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BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 15:00
BSK Banja Luka
BSK Banja Luka
Vs
46%
32%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will dominate the forecast, with BSK Banja Luka conceding an average of 2.33 goals at home against stronger opposition while Radnik Bijeljina has struggled to find the net away, averaging only 0.67 scored. The model’s pick is a home win, and the probabilities are 47% for BSK, 32% for a draw, and 21% for Radnik. The expected total goals is 2.0, with the most likely total being 2, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for BSK, at 15.4%. The suggested selections are Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 5.5 (98.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.8%), Under 4.5 (94.6%) and Home +2 handicap (93.3%). Both sides have recently endured two straight defeats, with BSK losing 0-1 to Sloga Doboj and Radnik falling 1-2 to Siroki Brijeg.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BSK Banja Luka win
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina win
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L12L20W01L01L13LH·RUD28/10A·ZEL07/08H·VEL16/08A·FK 21/08H·SLO29/08A·ZRI01/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.672.170.672.330.672.00
vs Stronger (6)0.672.170.672.330.672.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L00D00D04L00D15L12L22D11DA·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05A·SIR25/05A·FK 08/08H·ZRI16/08A·SIR22/08H·BOR30/08A·VEL02/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.171.131.070.471.27
vs Stronger (14)0.641.431.001.380.171.50
vs Similar (16)0.940.941.290.710.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (BSK Banja Luka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
33.0%
Under 2.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.7%
Under 3.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
39.8%
No
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.2%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
BSK Banja Luka goals ↓
Radnik Bijeljina goals →
01234
014%9.0%4.0%1.0%0.2%
115%14%5.0%1.3%0.2%
210%8.0%3.1%0.8%0.2%
34.3%3.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%
41.3%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BSK Banja Luka goals (down), columns = Radnik Bijeljina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Čelik
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
BSK Banja Luka
1.22
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
BSK Banja Luka is 0.25 points better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Čelik
1.07
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
BSK Banja Luka
0.96
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Sloga Doboj
0.58
BSK Banja Luka is 0.21 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
Čelik
1.09
BSK Banja Luka
1.21
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
BSK Banja Luka is 0.04 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
BSK Banja Luka or Draw
78.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
32%
22%
covers BSK Banja Luka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka or Radnik Bijeljina
68.0%
Avg Implied -
46%
32%
22%
covers BSK Banja Luka + Radnik Bijeljina
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Radnik Bijeljina
53.9%
Avg Implied -
46%
32%
22%
covers Draw + Radnik Bijeljina
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 1.5
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to BSK Banja Luka, so a minus line means BSK Banja Luka give that many goals of a start and Radnik Bijeljina receive them. At -1, BSK Banja Luka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal BSK Banja Luka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (BSK Banja Luka)
BSK Banja Luka -2
7.5%
Draw -2
14.0%
Radnik Bijeljina +2
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (BSK Banja Luka)
BSK Banja Luka -1
21.6%
Draw -1
24.6%
Radnik Bijeljina +1
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (BSK Banja Luka)
BSK Banja Luka +1
78.2%
Draw +1
14.8%
Radnik Bijeljina -1
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (BSK Banja Luka)
BSK Banja Luka +2
93.0%
Draw +2
5.4%
Radnik Bijeljina -2
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W01L01L00DH·RUD28/10A·ZEL07/08H·VEL16/08A·FK 21/08H·SLO29/08A·ZRI01/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.830.331.330.000.33
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.331.330.000.33
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D02L00D12L11D10W00DA·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05A·SIR25/05A·FK 08/08H·ZRI16/08A·SIR22/08H·BOR30/08A·VEL02/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.600.470.270.53
vs Stronger (14)0.430.500.750.500.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.440.500.430.430.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (BSK Banja Luka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L10W00D00D13LH·RUD28/10A·ZEL07/08H·VEL16/08A·FK 21/08H·SLO29/08A·ZRI01/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.330.331.000.671.67
vs Stronger (6)0.501.330.331.000.671.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D00D02L00D03L01L12L11DA·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05A·SIR25/05A·FK 08/08H·ZRI16/08A·SIR22/08H·BOR30/08A·VEL02/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.530.600.200.73
vs Stronger (14)0.210.930.250.880.171.00
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.860.290.220.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (BSK Banja Luka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSK Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals99.2%-------
Under 5.598.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.6%-------
Under 4.594.5%-------
Home +2 handicap93.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.9%-------
Under 3.585.3%-------
Away under 1.5 goals81.7%-------
Away +2 handicap78.4%-------
Home or Draw78.2%-------
Home +1 handicap78.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
BBL (23)
€2m
BSK Banja Luka's squad is €2m less valuable than Radnik Bijeljina's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
BBL (9)
€1m
BSK Banja Luka's attack is €1m less valuable than Radnik Bijeljina's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
BBL (4)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
BSK Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
BBL (10)
€1m
BSK Banja Luka and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BBL wins
0
Draws
0
RB wins

Head-to-head

BSK Banja Luka vs Radnik Bijeljina · H/A from BBL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AZrinjski Vs BBL3-1
29/08/26HBBL Vs Sloga Doboj0-1
21/08/26AFK Sarajevo Vs BBL1-0
16/08/26HBBL Vs Velež2-0
07/08/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs BBL2-1
28/10/25HBBL Vs Rudar Prijedor0-6

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AVelež Vs RB1-1
30/08/26HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka2-2
22/08/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs RB2-1
16/08/26HRB Vs Zrinjski1-5
08/08/26AFK Sarajevo Vs RB0-0
25/05/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs RB4-0
22/05/26HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-0
16/05/26ASloga Doboj Vs RB0-0
09/05/26HRB Vs Zrinjski0-1
01/05/26AVelež Vs RB1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BSK Banja Luka
BSK Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.50
HomeLWL1.00
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%33%0%
AVG goals2.833.002.67
Over 1.5 %67%67%67%
Over 2.5 %50%33%67%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored0.670.670.67
Conceded2.172.332.00
BTTS33%0%67%
Clean Sheet17%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.04
HomeWLDLD1.48
AwayDLDLD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%40%8%
AVG goals2.162.082.24
Over 1.5 %58%52%64%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored0.901.160.64
Conceded1.260.921.60
BTTS34%28%40%
Clean Sheet36%52%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.60.6
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.20.8
-
3Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.0
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3330.80.5
-
5Sloga DobojSloga Doboj45
25%
1.2
12-1
0.8
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.20.5
-
6ČelikČelik54
20%
0.8
56-1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.2
-
7Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo44
25%
1.0
36-3
2.2
100%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.81.5
-
8VeležVelež54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
100%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.81.8
-
9BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka53
20%
0.6
47-3
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
10Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina53
0%
0.6
510-5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.02.0
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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