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Buducnost Podgorica vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

Date: 04/04/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost Podgorica win✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L01L21W01L00D41W32W03L02LA·PET06/12A·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03A·MLA07/03H·JED11/03A·MOR15/03A·BOK21/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.290.930.941.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.931.001.120.620.711.43
vs Weaker (15)1.271.201.501.331.111.11
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L21W00D21W12L10W10W31W21W02LA·MOR30/11H·BUD06/12H·BOK10/12H·JEZ21/02A·SUT25/02H·ARS01/03A·DEČ07/03H·MLA11/03A·JED15/03H·MOR21/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.071.310.751.291.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.301.071.310.751.291.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0 ✓
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
Buducnost Podgorica goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
07.7%6.2%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.3%13%6.6%2.5%0.7%
28.4%9.4%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.5%5.1%2.8%1.1%0.3%
41.8%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Buducnost Podgorica goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sutjeska
2.00
Mornar
1.92
Petrovac
1.42
Dečić
1.42
Buducnost Podgorica
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Mladost DG
1.28
Jezero
1.24
Bokelj
1.05
Jedinstvo
0.97
Grbalj
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.08 points worse than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
1.69
Mornar
1.42
Mladost DG
1.36
Petrovac
1.22
Jezero
1.21
Dečić
1.19
Bokelj
1.05
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Arsenal Tivat
1.00
Jedinstvo
0.83
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.50
Grbalj
0.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.22 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.22).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mornar
0.81
Buducnost Podgorica
0.97
Grbalj
1.00
Petrovac
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Dečić
1.25
Bokelj
1.26
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Jezero
1.29
Jedinstvo
1.36
Mladost DG
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
4.00
Buducnost Podgorica is 0.03 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D00D10W00D00D11D30W02L00DA·PET06/12A·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03A·MLA07/03H·JED11/03A·MOR15/03A·BOK21/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.300.570.210.250.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.400.380.250.290.57
vs Weaker (15)0.470.200.830.170.220.22
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D01L00D00D00D11D00D01LA·MOR30/11H·BUD06/12H·BOK10/12H·JEZ21/02A·SUT25/02H·ARS01/03A·DEČ07/03H·MLA11/03A·JED15/03H·MOR21/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.620.440.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.470.620.440.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L11D01L00D30W02L01L02LA·PET06/12A·JEZ10/12A·DEČ14/12H·SUT21/02A·ARS25/02H·DEČ01/03A·MLA07/03H·JED11/03A·MOR15/03A·BOK21/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.710.710.690.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.600.750.380.430.86
vs Weaker (15)0.801.000.671.170.890.89
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D20W12L10W10W20W21W01LA·MOR30/11H·BUD06/12H·BOK10/12H·JEZ21/02A·SUT25/02H·ARS01/03A·DEČ07/03H·MLA11/03A·JED15/03H·MOR21/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.690.310.790.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.600.690.310.790.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Buducnost Podgorica and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BP wins
2
Draws
2
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Buducnost Podgorica vs Petrovac · H/A from BP
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25APetrovac Vs BP2-1
27/09/25HBP Vs Petrovac1-1
06/04/25APetrovac Vs BP3-3
07/12/24HBP Vs Petrovac3-1
27/11/24APetrovac Vs BP1-4
06/08/24HBP Vs Petrovac2-1
25/05/24APetrovac Vs BP3-1
30/03/24HBP Vs Petrovac2-0

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26ABokelj Vs BP2-0
15/03/26AMornar Vs BP3-0
11/03/26HBP Vs Jedinstvo3-2
07/03/26AMladost DG Vs BP1-4
01/03/26HBP Vs Dečić0-0
25/02/26AArsenal Tivat Vs BP1-0
21/02/26HBP Vs Sutjeska2-1
14/12/25ADečić Vs BP1-0
10/12/25AJezero Vs BP1-0
06/12/25APetrovac Vs BP2-1

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HPET Vs Mornar0-2
15/03/26AJedinstvo Vs PET1-2
11/03/26HPET Vs Mladost DG3-1
07/03/26ADečić Vs PET0-1
01/03/26HPET Vs Arsenal Tivat1-0
25/02/26ASutjeska Vs PET2-1
21/02/26HPET Vs Jezero2-1
10/12/25HPET Vs Bokelj0-0
06/12/25HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-1
30/11/25AMornar Vs PET3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.72
HomeWLWDW1.92
AwayLLWLL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals2.942.962.92
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored1.862.041.69
Conceded1.080.921.23
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.50
HomeDWWWL1.78
AwayLLLWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%30%
AVG goals2.502.222.83
Over 1.5 %72%63%83%
Over 2.5 %48%37%61%
Over 3.5 %26%22%30%
Scored1.401.371.43
Conceded1.100.851.39
BTTS56%41%74%
Clean Sheet30%44%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3672
61%
2.0
6136+25
2.7
72%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.0
-
2MornarMornar3669
56%
1.9
5129+22
2.2
69%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.8
-
3PetrovacPetrovac3651
36%
1.4
4436+8
2.2
67%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4DečićDečić3651
39%
1.4
4345-2
2.4
64%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.2
-
5Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3648
36%
1.3
3635+1
2.0
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.0
-
6JezeroJezero3847
32%
1.2
4649-3
2.5
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.3
-
7Mladost DGMladost DG3646
39%
1.3
4954-5
2.9
64%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
8Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3646
33%
1.3
3646-10
2.3
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
9BokeljBokelj3840
24%
1.1
4048-8
2.3
68%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
10JedinstvoJedinstvo3635
25%
1.0
3049-19
2.2
58%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
11GrbaljGrbalj21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
12Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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