PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Budafoki LC vs Tiszakecske FC Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Vs
53%
29%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Budafoki LC win✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC win✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L10W20W11D20W10W12L02LA·SIO07/05H·SOR14/05A·TIS21/05A·VAS30/07H·AJK06/08A·GYI13/08H·BVS16/08A·CSA19/08H·KOZ27/08A·NYI03/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.871.270.671.001.07
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.140.861.270.671.001.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L12L10W21W11D11D12L23L02L10WH·DOR07/05A·BEK15/05H·BUD21/05A·KOZ30/07H·NYI06/08A·SIO13/08A·BUD16/08H·SZO19/08A·GYO27/08H·SOR03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.211.141.001.56
vs Stronger (8)0.621.000.671.000.601.00
vs Similar (22)1.271.501.361.181.181.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.2%
Under 2.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
2-1 ✓
8.9%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
Budafoki LC goals ↓
Tiszakecske FC goals →
01234
012%6.9%3.1%0.8%0.2%
114%13%4.6%1.2%0.2%
212%8.9%3.4%0.9%0.2%
35.7%4.4%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.1%1.6%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Budafoki LC goals (down), columns = Tiszakecske FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Budafoki LC is 0.29 points better than Tiszakecske FC in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Budafoki LC is 0.12 goals better than Tiszakecske FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Budafoki LC is 0.12 goals worse than Tiszakecske FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W20W00D00D00D11D01LA·SIO07/05H·SOR14/05A·TIS21/05A·VAS30/07H·AJK06/08A·GYI13/08H·BVS16/08A·CSA19/08H·KOZ27/08A·NYI03/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.670.270.270.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.480.450.670.270.290.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D10W01L10W01L21W00D10WH·DOR07/05A·BEK15/05H·BUD21/05A·KOZ30/07H·NYI06/08A·SIO13/08A·BUD16/08H·SZO19/08A·GYO27/08H·SOR03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.430.640.310.56
vs Stronger (8)0.120.500.000.670.200.40
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.550.640.360.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L00D00D11D20W10W01L01LA·SIO07/05H·SOR14/05A·TIS21/05A·VAS30/07H·AJK06/08A·GYI13/08H·BVS16/08A·CSA19/08H·KOZ27/08A·NYI03/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.600.400.730.47
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.660.410.600.400.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D10W11D10W01L11D02L02L00DH·DOR07/05A·BEK15/05H·BUD21/05A·KOZ30/07H·NYI06/08A·SIO13/08A·BUD16/08H·SZO19/08A·GYO27/08H·SOR03/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.790.500.691.00
vs Stronger (8)0.500.500.670.330.400.60
vs Similar (22)0.820.860.820.550.821.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BL wins
1
Draws
1
TF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Budafoki LC vs Tiszakecske FC · H/A from BL
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23ATiszakecske FC Vs BL1-0
04/12/22HBL Vs Tiszakecske FC1-1

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23ANyiregyhaza Vs BL2-0
27/08/23HBL Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-2
19/08/23ACsakvar Vs BL0-1
16/08/23HBL Vs BVSC2-0
13/08/23AGyirmot SE Vs BL1-1
06/08/23HBL Vs Ajka2-0
30/07/23AVasas Vs BL0-1
21/05/23ATiszakecske FC Vs BL1-0
14/05/23HBL Vs Soroksar0-0
07/05/23ASiofok Vs BL2-1

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23HTF Vs Soroksar1-0
27/08/23AGyori ETO FC Vs TF2-0
19/08/23HTF Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-3
16/08/23ABudapest Honved Vs TF2-1
13/08/23ASiofok Vs TF1-1
06/08/23HTF Vs Nyiregyhaza1-1
30/07/23AKozarmisleny FC Vs TF1-2
21/05/23HTF Vs Budafoki LC1-0
15/05/23ABekescsaba 1912 Vs TF2-1
07/05/23HTF Vs Dorogi FC1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.40
HomeWDWWL1.68
AwayLWDWL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%45%30%
AVG goals2.182.092.26
Over 1.5 %67%64%70%
Over 2.5 %47%45%48%
Over 3.5 %11%14%9%
Scored1.111.360.87
Conceded1.070.731.39
BTTS47%41%52%
Clean Sheet40%55%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.20
HomeLWDLW1.64
AwayLWDLL0.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%17%
AVG goals2.362.092.61
Over 1.5 %64%55%74%
Over 2.5 %40%32%48%
Over 3.5 %22%18%26%
Scored1.021.090.96
Conceded1.331.001.65
BTTS53%41%65%
Clean Sheet29%45%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches