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Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
57%
26%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✓ Hit
56.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jezero win✗ Miss
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L21W01L00D41W32W03L02L10WA·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03A·MLA07/03H·JED11/03A·MOR15/03A·BOK21/03H·PET04/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.071.270.871.001.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.000.931.110.560.831.50
vs Weaker (15)1.271.201.501.331.111.11
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W12L11D11D21W12L13L01L02LH·MOR06/12H·BUD10/12A·PET21/02H·BOK25/02H·SUT01/03A·ARS07/03H·DEČ11/03A·MLA15/03H·JED21/03A·MOR04/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.171.401.070.871.27
vs Stronger (6)1.001.001.251.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)1.181.321.501.200.921.42
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-0 ✓
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.5%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Jezero goals →
01234
09.5%5.6%2.8%0.7%0.2%
113%12%4.6%1.2%0.3%
212%9.5%3.9%1.0%0.2%
36.5%5.3%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.7%2.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Jezero goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sutjeska
2.00
Mornar
1.92
Petrovac
1.42
Dečić
1.42
Buducnost Podgorica
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Mladost DG
1.28
Jezero
1.24
Bokelj
1.05
Jedinstvo
0.97
Grbalj
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.10 points better than Jezero in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
1.69
Mornar
1.42
Mladost DG
1.36
Petrovac
1.22
Jezero
1.21
Dečić
1.19
Bokelj
1.05
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Arsenal Tivat
1.00
Jedinstvo
0.83
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.50
Grbalj
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.21 goals worse than Jezero in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mornar
0.81
Buducnost Podgorica
0.97
Grbalj
1.00
Petrovac
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Dečić
1.25
Bokelj
1.26
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Jezero
1.29
Jedinstvo
1.36
Mladost DG
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
4.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.32 goals better than Jezero in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D00D11D30W02L00D00DA·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03A·MLA07/03H·JED11/03A·MOR15/03A·BOK21/03H·PET04/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.300.530.200.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.400.330.220.330.67
vs Weaker (15)0.470.200.830.170.220.22
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W11D10W02L10W00D02LH·MOR06/12H·BUD10/12A·PET21/02H·BOK25/02H·SUT01/03A·ARS07/03H·DEČ11/03A·MLA15/03H·JED21/03A·MOR04/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.530.470.270.47
vs Stronger (6)0.500.170.750.250.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.360.590.400.600.330.58
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D01L00D30W02L01L02L10WA·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03A·MLA07/03H·JED11/03A·MOR15/03A·BOK21/03H·PET04/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.730.670.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.780.330.500.83
vs Weaker (15)0.801.000.671.170.890.89
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W02L01L00D11D10W03L01L00DH·MOR06/12H·BUD10/12A·PET21/02H·BOK25/02H·SUT01/03A·ARS07/03H·DEČ11/03A·MLA15/03H·JED21/03A·MOR04/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.870.600.600.80
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.500.750.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.731.100.600.580.83
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica's squad is €2m more valuable than Jezero's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jezero have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jezero have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Jezero have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BP wins
3
Draws
3
JEZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Jezero · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/25AJezero Vs BP1-0
01/10/25HBP Vs Jezero1-1
04/08/25AJezero Vs BP1-2
14/05/25HBP Vs Jezero2-3
16/03/25AJezero Vs BP3-3
09/11/24HBP Vs Jezero1-1
15/09/24AJezero Vs BP0-2
21/04/24AJezero Vs BP3-1

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HBP Vs Petrovac1-0
21/03/26ABokelj Vs BP2-0
15/03/26AMornar Vs BP3-0
11/03/26HBP Vs Jedinstvo3-2
07/03/26AMladost DG Vs BP1-4
01/03/26HBP Vs Dečić0-0
25/02/26AArsenal Tivat Vs BP1-0
21/02/26HBP Vs Sutjeska2-1
14/12/25ADečić Vs BP1-0
10/12/25AJezero Vs BP1-0

JezeroJezero

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AMornar Vs JEZ2-0
21/03/26HJEZ Vs Jedinstvo0-1
15/03/26AMladost DG Vs JEZ3-1
11/03/26HJEZ Vs Dečić1-2
07/03/26AArsenal Tivat Vs JEZ1-2
01/03/26HJEZ Vs Sutjeska1-1
25/02/26HJEZ Vs Bokelj1-1
21/02/26APetrovac Vs JEZ2-1
10/12/25HJEZ Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-0
06/12/25HJEZ Vs Mornar2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.72
HomeLWDWW1.96
AwayLLWLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.862.882.84
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.802.001.60
Conceded1.060.881.24
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.34
HomeWDDLL1.48
AwayWLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.422.642.20
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.201.440.96
Conceded1.221.201.24
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3672
61%
2.0
6136+25
2.7
72%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.0
-
2MornarMornar3669
56%
1.9
5129+22
2.2
69%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.8
-
3PetrovacPetrovac3651
36%
1.4
4436+8
2.2
67%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4DečićDečić3651
39%
1.4
4345-2
2.4
64%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.2
-
5Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3648
36%
1.3
3635+1
2.0
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.0
-
6JezeroJezero3847
32%
1.2
4649-3
2.5
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.3
-
7Mladost DGMladost DG3646
39%
1.3
4954-5
2.9
64%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
8Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3646
33%
1.3
3646-10
2.3
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
9BokeljBokelj3840
24%
1.1
4048-8
2.3
68%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
10JedinstvoJedinstvo3635
25%
1.0
3049-19
2.2
58%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
11GrbaljGrbalj21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
12Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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