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Budafoki LC vs Karcag SE Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Vs
42%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Karcag SE
Karcag SE
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Budafoki LC win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L23L11D03L01L02L20W02L20WH·SZE11/05A·BEK18/05H·SZE25/05H·SZE27/07A·BUD03/08H·AJK10/08A·CSA17/08H·KEC24/08A·BEK31/08A·EGE13/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.601.571.501.061.69
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (29)1.281.661.571.501.001.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W10W12L02L32W22D10W11D10W42WA·DUN14/09H·KEC30/10H·ZAL26/02A·MEZ27/07H·SOR03/08A·SZE10/08H·VAS17/08A·BVS24/08H·FEH31/08A·REA13/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.330.921.400.803.001.00
vs Stronger (5)2.600.801.000.675.001.00
vs Similar (6)1.831.172.001.001.751.25
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.0%
Under 2.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
0-0 ✓
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
Budafoki LC goals ↓
Karcag SE goals →
01234
07.5%6.7%4.9%2.1%0.6%
18.4%13%7.5%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.0%5.6%2.3%0.7%
33.6%4.5%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.4%1.7%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Budafoki LC goals (down), columns = Karcag SE goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Budafoki LC is 0.20 points worse than Karcag SE in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Budafoki LC is 0.13 goals better than Karcag SE in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Budafoki LC is 0.27 goals worse than Karcag SE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D01L03L00D01L10W01L10WH·SZE11/05A·BEK18/05H·SZE25/05H·SZE27/07A·BUD03/08H·AJK10/08A·CSA17/08H·KEC24/08A·BEK31/08A·EGE13/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.860.640.561.00
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.690.860.860.640.531.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L02L11D10W10W11D00D11DA·DUN14/09H·KEC30/10H·ZAL26/02A·MEZ27/07H·SOR03/08A·SZE10/08H·VAS17/08A·BVS24/08H·FEH31/08A·REA13/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.500.400.401.290.57
vs Stronger (5)0.800.400.330.331.500.50
vs Similar (6)0.830.670.500.501.000.75
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L12L10W00D01L01L10W01L10WH·SZE11/05A·BEK18/05H·SZE25/05H·SZE27/07A·BUD03/08H·AJK10/08A·CSA17/08H·KEC24/08A·BEK31/08A·EGE13/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.710.860.500.69
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.790.710.860.470.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Karcag SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W11D00D21W12L00D00D10W31WA·DUN14/09H·KEC30/10H·ZAL26/02A·MEZ27/07H·SOR03/08A·SZE10/08H·VAS17/08A·BVS24/08H·FEH31/08A·REA13/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.420.421.000.401.710.43
vs Stronger (5)1.800.400.670.333.500.50
vs Similar (6)1.000.501.500.500.750.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karcag SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BL wins
0
Draws
0
KS wins

Head-to-head

Budafoki LC vs Karcag SE · H/A from BL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25AEger Vs BL0-2
31/08/25ABekescsaba 1912 Vs BL2-0
24/08/25HBL Vs Kecskeméti TE2-0
17/08/25ACsakvar Vs BL2-0
10/08/25HBL Vs Ajka0-1
03/08/25ABudapest Honved Vs BL3-0
27/07/25HBL Vs Szentlőrinc SE1-1
25/05/25HBL Vs Szeged 20112-3
18/05/25ABekescsaba 1912 Vs BL2-1
11/05/25HBL Vs Szentlőrinc SE2-0

Karcag SEKarcag SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25AREAC Vs KS2-4
31/08/25HKS Vs Fehérvár FC1-0
24/08/25ABVSC Vs KS1-1
17/08/25HKS Vs Vasas1-0
10/08/25ASzeged 2011 Vs KS2-2
03/08/25HKS Vs Soroksar3-2
27/07/25AMezokovesd-zsory Vs KS2-0
26/02/25HKS Vs Zalaegerszegi TE1-2
30/10/24HKS Vs Kecskeméti TE1-0
14/09/24ADunaújváros-Pálhalma Vs KS0-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.26
HomeWLDLW1.52
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.862.922.80
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.281.441.12
Conceded1.581.481.68
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Karcag SE
Karcag SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW2.17
HomeWLWWW2.40
AwayWLDDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%80%57%
AVG goals3.252.204.00
Over 1.5 %75%40%100%
Over 2.5 %58%40%71%
Over 3.5 %50%20%71%
Scored2.331.403.00
Conceded0.920.801.00
BTTS42%40%43%
Clean Sheet50%60%43%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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