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Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
65%
23%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✗ Miss
64.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jezero win✓ Hit
11.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W30W44D34L11D21W22D10W31WA·JEZ18/03H·MOR01/04H·ISK05/04H·PET09/04A·DEČ15/04A·RUD19/04H·RUD23/04A·SUT29/04H·ARS07/05A·JED14/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.932.130.801.471.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.621.312.001.121.251.50
vs Weaker (14)2.000.502.290.431.710.57
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D00D01L12L21W01L01L20WH·BUD18/03A·DEČ01/04A·RUD05/04H·SUT09/04A·ARS15/04A·JED19/04H·JED23/04A·PET29/04A·MOR07/05H·ISK14/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.030.870.600.731.47
vs Stronger (6)0.831.330.500.501.503.00
vs Similar (21)0.861.001.100.700.641.27
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%018%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.6%
No
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.3%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Jezero goals →
01234
08.8%4.3%1.8%0.4%0.1%
114%11%3.4%0.8%0.1%
214%9.3%3.1%0.7%0.1%
38.5%5.8%2.0%0.4%0.1%
44.0%2.7%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Jezero goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.94
Sutjeska
1.94
Arsenal Tivat
1.39
Dečić
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.31
Mornar
1.26
Petrovac
1.25
Jezero
1.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.11
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.86
Kom
0.50
Berane
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.75 points better than Jezero in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
2.08
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Petrovac
1.39
Dečić
1.22
Jedinstvo
1.19
Arsenal Tivat
1.08
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.03
Kom
1.00
Jezero
0.97
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.92
Mornar
0.89
Berane
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.72 goals better than Jezero in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sutjeska
0.94
Buducnost Podgorica
1.03
Dečić
1.03
Jezero
1.06
Mornar
1.08
Arsenal Tivat
1.08
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.50
Kom
1.50
Petrovac
1.58
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.61
Berane
2.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.03 goals better than Jezero in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D21W11D00D21W02L10W21WA·JEZ18/03H·MOR01/04H·ISK05/04H·PET09/04A·DEČ15/04A·RUD19/04H·RUD23/04A·SUT29/04H·ARS07/05A·JED14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.730.470.670.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.500.380.500.620.50
vs Weaker (14)0.930.361.140.430.710.29
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D01L01L10W00D00D10WH·BUD18/03A·DEČ01/04A·RUD05/04H·SUT09/04A·ARS15/04A·JED19/04H·JED23/04A·PET29/04A·MOR07/05H·ISK14/05
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.430.270.130.270.73
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.000.251.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.290.430.400.100.180.73
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W30W23L23L11D00D20W00D10WA·JEZ18/03H·MOR01/04H·ISK05/04H·PET09/04A·DEČ15/04A·RUD19/04H·RUD23/04A·SUT29/04H·ARS07/05A·JED14/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.400.330.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.120.811.620.620.621.00
vs Weaker (14)1.070.141.140.001.000.29
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D11D00D00D00D11D11D01L01L10WH·BUD18/03A·DEČ01/04A·RUD05/04H·SUT09/04A·ARS15/04A·JED19/04H·JED23/04A·PET29/04A·MOR07/05H·ISK14/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.600.470.470.73
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.500.250.502.00
vs Similar (21)0.570.570.700.600.450.55
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica's squad is €2m more valuable than Jezero's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jezero have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jezero have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jezero have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
BP wins
1
Draws
0
JEZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AJezero Vs BP1-2
27/11/22HBP Vs Jezero2-1
11/09/22AJezero Vs BP0-0

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23AJedinstvo Vs BP1-3
07/05/23HBP Vs Arsenal Tivat1-0
29/04/23ASutjeska Vs BP2-2
23/04/23HBP Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-1
19/04/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs BP1-1
15/04/23ADečić Vs BP4-3
09/04/23HBP Vs Petrovac4-4
05/04/23HBP Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-0
01/04/23HBP Vs Mornar2-0
18/03/23AJezero Vs BP1-2

JezeroJezero

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HJEZ Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-0
07/05/23AMornar Vs JEZ1-0
29/04/23APetrovac Vs JEZ1-0
23/04/23HJEZ Vs Jedinstvo2-1
19/04/23AJedinstvo Vs JEZ2-1
15/04/23AArsenal Tivat Vs JEZ1-0
09/04/23HJEZ Vs Sutjeska0-0
05/04/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs JEZ0-0
01/04/23ADečić Vs JEZ1-1
18/03/23HJEZ Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.95
HomeWWDWW2.37
AwayWLDDW1.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%74%37%
AVG goals2.742.792.68
Over 1.5 %79%84%74%
Over 2.5 %47%47%47%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.712.001.42
Conceded1.030.791.26
BTTS47%37%58%
Clean Sheet42%53%32%
Corners10.008.5011.50
Cards5.678.004.50
Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.09
HomeDLDWW1.71
AwayDLLLL0.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%41%6%
AVG goals1.941.712.18
Over 1.5 %59%53%65%
Over 2.5 %38%35%41%
Over 3.5 %12%18%6%
Scored0.881.060.71
Conceded1.060.651.47
BTTS50%41%59%
Clean Sheet32%53%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3670
56%
1.9
7534+41
3.0
86%
64%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.9
-
2Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3670
56%
1.9
6137+24
2.7
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.71.0
-
3DečićDečić3650
33%
1.4
4437+7
2.2
67%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3650
36%
1.4
3939+0
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
5MornarMornar3848
34%
1.3
3441-7
2.0
53%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
6JedinstvoJedinstvo3647
36%
1.3
4354-11
2.7
69%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
7PetrovacPetrovac3645
31%
1.2
5057-7
3.0
78%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.6
-
8JezeroJezero3643
28%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
61%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.1
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3842
26%
1.1
3953-14
2.4
63%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3631
19%
0.9
3358-25
2.5
78%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
11KomKom21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
12BeraneBerane20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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