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Bryne vs Sogndal Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Bryne
Bryne
Vs
47%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bryne win✓ Hit
46.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sogndal win✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BryneBryne

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1021W10W30W11D31W01L100W01L10W70WH·SOG05/11A·RAU12/11A·STA25/11A·KRI29/11H·STA01/04A·STA06/04A·FOR11/04H·LEV15/04A·RAU20/04A·MAN24/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.971.750.831.891.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.351.131.600.901.151.31
vs Weaker (7)3.430.432.500.503.800.40
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D03L12L11D11D31W62W11D10W22DA·HOD21/10H·KFU28/10A·BRY05/11H·MJO12/11A·VAL01/04H·MJO06/04A·FØR10/04A·ASA15/04H·MOS20/04A·FRØ24/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.501.711.361.621.62
vs Stronger (4)1.001.500.001.001.331.67
vs Similar (25)1.601.481.851.381.331.58
vs Weaker (1)6.002.00--6.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
Bryne goals ↓
Sogndal goals →
01234
08.1%6.5%4.3%1.6%0.4%
19.6%13%6.7%2.5%0.7%
28.4%9.4%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.4%4.9%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.7%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bryne goals (down), columns = Sogndal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Bryne is 0.80 points better than Sogndal in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Bryne is 0.53 goals better than Sogndal in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Bryne is 0.37 goals better than Sogndal in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BryneBryne

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L20W00D00D20W01L50W01L00D20WA·STA29/10H·SOG05/11A·RAU12/11A·KRI29/11H·STA01/04A·STA06/04A·FOR11/04H·LEV15/04A·RAU20/04A·MAN24/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.850.380.650.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.520.430.730.360.330.50
vs Weaker (7)1.430.431.500.501.400.40
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L02L00D10W21W51W10W00D00DA·HOD21/10H·KFU28/10A·BRY05/11H·MJO12/11A·VAL01/04H·MJO06/04A·FØR10/04A·ASA15/04H·MOS20/04A·FRØ24/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.500.570.880.75
vs Stronger (4)0.500.250.000.000.670.33
vs Similar (25)0.560.720.540.620.580.83
vs Weaker (1)5.001.00--5.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bryne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BryneBryne

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L10W11D11D00D50W00D10W50WA·STA29/10H·SOG05/11A·RAU12/11A·KRI29/11H·STA01/04A·STA06/04A·FOR11/04H·LEV15/04A·RAU20/04A·MAN24/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.530.770.381.180.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.700.700.730.450.670.92
vs Weaker (7)2.000.001.000.002.400.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sogndal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SogndalSogndal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W11D01L10W11D01L10W22DA·HOD21/10H·KFU28/10A·BRY05/11H·MJO12/11A·VAL01/04H·MJO06/04A·FØR10/04A·ASA15/04H·MOS20/04A·FRØ24/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.210.790.750.88
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.001.000.671.33
vs Similar (25)1.040.761.310.770.750.75
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bryne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bryne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bryne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sogndal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bryne · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Magnus Grødem38%
Duarte Moreira25%
Sanel Bojadžić23%
Heine Asen Larsen14%
Axel Kryger12%
Alfred Scriven10%
Lasse Qvigstad9%
Nicklas Strunck7%
Mats Selmer Thornes7%
Kristian Skurve Haland6%
Jacob Haahr3%
Eirik Franke Saunes3%
Jon-Helge Tveita0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Jan de Boer0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Patrick Wik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luis Görlich38%
Andreas Skovgaard27%
Lars Erik Sødal26%
Magnus Grødem25%
Axel Kryger24%
Alfred Scriven23%
Heine Asen Larsen18%
Nicklas Strunck18%
Sanel Bojadžić15%
Patrick Wik14%
Jacob Haahr10%
Jens Berland Husebø10%
Duarte Moreira9%
Jesper Gregersen9%
Mats Selmer Thornes7%
Kristian Skurve Haland6%
Jon-Helge Tveita6%
Christian Landu-Landu5%
Lasse Qvigstad4%
Eirik Franke Saunes3%
Jan de Boer3%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Duarte Moreira22%
Alfred Scriven13%
Kristian Skurve Haland12%
Eirik Franke Saunes10%
Andreas Skovgaard9%
Sanel Bojadžić8%
Jon-Helge Tveita6%
Heine Asen Larsen5%
Nicklas Strunck4%
Jacob Haahr0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Jan de Boer0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Axel Kryger0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Mats Selmer Thornes0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Lasse Qvigstad0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Patrick Wik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Duarte Moreira22%
Heine Asen Larsen18%
Magnus Grødem12%
Sanel Bojadžić12%
Alfred Scriven10%
Eirik Franke Saunes7%
Jacob Haahr0%
Jon-Helge Tveita0%
Rasmus Thellufsen0%
Nicklas Strunck0%
Jan de Boer0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Axel Kryger0%
Christian Landu-Landu0%
Robert Undheim0%
Sondre Norheim0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Luis Görlich0%
Mats Selmer Thornes0%
Lars Erik Sødal0%
Lasse Qvigstad0%
Jesper Gregersen0%
Sjur Torgersen Jonassen0%
Kristian Skurve Haland0%
Patrick Wik0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Bryne's squad is €1m more valuable than Sogndal's (€6m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Bryne's attack is €1m more valuable than Sogndal's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Bryne and Sogndal have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Bryne and Sogndal have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
BRY wins
2
Draws
1
SOG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bryne vs Sogndal · H/A from BRY
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23HBRY Vs Sogndal2-1
29/04/23ASogndal Vs BRY2-2
11/09/22HBRY Vs Sogndal3-3
19/04/22ASogndal Vs BRY2-1

BryneBryne

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24AMandalskameratene Vs BRY0-7
20/04/24ARaufoss Vs BRY0-1
15/04/24HBRY Vs Levanger0-1
11/04/24AForus og Gausel Vs BRY0-10
06/04/24AStabaek Vs BRY1-0
01/04/24HBRY Vs Start3-1
29/11/23AKristiansund BK Vs BRY1-1
25/11/23AStart Vs BRY0-3
12/11/23ARaufoss Vs BRY0-1
05/11/23HBRY Vs Sogndal2-1

SogndalSogndal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24AFrøya Vs SOG2-2
20/04/24HSOG Vs Moss1-0
15/04/24AAsane Vs SOG1-1
10/04/24AFørde Vs SOG2-6
06/04/24HSOG Vs Mjondalen3-1
01/04/24AValerenga Vs SOG1-1
12/11/23HSOG Vs Mjondalen1-1
05/11/23ABryne Vs SOG2-1
28/10/23HSOG Vs KFUM Oslo0-3
21/10/23Ahodd Vs SOG2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bryne
Bryne
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.58
HomeDWWWL1.91
AwayDLWWW1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%57%37%
AVG goals3.042.743.30
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %64%65%63%
Over 3.5 %32%26%37%
Scored1.761.701.81
Conceded1.281.041.48
BTTS56%57%56%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Sogndal
Sogndal
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.40
HomeWLDWW1.61
AwayLDWDD1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%30%
AVG goals3.223.093.33
Over 1.5 %84%78%89%
Over 2.5 %62%61%63%
Over 3.5 %34%30%37%
Scored1.641.701.59
Conceded1.581.391.74
BTTS62%61%63%
Clean Sheet18%22%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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