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Buckley Town vs Guilsfield Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 3-1
Buckley Town
Buckley Town
Vs
36%
24%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Guilsfield
Guilsfield
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Buckley Town, fresh from a 0-1 loss, will face Guilsfield, who have gone unbeaten in their last five. The model sees a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.4 goals and a most likely total of three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.4% chance. The favourite outcome is an away win, with 40% probability, while home and draw chances sit at 36% and 24% respectively. Buckley’s home form shows they average 2.33 goals scored and 3.44 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Guilsfield, on the road, averages 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded. The model’s selections favour a low-scoring affair: Home under 2.5 HT goals 98.2%, Under 7.5 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals 96.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals 95.9%, Under 6.5 93.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals 93.5%, Home under 3.5 goals 91.1%, and Away under 3.5 goals 89.6% with a 4% edge.

Results analysis

Buckley Town’s victory over Guilsfield was the headline upset, overturning the model’s favourite of an away win that had a 40% probability. The final score of 3-1 confirmed a home win, a result the model had not predicted. The pre-match favourite was Guilsfield, whose 40% chance was higher than the 36% for Buckley Town and the 24% for a draw. The model’s selection was therefore wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 93.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 91.9%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 91.1%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 89.6%. The match saw Buckley Town extend their recent form with a win after a 3-1 triumph.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buckley Town win✓ Hit
35.8%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.50
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.61
Pinnacle
3.56
Dafabet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.52
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.86
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.93
1xBet
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
Guilsfield win✗ Miss
39.9%
Avg Implied 50.7% · @ 1.79
Edge
-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-614L20W01L06L23L15L24L12L11D01LH·DEN13/03A·NEW20/03A·RUT27/03H·BRI03/04A·CAE13/04A·HOL18/04H·DEN01/08A·LLA08/08H·POR15/08A·MOL21/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.572.472.152.921.122.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.712.712.333.441.252.17
vs Weaker (9)1.221.891.751.750.802.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Guilsfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L21W14L41W40W11D32W11D22DA·FLI24/03A·AIR28/03A·RHY03/04A·LLA06/04H·CAE11/04H·GRE18/04A·RHY01/08H·MOL08/08A·NEW15/08H·RUT22/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.532.311.440.931.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.941.222.451.091.141.43
vs Weaker (12)1.252.002.002.200.711.86
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Buckley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.7%
@ 1.11+5.4%
Under 1.5
13.3%
@ 4.88-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.8%
@ 1.43+2.6%
Under 2.5
33.2%
@ 2.56-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.58
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.47
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.1%
@ 2.10+1.4%
Under 3.5
54.9%
@ 1.63-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.3%
@ 1.42+3.7%
No
31.7%
@ 2.59-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
No
1xBet
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.55

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 8.00+5.1%
1-2
8.4%@ 8.38+3.3%
2-1
7.9%@ 11.50+4.2%
2-2
7.0%@ 10.75+3.1%
0-2
5.0%@ 10.50+1.0%
1-3
5.0%@ 11.75+1.4%
0-1
4.7%@ 10.50+0.7%
2-0
4.5%@ 20.50+2.4%
Buckley Town goals ↓
Guilsfield goals →
01234
04.1%4.7%5.0%3.0%1.3%
14.4%10%8.4%5.0%2.2%
24.5%7.9%7.0%4.1%1.8%
32.5%4.4%3.9%2.3%1.0%
41.0%1.8%1.6%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buckley Town goals (down), columns = Guilsfield goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Buckley Town is 0.83 points worse than Guilsfield in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Buckley Town is 0.83 goals worse than Guilsfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Buckley Town is 0.33 goals worse than Guilsfield in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Buckley Town or Draw✓ Hit
60.1%
Avg Implied 49.5% · @ 1.85
Edge
+10.6%
36%
24%
40%
covers Buckley Town + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.82
Buckley Town or Guilsfield✓ Hit
75.6%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-0.8%
36%
24%
40%
covers Buckley Town + Guilsfield
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Draw or Guilsfield✗ Miss
64.2%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
-9.8%
36%
24%
40%
covers Draw + Guilsfield
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.22

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Buckley Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.2%
@ 1.24+8.2%
Under
18.8%
@ 3.36-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.42
Superbet
3.30
Buckley Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.8%
@ 2.33+10.1%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.53-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Superbet
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Buckley Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.5%
@ 4.78+4.5%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.12-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.65
Under
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Buckley Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guilsfield over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.0%
@ 1.07-1.3%
Under
17.0%
@ 5.78+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
6.35
Superbet
5.20
Guilsfield over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.9%
@ 1.56-6.2%
Under
47.1%
@ 2.25+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.20
Guilsfield over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 2.75-7.1%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.37+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Superbet
2.72
Under
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Guilsfield over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 6.50-3.7%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.07+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.07

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Buckley Town, so a minus line means Buckley Town give that many goals of a start and Guilsfield receive them. At -1, Buckley Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Buckley Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Buckley Town)Actual: Draw
Buckley Town -2
7.6%
Draw -2
10.9%
Guilsfield +2
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Buckley Town)Actual: Buckley Town
Buckley Town -1
18.4%
@ 6.30+4.5%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 5.10+0.1%
Guilsfield +1
64.2%
@ 1.28-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap +1 (Buckley Town)Actual: Buckley Town
Buckley Town +1
60.1%
@ 1.93+14.0%
Draw +1
18.4%
@ 3.94-4.1%
Guilsfield -1
21.5%
@ 2.83-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.85
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
Away
Marathonbet
2.92
Betfair
2.75
Handicap +2 (Buckley Town)Actual: Buckley Town
Buckley Town +2
78.5%
@ 1.31+10.4%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 5.45-4.2%
Guilsfield -2
9.2%
@ 5.75-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
Marathonbet
5.45
Away
Marathonbet
5.75

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W00D04L20W14L13L00D01L00DH·DEN13/03A·NEW20/03A·RUT27/03H·BRI03/04A·CAE13/04A·HOL18/04H·DEN01/08A·LLA08/08H·POR15/08A·MOL21/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.771.230.590.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.671.240.781.780.580.83
vs Weaker (9)0.670.330.750.000.600.60
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Guilsfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L12L31W20W01L01L11D11DA·FLI24/03A·AIR28/03A·RHY03/04A·LLA06/04H·CAE11/04H·GRE18/04A·RHY01/08H·MOL08/08A·NEW15/08H·RUT22/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.871.250.880.500.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.000.721.180.820.710.57
vs Weaker (12)0.751.081.401.000.291.14
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Buckley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.1%
@ 1.21-3.6%
Under 0.5
27.9%
@ 3.77+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.09-7.3%
Under 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.64+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.5%
@ 4.38-5.5%
Under 2.5
84.5%
@ 1.16+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buckley Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.8%
@ 2.05-1.2%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.68+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Under
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.66
Buckley Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.85-4.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.10+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Under
1xBet
1.10
Buckley Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 11.00-6.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Guilsfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.58-6.3%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.21+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Guilsfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.8%
@ 3.70-3.0%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.22+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
Guilsfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 9.10-4.6%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L02L03L01L11D12L10W01LH·DEN13/03A·NEW20/03A·RUT27/03H·BRI03/04A·CAE13/04A·HOL18/04H·DEN01/08A·LLA08/08H·POR15/08A·MOL21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.501.381.690.531.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.051.481.561.670.671.33
vs Weaker (9)0.561.561.001.750.201.40
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Guilsfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L20W02L10W20W10W31W00D11DA·FLI24/03A·AIR28/03A·RHY03/04A·LLA06/04H·CAE11/04H·GRE18/04A·RHY01/08H·MOL08/08A·NEW15/08H·RUT22/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.671.060.560.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.940.501.270.270.430.86
vs Weaker (12)0.500.920.601.200.430.71
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Buckley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.3%
@ 1.11-0.8%
Under 0.5
18.7%
@ 5.10+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.2%
@ 1.65-8.5%
Under 1.5
52.8%
@ 2.08+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Under
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.0%
@ 2.95-9.9%
Under 2.5
79.0%
@ 1.32+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buckley Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.9%
@ 1.73-6.5%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.99+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.72
Under
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Buckley Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.5%
@ 4.40-4.4%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.16+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Buckley Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 10.00-4.8%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Guilsfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.6%
@ 1.41-11.1%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.58+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Under
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Guilsfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.8%
@ 2.82-11.4%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.34+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.82
Under
1xBet
1.34
Guilsfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 6.85-5.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.07+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.85
Under
1xBet
1.07

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.6%✓ Hit
Under 7.597.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.6%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.4%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+4.6%✓ Hit
Under 6.593.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals91.9%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+5.5%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals91.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals89.6%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+3.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.6%1.10
1xBet
1.10
----+4.5%✓ Hit
Over 1.586.7%1.11
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
---+5.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.586.5%1.08
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.07
---+2.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.5%1.16
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
-+5.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.5%1.16
1xBet
1.16
----+4.4%✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals83.0%1.07
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
----1.3%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap81.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals81.3%1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
----0.8%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals81.2%1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
---+8.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals79.2%1.34
1xBet
1.34
----+11.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals79.0%1.32
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
---+9.9%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap78.5%1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
----+10.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals78.2%1.22
1xBet
1.22
----+3.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals76.5%1.12
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
----4.5%✗ Miss
Home or Away75.6%1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.17
-0.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals73.8%1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
--+7.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.573.6%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
--+0.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.1%1.21
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
--3.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BT wins
1
Draws
6
GUI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buckley Town vs Guilsfield · H/A from BT
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26AGuilsfield Vs BT1-0
22/08/25HBT Vs Guilsfield1-2
22/03/25AGuilsfield Vs BT1-0
04/01/25HBT Vs Guilsfield1-1
16/04/24HBT Vs Guilsfield0-1
11/08/23AGuilsfield Vs BT0-1
06/01/23AGuilsfield Vs BT3-2
01/10/22HBT Vs Guilsfield0-1

Buckley TownBuckley Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AMold Alexandra Vs BT1-0
15/08/26HBT Vs Porthmadog1-1
08/08/26ALlanuwchllyn Vs BT2-1
01/08/26HBT Vs Denbigh Town2-4
18/04/26AHolyhead Hotspur Vs BT5-1
13/04/26ACaersws Vs BT3-2
03/04/26HBT Vs Brickfield Rangers0-6
27/03/26ARuthin Town Vs BT1-0
20/03/26ANewtown AFC Vs BT0-2
13/03/26HBT Vs Denbigh Town1-4

GuilsfieldGuilsfield

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HGUI Vs Ruthin Town2-2
15/08/26ANewtown AFC Vs GUI1-1
08/08/26HGUI Vs Mold Alexandra3-2
01/08/26ARhyl Vs GUI1-1
18/04/26HGUI Vs Gresford Athletic4-0
11/04/26HGUI Vs Caersws4-1
06/04/26ALlandudno Vs GUI4-1
03/04/26ARhyl Vs GUI1-2
28/03/26AAirbus UK Vs GUI3-0
24/03/26AFlint Mountain Vs GUI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buckley Town
Buckley Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.94
HomeLLLLD0.91
AwayLLLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%23%29%
AVG goals3.704.363.18
Over 1.5 %84%95%75%
Over 2.5 %70%82%61%
Over 3.5 %46%50%43%
Scored1.441.771.18
Conceded2.262.592.00
BTTS56%68%46%
Clean Sheet18%14%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Guilsfield
Guilsfield
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.56
HomeDWWWD2.08
AwayLWLDD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%64%24%
AVG goals3.423.843.00
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %68%80%56%
Over 3.5 %46%56%36%
Scored1.862.441.28
Conceded1.561.401.72
BTTS74%76%72%
Clean Sheet12%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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