Bromley is 0.08 goals worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Bromley is 0.11 goals worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bromley
For 4.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AFC Wimbledon
For 5.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bromley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.9
10.5
3.6
3.4
3.8
21.9
20.6
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
10.3
10.0
10.6
3.6
3.4
3.8
22.0
20.5
23.5
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
19.0
22.0
16.0
% over line
61%
60%
62%
52%
50%
54%
59%
44%
75%
% under line
39%
40%
38%
48%
50%
46%
41%
56%
25%
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.9
3.3
3.4
3.2
23.3
23.5
23.0
vs Stronger (24)
9.9
9.5
10.2
3.3
3.0
3.5
22.6
23.5
21.8
vs Similar (25)
10.5
11.4
9.5
3.4
3.9
2.8
23.9
23.6
24.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
62%
52%
46%
48%
44%
69%
79%
60%
% under line
43%
38%
48%
54%
52%
56%
31%
21%
40%
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.7%
@ 1.68+2.6%
Under 9.5
42.3%
@ 2.07-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.1%
@ 1.83-3.9%
Under 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.83+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.6%
Under 21.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bromley or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.39
Edge
+3.4%
43%
27%
30%
covers Bromley + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Bromley or AFC Wimbledon
73.1%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.8%
43%
27%
30%
covers Bromley + AFC Wimbledon
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
56.6%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.52
Edge
-4.2%
43%
27%
30%
covers Draw + AFC Wimbledon
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bromley over/under 0.5
Over
79.6%
@ 1.25+5.4%
Under
20.4%
@ 3.59-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.71
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Bromley over/under 1.5
Over
47.2%
@ 2.27+6.1%
Under
52.8%
@ 1.58-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Bromley over/under 2.5
Over
21.4%
@ 5.24+3.7%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.13-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.45
BetVictor
5.25
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Bromley over/under 3.5
Over
7.8%
@ 11.50-0.5%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.03+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5
Over
72.3%
@ 1.32+2.0%
Under
27.7%
@ 3.12-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5
Over
36.8%
@ 2.62+1.4%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.44-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
BetVictor
1.44
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5
Over
14.0%
@ 6.39-0.6%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.09+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
AFC Wimbledon over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
@ 14.75-2.3%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.02+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bromley, so a minus line means Bromley give that many goals of a start and AFC Wimbledon receive them. At -1, Bromley must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bromley win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bromley)
Bromley -2
9.3%
@ 9.36-0.2%
Draw -2
13.4%
@ 6.16-0.9%
AFC Wimbledon +2
77.3%
@ 1.16+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Bromley)
Bromley -1
22.7%
@ 4.53+3.0%
Draw -1
20.7%
@ 4.00-1.7%
AFC Wimbledon +1
56.6%
@ 1.54-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Unibet
3.75
Away
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Handicap +1 (Bromley)
Bromley +1
70.3%
@ 1.38+5.3%
Draw +1
16.5%
@ 4.48-3.5%
AFC Wimbledon -1
13.2%
@ 5.95-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Away
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
5.80
Handicap +2 (Bromley)
Bromley +2
86.8%
@ 1.10+3.4%
Draw +2
8.8%
@ 8.75-1.7%
AFC Wimbledon -2
4.5%
@ 15.00-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bromley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.40
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.59
0.60
0.40
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.53
0.40
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
0.94
0.38
0.62
0.44
1.22
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.46
0.71
0.14
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.8%
@ 1.37+2.1%
Under 0.5
30.2%
@ 2.87-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.77+1.1%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.39-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Under
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 7.33-0.2%
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.06+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bromley over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.0%
@ 1.99-6.5%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.73+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
Unibet
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Bromley over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 6.39-5.2%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.08+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Bromley over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 16.50-4.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.6%
@ 2.17+6.8%
Under
50.4%
@ 1.62-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Unibet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.9%
@ 7.25+1.1%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.06-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
@ 20.75-1.4%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bromley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.86
0.69
0.67
0.67
1.07
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AFC Wimbledon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.60
1.20
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (17)
0.53
1.29
0.62
1.62
0.44
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.69
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.22+3.2%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 3.85-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
1xBet
3.85
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.8%
@ 2.10-0.6%
Under 1.5
56.2%
@ 1.68+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Unibet
2.12
Betano
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 4.56-0.2%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.17+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bromley over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.4%
@ 1.72-7.7%
Under
53.6%
@ 2.02+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Bromley over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.1%
@ 4.50-5.5%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.17+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Bromley over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 11.38-6.1%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.1%
@ 1.82+11.3%
Under
37.9%
@ 1.88-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.7%
@ 5.21+4.0%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.12-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.6%
@ 14.75+0.1%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.02-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.1%
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.1%
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+0.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+0.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+5.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+0.2%
Home +2 handicap
86.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-1.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+0.6%
Under 5.5 cards
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+5.5%
Under 4.5
83.6%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
-2.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+0.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
79.6%
1.25
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+5.4%
Over 1.5
79.3%
1.28
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+7.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.22
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+3.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
78.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-3.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.12
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-4.0%
Under 25.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.3%
1.16
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+1.1%
Home or Away
73.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.29
+0.8%
Under 4.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.3%
1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
+2.0%
Home or Draw
70.3%
1.39
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
+3.4%
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+5.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bromley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Adeboyejo50%
Michael Cheek25%
O. Sowunmi0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pinnock50%
Chanse Headman33%
O. Sowunmi25%
William Hondermarck25%
J. Mendy25%
Ethon Archer25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Sowunmi25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Pinnock25%
O. Sowunmi0%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
AFC Wimbledon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Maycock25%
J. Stockley20%
Myles Hippolyte20%
A. Yiadom0%
A. Smith0%
D. Sweeney0%
Steven Sessegnon0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
J. Tilley0%
Ryan Johnson0%
A. Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Z. Nelson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Myles Hippolyte40%
A. Yiadom33%
Ryan Johnson25%
A. Smith20%
D. Sweeney20%
Steven Sessegnon20%
Steve Seddon20%
Z. Nelson20%
C. Maycock0%
J. Stockley0%
Joe McDonnell0%
J. Tilley0%
A. Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isaac Ogundere33%
J. Tilley20%
A. Yiadom0%
A. Smith0%
C. Maycock0%
D. Sweeney0%
Steven Sessegnon0%
J. Stockley0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
Myles Hippolyte0%
Ryan Johnson0%
A. Sasu0%
Z. Nelson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Stockley20%
A. Yiadom0%
A. Smith0%
C. Maycock0%
D. Sweeney0%
Steven Sessegnon0%
Joe McDonnell0%
Steve Seddon0%
Myles Hippolyte0%
J. Tilley0%
Ryan Johnson0%
A. Sasu0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Z. Nelson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Bromley's squad is €1m less valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Bromley's attack is €1m less valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Bromley and AFC Wimbledon have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Bromley and AFC Wimbledon have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
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