The match between Burnley and West Ham is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are almost evenly split: 36% for Burnley, 28% for a draw and 35% for West Ham. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high scoring game, yet the most likely total is two goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 with a 13.6% chance. Burnley’s home form shows a solid defence, conceding only 0.71 goals on average against teams of similar strength, while their attack averages 1.43 goals. West Ham, playing away, has a balanced record, scoring and conceding 1.69 goals on average against comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls (79.4%), Under 5.5 cards (78.6%), Over 2.5 cards (76.1%), Over 1.5 goals (75.9%), Under 3.5 goals (72.0%) and Over 8.5 corners (71.0%). The game remains finely balanced, with no clear favourite beyond the model’s pick of a home win.
Results analysis
The upset was stark: West Ham snatched a 2-1 win over Burnley, ending the home side’s winless run. The pre-match favourite was a Home win at 36% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score was 1-2, an Away win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 79.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.0%, and Over 8.5 corners at 71.0%. Burnley entered from a defeat, while West Ham came off a victory, yet the outcome defied expectations.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Burnley win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.43
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.43
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✓ Hit
35.4%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.18
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Burnley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.30
1.50
1.50
1.25
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
3.17
0.80
3.20
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
0.95
1.43
0.71
1.42
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.40
3.50
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.53
2.00
1.21
1.56
1.81
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.33
1.75
2.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.82
1.36
2.00
0.89
1.69
1.69
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.0%
@ 2.01+2.4%
Under 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.83-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
Burnley goals ↓
West Ham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
7.9%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.0%
14%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.2%
8.3%
5.5%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.8%
3.7%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burnley goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Burnley is 0.74 points worse than West Ham in terms of average points per game (0.63 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Burnley is 0.50 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Burnley is 0.11 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (2.05 vs 1.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Burnley is 6.6 percentage points better than West Ham in terms of average possession (47% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Burnley
For 6.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
For 5.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Burnley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.5
4.2
4.2
4.2
20.9
19.7
22.1
vs Stronger (6)
10.3
11.2
6.0
3.5
3.8
2.0
20.0
20.6
17.0
vs Similar (37)
9.9
10.2
9.6
4.3
4.1
4.4
21.4
19.9
22.5
vs Weaker (7)
11.1
12.0
10.0
4.1
5.0
3.0
19.1
17.8
21.0
% over line
54%
64%
44%
58%
64%
52%
42%
32%
52%
% under line
46%
36%
56%
42%
36%
48%
58%
68%
48%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.5
11.3
3.1
2.9
3.2
19.4
17.5
21.1
vs Stronger (8)
11.0
11.2
10.7
2.6
3.2
1.7
20.4
18.4
23.7
vs Similar (38)
10.8
10.5
11.1
3.3
2.9
3.5
19.3
17.5
20.8
vs Weaker (4)
12.0
9.5
14.5
2.0
2.0
2.0
18.0
15.5
20.5
% over line
60%
58%
62%
34%
38%
31%
32%
12%
50%
% under line
40%
42%
38%
66%
62%
69%
68%
88%
50%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.6
Bournemouth
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
West Ham
10.9
Everton
10.8
Tottenham
10.8
Sheffield United
10.6
Luton
10.5
Wolves
10.3
Liverpool
10.3
Burnley
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Brentford
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Manchester City
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Wolves
4.7
Tottenham
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Aston Villa
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Manchester City
4.1
Everton
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Fulham
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester United
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Brentford
3.4
Bournemouth
3.4
Liverpool
3.4
West Ham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.3
Aston Villa
23.9
Wolves
23.7
Chelsea
23.6
Brighton
23.3
Tottenham
23.3
Luton
22.7
Newcastle
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.1
Fulham
21.7
Arsenal
21.2
Liverpool
21.2
Everton
21.1
Bournemouth
21.0
Brentford
20.9
Burnley
20.9
Manchester City
20.8
Sheffield United
20.5
Manchester United
20.1
West Ham
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.5%
Under 3.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.6%
Under 21.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Burnley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.64
0.71
0.50
0.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.50
0.40
1.60
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.26
0.43
0.29
0.58
0.25
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.79
0.57
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.64
0.78
0.44
0.77
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Burnley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.86
0.79
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.40
1.60
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.68
1.00
0.43
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
1.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.90
1.21
0.64
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.73
1.22
0.44
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lyle Foster21%
David Datro Fofana20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen19%
Zeki Amdouni15%
Josh Brownhill12%
Wilson Odobert10%
Jay Rodriguez10%
Dara O'Shea9%
Josh Cullen8%
Ameen Al-Dakhil8%
Lorenz Assignon7%
Luca Koleosho7%
Jóhann Guðmundsson4%
Charlie Taylor4%
Sander Berge3%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Arijanet Murić0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Manuel Benson0%
Vitinho0%
Jack Cork0%
Nathan Redmond0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jordan Beyer0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Anass Zaroury0%
James Trafford0%
Maxime Estève0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Beyer40%
Maxime Estève38%
Josh Cullen36%
Charlie Taylor29%
Connor Roberts29%
Lorenz Assignon27%
Hjalmar Ekdal25%
Sander Berge24%
Hannes Delcroix17%
Dara O'Shea15%
Josh Brownhill12%
Wilson Odobert10%
Nathan Redmond8%
Jóhann Guðmundsson8%
Ameen Al-Dakhil8%
James Trafford7%
Aaron Ramsey7%
David Datro Fofana7%
Zeki Amdouni6%
Jacob Bruun Larsen3%
Vitinho3%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Arijanet Murić0%
Manuel Benson0%
Jack Cork0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Mike Trésor0%
Lyle Foster0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lorenz Assignon13%
Lyle Foster12%
Dara O'Shea12%
Josh Cullen12%
Jóhann Guðmundsson12%
Connor Roberts7%
Wilson Odobert7%
Jordan Beyer7%
David Datro Fofana7%
Luca Koleosho7%
Vitinho6%
Josh Brownhill6%
Sander Berge5%
Jay Rodriguez5%
Charlie Taylor4%
Zeki Amdouni3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Arijanet Murić0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Manuel Benson0%
Jack Cork0%
Nathan Redmond0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Anass Zaroury0%
James Trafford0%
Maxime Estève0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilson Odobert17%
Lyle Foster17%
Luca Koleosho13%
David Datro Fofana7%
Jacob Bruun Larsen6%
Jay Rodriguez5%
Josh Cullen4%
Jóhann Guðmundsson4%
Josh Brownhill3%
Zeki Amdouni3%
Sander Berge3%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Arijanet Murić0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Manuel Benson0%
Vitinho0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Charlie Taylor0%
Jack Cork0%
Nathan Redmond0%
Connor Roberts0%
Jordan Beyer0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Anass Zaroury0%
James Trafford0%
Maxime Estève0%
Lorenz Assignon0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen37%
George Earthy25%
Mohammed Kudus24%
Michail Antonio22%
Lucas Paquetá20%
Tomáš Souček19%
James Ward-Prowse15%
Kurt Zouma8%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Aaron Cresswell6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Danny Ings4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Saïd Benrahma0%
Divin Mubama0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edson Álvarez37%
Thilo Kehrer33%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Emerson Palmieri30%
Michail Antonio25%
Kalvin Phillips20%
Tomáš Souček17%
Mohammed Kudus17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Angelo Ogbonna14%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Kurt Zouma11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
James Ward-Prowse9%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Konstantinos Mavropanos7%
Ben Johnson6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Pablo Fornals5%
Danny Ings4%
Alphonse Aréola3%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá10%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Michail Antonio6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Emerson Palmieri5%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Danny Ings0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen37%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Saïd Benrahma11%
Tomáš Souček9%
Danny Ings8%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio6%
Nayef Aguerd4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
James Ward-Prowse2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Burnley's squad is €159m less valuable than West Ham's (€115m vs €274m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Burnley's attack is €15m less valuable than West Ham's (€70m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Burnley's midfield is €40m less valuable than West Ham's (€8m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Burnley's defence is €105m less valuable than West Ham's (€37m vs €141m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Sheffield United