Bromley enter the match after a 2-7 loss to Sheffield Weds, a stark reminder that their recent form is fragile. Leyton Orient, also coming off a defeat, have struggled to find the net, scoring just 0.64 goals per game away. The model’s probabilities show a 41% chance of a home win, 29% for a draw and 30% for an away win, making a home win the most likely outcome. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14%. Bromley’s home form sees them average 1.4 goals scored and 0.73 conceded against similar opposition, while Leyton Orient average 0.64 scored and 1.14 conceded away. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3% with a 5% edge), Under 5.5 (95.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.0% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (89.6% with a 6% edge), Under 4.5 (89.3% with a 4% edge) and Home +2 handicap (87.8% with a 9% edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Bromley, failed to deliver, with Leyton Orient winning 5-0. The model had tipped a home win at 39% probability, but the prediction was wrong. The final score of 0-5 was a stark reversal of expectations. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 7.5 (99.6%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.6%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%) missed, Under 5.5 (95.9%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (95.4%) hit, Under 4.5 (89.4%) missed, Away under 2.5 goals (88.9%) missed, and Home +2 handicap (86.8%) missed. Bromley’s recent run of LLDWD ended after two straight defeats, while Leyton Orient’s WLDWL streak began with a win, underscoring the upset.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bromley win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.48
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.52
10Bet
2.52
Betano
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.28
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.48
BetVictor
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Leyton Orient win✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.75
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.90
Pinnacle
2.83
Betano
2.77
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bromley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.07
1.40
0.73
1.53
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.52
1.10
1.40
0.73
1.64
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.40
1.20
1.60
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.93
1.32
1.21
1.50
0.64
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
2.50
1.00
3.00
4.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
@ 1.27-1.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
@ 3.47+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
Betfair
3.70
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.1%
@ 1.89-4.7%
Under 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.88+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.8%
@ 3.13-5.9%
Under 3.5
76.2%
@ 1.32+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.05
Under
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
@ 1.67-3.8%
No
48.4%
@ 2.08+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
No
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 5.87+6.5%
1-0
9.8%@ 8.11+4.3%
0-0
9.7%@ 9.32+4.9%
2-1
8.5%@ 8.77+3.4%
0-1
8.4%@ 8.58+3.2%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.38+2.7%
2-0
7.4%@ 12.13+3.7%
0-2
5.6%@ 13.50+2.3%
Bromley goals ↓
Leyton Orient goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
8.4%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
1
9.8%
14%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.4%
8.5%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.2%
3.8%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bromley goals (down), columns = Leyton Orient goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Bromley is 0.05 points worse than Leyton Orient in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Bromley is 0.25 goals worse than Leyton Orient in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Bromley is 0.13 goals worse than Leyton Orient in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.54).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bromley
For 4.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leyton Orient
For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bromley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.5
3.6
3.4
3.8
21.8
20.4
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
10.4
10.2
10.6
3.6
3.4
3.8
21.9
20.4
23.5
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
19.0
22.0
16.0
% over line
61%
60%
62%
52%
50%
54%
59%
44%
75%
% under line
39%
40%
38%
48%
50%
46%
41%
56%
25%
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
4.1
3.9
4.3
23.5
23.8
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.8
10.3
9.4
4.2
3.9
4.5
23.8
24.3
23.3
vs Weaker (3)
7.3
9.0
6.5
2.3
3.0
2.0
19.3
13.0
22.5
% over line
52%
58%
46%
62%
58%
65%
68%
71%
65%
% under line
48%
42%
54%
38%
42%
35%
32%
29%
35%
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.1
Leicester
10.8
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.5
Blackpool
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.9
Mansfield
9.8
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
8.9
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.0
Mansfield
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Luton
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.9
Plymouth
24.6
Bradford
24.5
Stevenage
24.5
Huddersfield
24.4
Luton
24.0
Leyton Orient
23.5
Peterboro
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Blackpool
23.3
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Burton
22.5
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Reading
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Leicester
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.1
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.1%
@ 1.58-5.3%
Under 9.5
46.9%
@ 2.23+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.63
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.7%
Under 21.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bromley or Draw✗ Miss
68.8%
Avg Implied 65.9% · @ 1.41
Edge
+2.9%
39%
30%
31%
covers Bromley + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Bromley or Leyton Orient✓ Hit
70.4%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.1%
39%
30%
31%
covers Bromley + Leyton Orient
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Leyton Orient✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied 62.6% · @ 1.49
Edge
-1.9%
39%
30%
31%
covers Draw + Leyton Orient
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bromley over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.4%
@ 1.26-0.3%
Under
26.6%
@ 3.54+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.73
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.55
Bromley over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.2%
@ 2.30-2.3%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.57+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Bromley over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 5.23-2.9%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.13+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
BetVictor
5.25
Unibet
5.25
Under
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Bromley over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 12.25-3.2%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.29-3.4%
Under
31.5%
@ 3.30+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.43
Superbet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.1%
@ 2.45-6.0%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.50+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Unibet
2.48
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
BetVictor
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.1%
@ 5.72-5.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.11+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Leyton Orient over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.0%
@ 13.67-4.0%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bromley, so a minus line means Bromley give that many goals of a start and Leyton Orient receive them. At -1, Bromley must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bromley win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bromley)Actual: Leyton Orient
Bromley -2
6.6%
@ 10.50-1.9%
Draw -2
11.9%
@ 6.67-1.5%
Leyton Orient +2
81.5%
@ 1.14+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.90
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.60
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Bromley)Actual: Leyton Orient
Bromley -1
18.5%
@ 4.99+0.6%
Draw -1
20.8%
@ 4.09-1.1%
Leyton Orient +1
60.7%
@ 1.48+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Superbet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Bet365
1.44
Handicap +1 (Bromley)Actual: Leyton Orient
Bromley +1
68.8%
@ 1.42+5.7%
Draw +1
17.9%
@ 4.35-2.7%
Leyton Orient -1
13.2%
@ 5.51-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Away
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Handicap +2 (Bromley)Actual: Leyton Orient
Bromley +2
86.8%
@ 1.11+6.7%
Draw +2
9.0%
@ 7.19-3.3%
Leyton Orient -2
4.2%
@ 11.74-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.20
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.95
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bromley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.62
0.55
0.67
0.33
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.68
0.64
0.64
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.82
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bromley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Bromley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Bromley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bromley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
0.73
0.40
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.90
0.55
0.73
0.40
1.07
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Leyton Orient) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leyton Orient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.53
0.93
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.64
0.57
0.86
0.36
0.43
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bromley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.90
William Hil
3.80
1xBet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bromley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Bromley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Bromley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Leyton Orient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
Leyton Orient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Leyton Orient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.4%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+4.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
86.8%
1.11
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
85.1%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.10
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.4%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
1.27
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.6%
1.47
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.43
Betfair
1.40
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
-1.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bromley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Adeboyejo50%
Michael Cheek25%
O. Sowunmi0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pinnock50%
Chanse Headman33%
O. Sowunmi25%
William Hondermarck25%
J. Mendy25%
Ethon Archer25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
O. Sowunmi25%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
M. Pinnock0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Pinnock25%
O. Sowunmi0%
Michael Cheek0%
C. Whitely0%
N. Kabamba0%
Victor Adeboyejo0%
Shamal George0%
Marcus Lemar Ifill0%
William Hondermarck0%
J. Mendy0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Ethon Archer0%
K. Conteh0%
Kamarl Grant0%
Chanse Headman0%
Leyton Orient
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Akhamrich50%
Armando Dobra33%
T. Springett25%
N. Oyekunle25%
I. El Mizouni20%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Hayden60%
F. Stevens60%
T. Springett25%
Theo Archibald20%
I. El Mizouni20%
J. Kabia20%
Phillip Chinedu20%
D. Mitchell0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
Charlie Wellens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Yusuf Akhamrich0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Springett50%
Charlie Wellens25%
Yusuf Akhamrich25%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Isaac Hayden0%
Theo Archibald0%
I. El Mizouni0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Wellens25%
Yusuf Akhamrich25%
Isaac Hayden20%
D. Mitchell20%
J. Kabia20%
Theo Archibald0%
I. El Mizouni0%
Armando Dobra0%
Joseph Olowu0%
James Morris0%
F. Stevens0%
T. Springett0%
Noah Phillips0%
Z. Obiero0%
Phillip Chinedu0%
N. Oyekunle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Bromley's squad is €6m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€4m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Bromley's attack is €3m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€1m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Bromley's midfield is €2m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Bromley's defence is €1m less valuable than Leyton Orient's (€2m vs €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe