PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Budapest Honved vs Vasas Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved
Vs
32%
27%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Budapest Honved win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vasas win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W13L01L13L01L11D15L11D02L11DA·KEL14/09A·CSA22/09H·BVS29/09A·GYI06/10H·SZE21/10A·BEK27/10H·PAK31/10H·SZE03/11A·KAZ10/11A·KIS25/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.231.461.121.35
vs Stronger (2)1.002.501.005.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.181.321.251.171.121.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D23L12L12L21W21W31W20W10WH·AJK01/09H·NYI14/09A·SOR22/09H·MEZ30/09A·CSA06/10H·BVS20/10A·GYI28/10H·SZE04/11A·BEK10/11H·SZE24/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.131.880.881.641.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.670.932.000.831.441.00
vs Weaker (15)1.871.331.800.902.002.20
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
1-0 ✓
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Budapest Honved goals ↓
Vasas goals →
01234
06.7%7.4%6.7%3.5%1.3%
16.3%13%8.9%4.6%1.8%
25.0%7.7%6.0%3.1%1.2%
32.2%3.5%2.7%1.4%0.5%
40.7%1.2%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Budapest Honved goals (down), columns = Vasas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Budapest Honved is 0.40 points worse than Vasas in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Budapest Honved is 0.20 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Budapest Honved is 0.13 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W02L00D10W00D11D15L11D02L00DA·KEL14/09A·CSA22/09H·BVS29/09A·GYI06/10H·SZE21/10A·BEK27/10H·PAK31/10H·SZE03/11A·KAZ10/11A·KIS25/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.690.920.590.59
vs Stronger (2)0.502.501.005.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.610.670.580.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W12L02L11D10W00D01L20W10WH·AJK01/09H·NYI14/09A·SOR22/09H·MEZ30/09A·CSA06/10H·BVS20/10A·GYI28/10H·SZE04/11A·BEK10/11H·SZE24/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.670.750.561.070.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.870.530.830.500.890.56
vs Weaker (15)0.930.800.700.601.401.20
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L03L01L00D00D00D00D11DA·KEL14/09A·CSA22/09H·BVS29/09A·GYI06/10H·SZE21/10A·BEK27/10H·PAK31/10H·SZE03/11A·KAZ10/11A·KIS25/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.540.540.530.76
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.710.580.580.500.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L11D10W01L11D21W30W00D00DH·AJK01/09H·NYI14/09A·SOR22/09H·MEZ30/09A·CSA06/10H·BVS20/10A·GYI28/10H·SZE04/11A·BEK10/11H·SZE24/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.120.310.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.401.170.330.560.44
vs Weaker (15)0.930.531.100.300.601.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Budapest Honved · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Csontos50%
Ádam Szamosi50%
Ákos Baki33%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ádam Somogyi25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deian Boldor50%
Szilveszter Hangya25%
Dominik Csontos25%
Kevin Kállai25%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Tamás Somogyi0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Csontos50%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádam Szamosi50%
Deian Boldor25%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Dominik Csontos0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Budapest Honved's squad is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€5m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Budapest Honved's attack is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Budapest Honved's midfield is €1m less valuable than Vasas's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Budapest Honved and Vasas have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
BH wins
0
Draws
2
VAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Budapest Honved vs Vasas · H/A from BH
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/24HBH Vs Vasas0-3
06/11/23AVasas Vs BH3-0
09/04/23AVasas Vs BH0-1
10/11/22HBH Vs Vasas2-0
21/08/22AVasas Vs BH1-2

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/24AKisvarda FC Vs BH1-1
10/11/24AKazincbarcikai Vs BH2-0
03/11/24HBH Vs Szeged 20111-1
31/10/24HBH Vs Paks1-5
27/10/24ABekescsaba 1912 Vs BH1-1
21/10/24HBH Vs Szentlőrinc SE0-1
06/10/24AGyirmot SE Vs BH3-1
29/09/24HBH Vs BVSC0-1
22/09/24ACsakvar Vs BH3-1
14/09/24AKelen Vs BH1-5

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24HVAS Vs Szeged 20111-0
10/11/24ABekescsaba 1912 Vs VAS0-2
04/11/24HVAS Vs Szentlőrinc SE3-1
28/10/24AGyirmot SE Vs VAS1-2
20/10/24HVAS Vs BVSC2-1
06/10/24ACsakvar Vs VAS2-1
30/09/24HVAS Vs Mezokovesd-zsory1-2
22/09/24ASoroksar Vs VAS3-2
14/09/24HVAS Vs Nyiregyhaza1-1
01/09/24HVAS Vs Ajka3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.14
HomeWLLLD1.25
AwayLLDLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals2.482.712.27
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %46%58%35%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.161.331.00
Conceded1.321.381.27
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet18%12%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.88
HomeDLWWW2.07
AwayLLLWW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%59%48%
AVG goals3.042.783.35
Over 1.5 %78%74%83%
Over 2.5 %60%56%65%
Over 3.5 %38%37%39%
Scored1.962.071.83
Conceded1.080.701.52
BTTS58%48%70%
Clean Sheet38%44%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches