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Budapest Honved vs Vasas Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved
Vs
27%
31%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Budapest Honved win✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vasas win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L20W10W01L12L21W11D00D00DH·DIO05/03H·KEC09/03A·BEK14/03A·KAR22/03A·TIS05/04H·KOZ11/04A·MEZ18/04H·ZAL21/04H·SOR27/04A·SZE03/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.771.810.811.210.71
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (29)1.520.791.800.871.210.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W00D60W20W31W40W40W02L20W32WH·KAR22/02A·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04H·BUD04/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.100.702.400.931.800.47
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (11)2.180.732.000.832.400.60
vs Weaker (18)2.000.722.621.121.500.40
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
Budapest Honved goals ↓
Vasas goals →
01234
011%12%8.5%3.7%1.2%
18.7%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.0%6.5%4.2%1.8%0.6%
31.7%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Budapest Honved goals (down), columns = Vasas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Budapest Honved is 0.17 points worse than Vasas in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 2.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Budapest Honved is 0.33 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Budapest Honved and Vasas are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D00D00D10W00D00DH·DIO05/03H·KEC09/03A·BEK14/03A·KAR22/03A·TIS05/04H·KOZ11/04A·MEZ18/04H·ZAL21/04H·SOR27/04A·SZE03/05
Avg total
0.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.880.310.360.29
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.660.310.930.330.360.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W10W11D10W10W00D00D20WH·KAR22/02A·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04H·BUD04/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.270.930.400.870.13
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (11)1.000.090.830.171.200.00
vs Weaker (18)0.830.391.000.620.700.20
Clean sheet %80% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L20W10W01L12L21W01L00D00DH·DIO05/03H·KEC09/03A·BEK14/03A·KAR22/03A·TIS05/04H·KOZ11/04A·MEZ18/04H·ZAL21/04H·SOR27/04A·SZE03/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.470.940.500.860.43
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.860.480.870.530.860.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D30W10W20W30W30W02L20W12LH·KAR22/02A·TIS01/03H·KOZ08/03A·MEZ16/03H·SOR22/03A·SZE05/04A·SZE11/04H·BVS20/04A·FEH26/04H·BUD04/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.431.470.530.930.33
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (11)1.180.641.170.671.200.60
vs Weaker (18)1.170.331.620.500.800.20
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Budapest Honved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Budapest Honved · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Csontos50%
Ádam Szamosi50%
Ákos Baki33%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ádam Somogyi25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Deian Boldor50%
Szilveszter Hangya25%
Dominik Csontos25%
Kevin Kállai25%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Tamás Somogyi0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Ákos Zuigéber0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Csontos50%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Deian Boldor0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Ádam Szamosi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádam Szamosi50%
Deian Boldor25%
Tamás Somogyi25%
Ákos Zuigéber25%
Szilveszter Hangya0%
Zoltán Medgyes0%
Ákos Baki0%
Patrik Pinte0%
Dominik Csontos0%
Adi Alić0%
Istvan Mark Pekar0%
Ádam Somogyi0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Tomáš Tujvel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Budapest Honved's squad is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€5m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Budapest Honved's attack is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Budapest Honved's midfield is €1m less valuable than Vasas's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Budapest Honved and Vasas have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
BH wins
1
Draws
2
VAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Budapest Honved vs Vasas · H/A from BH
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/25AVasas Vs BH1-2
25/05/25AVasas Vs BH2-2
30/11/24HBH Vs Vasas1-0
06/05/24HBH Vs Vasas0-3
06/11/23AVasas Vs BH3-0
09/04/23AVasas Vs BH0-1
10/11/22HBH Vs Vasas2-0
21/08/22AVasas Vs BH1-2

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26ASzeged 2011 Vs BH0-0
27/04/26HBH Vs Soroksar0-0
21/04/26HBH Vs Zalaegerszegi TE1-1
18/04/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs BH1-2
11/04/26HBH Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-2
05/04/26ATiszakecske FC Vs BH1-0
22/03/26AKarcag SE Vs BH0-1
14/03/26ABekescsaba 1912 Vs BH0-2
09/03/26HBH Vs Kecskeméti TE0-1
05/03/26HBH Vs Diosgyori VTK1-0

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26HVAS Vs Budafoki LC3-2
26/04/26AFehérvár FC Vs VAS0-2
20/04/26HVAS Vs BVSC0-2
11/04/26ASzentlőrinc SE Vs VAS0-4
05/04/26ASzeged 2011 Vs VAS0-4
22/03/26HVAS Vs Soroksar3-1
16/03/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs VAS0-2
08/03/26HVAS Vs Kozarmisleny FC6-0
01/03/26ATiszakecske FC Vs VAS0-0
22/02/26HVAS Vs Karcag SE2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDD1.96
HomeWLLDD2.23
AwayWWLWD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%69%46%
AVG goals2.462.772.12
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %50%62%38%
Over 3.5 %16%19%12%
Scored1.662.001.29
Conceded0.800.770.83
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.06
HomeWWWLW2.48
AwayDWWWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%80%48%
AVG goals2.663.202.12
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.842.281.40
Conceded0.820.920.72
BTTS34%44%24%
Clean Sheet54%52%56%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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