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Burnley vs Leeds Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Burnley
Burnley
Vs
23%
27%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burnley win✓ Hit
22.9%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.48
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.22
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds win✗ Miss
50.3%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.19
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W03L20W21W23L01L11D12L15L12LH·MIL03/05A·TOT16/08H·SUN23/08H·DER26/08A·MAN30/08H·LIV14/09H·NOT20/09H·CAR23/09A·MAN27/09A·AST05/10← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.931.730.601.531.27
vs Stronger (5)0.802.800.001.001.003.25
vs Similar (23)1.740.611.750.671.730.55
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.500.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W21W10W05L11D00D01L31W22D12LH·BRI28/04A·PLY03/05H·EVE18/08A·ARS23/08A·SHE26/08H·NEW30/08A·FUL13/09A·WOL20/09H·BOU27/09H·TOT04/10← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.832.250.691.431.00
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (14)1.360.711.250.881.500.50
vs Weaker (15)2.470.673.250.501.570.86
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.26+9.0%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.62-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
Burnley goals ↓
Leeds goals →
01234
07.8%9.9%9.2%5.0%2.1%
15.9%13%9.6%5.3%2.2%
23.7%6.1%5.1%2.8%1.2%
31.3%2.1%1.8%1.0%0.4%
40.3%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burnley goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Burnley is 0.66 points worse than Leeds in terms of average points per game (0.58 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Burnley is 0.29 goals worse than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Burnley is 0.50 goals worse than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Burnley is 4.0 percentage points worse than Leeds in terms of average possession (42% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BurnleyBurnley

For 3.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1404621025451131753435674101279148871111A·ASTA·MANH·CARH·NOTH·LIVA·MANH·DERH·SUNA·TOTH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.5

🟨 Cards

601331211125111114432262101A·ASTA·MANH·CARH·NOTH·LIVA·MANH·DERH·SUNA·TOTH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

240159751311121199996119581451624122423181817142221A·ASTA·MANH·CARH·NOTH·LIVA·MANH·DERH·SUNA·TOTH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

For 5.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

120417443355812272711115114610949812H·TOTH·BOUA·WOLA·FULH·NEWA·SHEA·ARSH·EVEA·PLYH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

5023221121112222215423222241H·TOTH·BOUA·WOLA·FULH·NEWA·SHEA·ARSH·EVEA·PLYH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

3501012121391115201015712118688166422252035251919142410H·TOTH·BOUA·WOLA·FULH·NEWA·SHEA·ARSH·EVEA·PLYH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurnleyBurnley

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.69.13.33.13.522.321.623.0
vs Stronger (5)11.014.010.23.22.03.518.818.019.0
vs Similar (41)8.89.08.63.32.93.622.721.624.0
vs Weaker (4)13.714.013.03.55.51.522.723.521.0
% over line49%42%57%50%42%58%60%54%65%
% under line51%58%43%50%58%42%40%46%35%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.29.12.92.73.222.021.422.6
vs Stronger (1)4.0-4.02.0-2.019.0-19.0
vs Similar (20)9.39.69.03.33.33.323.422.824.0
vs Weaker (29)10.110.79.62.72.33.221.120.421.9
% over line54%67%42%30%23%38%56%58%54%
% under line46%33%58%70%77%62%44%42%46%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.0
Tottenham
11.0
Liverpool
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Fulham
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.9
Sunderland
9.7
Everton
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Wolves
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Chelsea
9.4
Manchester United
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Burnley
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Tottenham
3.8
Liverpool
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.6
Burnley
3.4
West Ham
3.4
Leeds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.1
Bournemouth
24.1
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Newcastle
22.8
Sunderland
22.7
Burnley
22.2
Chelsea
22.2
Leeds
22.0
West Ham
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Manchester United
21.8
Everton
21.7
Arsenal
21.6
Fulham
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.3
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
42.6%
Under 21.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BurnleyBurnley

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D11D01L00D11D02L11D01LH·MIL03/05A·TOT16/08H·SUN23/08H·DER26/08A·MAN30/08H·LIV14/09H·NOT20/09H·CAR23/09A·MAN27/09A·AST05/10← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.531.000.471.000.60
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.000.251.00
vs Similar (23)1.170.521.080.581.270.45
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D02L00D00D00D31W11D11DH·BRI28/04A·PLY03/05H·EVE18/08A·ARS23/08A·SHE26/08H·NEW30/08A·FUL13/09A·WOL20/09H·BOU27/09H·TOT04/10← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.471.060.380.860.57
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.710.430.500.501.000.33
vs Weaker (15)1.270.401.620.250.860.57
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BurnleyBurnley

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W02L20W10W22D01L00D10W04L11DH·MIL03/05A·TOT16/08H·SUN23/08H·DER26/08A·MAN30/08H·LIV14/09H·NOT20/09H·CAR23/09A·MAN27/09A·AST05/10← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.730.130.530.67
vs Stronger (5)0.602.000.001.000.752.25
vs Similar (23)0.570.090.670.080.450.09
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W10W03L11D00D01L00D11D01LH·BRI28/04A·PLY03/05H·EVE18/08A·ARS23/08A·SHE26/08H·NEW30/08A·FUL13/09A·WOL20/09H·BOU27/09H·TOT04/10← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.190.310.570.43
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (14)0.640.290.750.380.500.17
vs Weaker (15)1.200.271.620.250.710.29
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming34%
Jaydon Banel25%
Jaidon Anthony24%
Oliver Sonne20%
Josh Cullen11%
Lyle Foster11%
Loum Tchaouna9%
Ashley Barnes9%
Lesley Ugochukwu8%
Axel Tuanzebe6%
Josh Laurent6%
Marcus Edwards4%
Armando Broja4%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Florentino Luís0%
Kyle Walker0%
Joe Worrall0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Maxime Estève0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hannibal Mejbri37%
Ashley Barnes27%
Bashir Humphreys27%
Kyle Walker25%
Josh Laurent22%
Florentino Luís21%
Zian Flemming16%
Lyle Foster15%
Josh Cullen11%
Jaidon Anthony11%
Oliver Sonne10%
Loum Tchaouna9%
Lesley Ugochukwu8%
James Ward-Prowse7%
Axel Tuanzebe6%
Hjalmar Ekdal5%
Lucas Pires4%
Quilindschy Hartman4%
Marcus Edwards4%
Martin Dúbravka3%
Maxime Estève3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Joe Worrall0%
Mike Trésor0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Armando Broja0%
Max Weiss0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quilindschy Hartman17%
Marcus Edwards15%
Mike Trésor12%
Josh Cullen11%
Lyle Foster11%
Hannibal Mejbri10%
Armando Broja8%
James Ward-Prowse7%
Jacob Bruun Larsen7%
Florentino Luís6%
Kyle Walker6%
Jaidon Anthony5%
Hjalmar Ekdal5%
Loum Tchaouna3%
Lesley Ugochukwu3%
Joe Worrall0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Josh Laurent0%
Zian Flemming0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Maxime Estève0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming16%
Jaidon Anthony8%
Loum Tchaouna6%
Lucas Pires4%
Marcus Edwards4%
Armando Broja4%
Josh Laurent3%
Lesley Ugochukwu3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Florentino Luís0%
Kyle Walker0%
Joe Worrall0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Josh Cullen0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Lyle Foster0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Maxime Estève0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Burnley's squad is €312m less valuable than Leeds's (€115m vs €427m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Burnley's attack is €96m less valuable than Leeds's (€70m vs €166m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Burnley's midfield is €90m less valuable than Leeds's (€8m vs €98m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Burnley's defence is €127m less valuable than Leeds's (€37m vs €163m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
BUR wins
2
Draws
3
LEE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Burnley vs Leeds · H/A from BUR
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/25HBUR Vs Leeds0-0
14/09/24ALeeds Vs BUR0-1
02/01/22ALeeds Vs BUR3-1
29/08/21HBUR Vs Leeds1-1
15/05/21HBUR Vs Leeds0-4
27/12/20ALeeds Vs BUR1-0

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25AAston Villa Vs BUR2-1
27/09/25AManchester City Vs BUR5-1
23/09/25HBUR Vs Cardiff1-2
20/09/25HBUR Vs Nottingham Forest1-1
14/09/25HBUR Vs Liverpool0-1
30/08/25AManchester United Vs BUR3-2
26/08/25HBUR Vs Derby2-1
23/08/25HBUR Vs Sunderland2-0
16/08/25ATottenham Vs BUR3-0
03/05/25HBUR Vs Millwall3-1

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25HLEE Vs Tottenham1-2
27/09/25HLEE Vs Bournemouth2-2
20/09/25AWolves Vs LEE1-3
13/09/25AFulham Vs LEE1-0
30/08/25HLEE Vs Newcastle0-0
26/08/25ASheffield Weds Vs LEE1-1
23/08/25AArsenal Vs LEE5-0
18/08/25HLEE Vs Everton1-0
03/05/25APlymouth Vs LEE1-2
28/04/25HLEE Vs Bristol City4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Burnley
Burnley
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.88
HomeWWLDL2.00
AwayWLLLL1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals2.021.792.23
Over 1.5 %62%58%65%
Over 2.5 %38%33%42%
Over 3.5 %14%12%15%
Scored1.341.331.35
Conceded0.680.460.88
BTTS36%38%35%
Clean Sheet56%58%54%
Corners9.369.629.09
Cards3.493.083.91
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL2.02
HomeWWDDL2.38
AwayWLDLW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%73%42%
AVG goals2.702.882.50
Over 1.5 %76%88%62%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.902.351.42
Conceded0.800.541.08
BTTS40%35%46%
Clean Sheet48%62%33%
Corners9.6910.259.12
Cards3.062.923.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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