The match between Burnley and West Ham is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home win 35%, draw 27%, away win 38%. The expected total goals sit at 2.9, but the most likely total is 2, with a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.8% probability, though the final result last time was a 0-2 away win for West Ham. Burnley, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. West Ham, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (84.1%), Over 1.5 (79.4%), Under 25.5 fouls (78.6%), Under 11.5 corners (71.4%), Over 2.5 cards (70.2%) and Under 4.5 cards (70.2%). All selections are presented with their probabilities, and no other outcomes are mentioned.
Results analysis
The win for West Ham extends their recent run, while Burnley’s form has slipped after a defeat. The model’s favourite was an Away win at 38%, and it proved correct as West Ham triumphed 0-2. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 was missed, but the model’s other selections performed well: Under 5.5 cards hit at 84.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 79.4%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 78.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 71.4%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 70.2%, and Under 4.5 cards also hit at 70.2%. The final result matched the predicted outcome, confirming the model’s accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Burnley win✗ Miss
35.0%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.11
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.58
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✓ Hit
37.9%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.19
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Burnley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.77
1.47
1.35
1.38
2.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
2.30
0.80
1.80
1.00
2.80
vs Similar (20)
1.70
1.50
1.75
1.17
1.62
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.87
1.27
2.00
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
3.00
0.50
3.50
0.67
2.67
vs Similar (24)
1.46
1.67
1.42
1.83
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.70-0.5%
Under 2.5
45.0%
@ 2.12+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-2 ✓
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Burnley goals ↓
West Ham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
7.1%
6.1%
3.0%
1.1%
1
6.7%
13%
8.6%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.2%
6.0%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.6%
3.8%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.9%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burnley goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Burnley is 0.45 points worse than West Ham in terms of average points per game (0.58 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Burnley is 0.21 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Burnley is 0.26 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Burnley is 0.3 percentage points worse than West Ham in terms of average possession (42% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Burnley
For 3.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 8.4 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Burnley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
9.0
3.0
2.8
3.2
20.7
19.8
21.7
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
8.6
10.2
3.0
2.6
3.4
19.0
19.2
18.8
vs Similar (37)
8.7
8.7
8.6
3.0
2.6
3.3
21.0
19.6
22.6
vs Weaker (3)
14.0
14.0
-
3.7
5.5
0.0
23.5
23.5
-
% over line
40%
38%
43%
40%
31%
50%
43%
31%
57%
% under line
60%
62%
57%
60%
69%
50%
57%
69%
43%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.8
3.5
3.6
3.3
23.1
23.7
22.5
vs Stronger (10)
8.9
10.0
8.4
2.7
1.0
3.4
23.4
20.0
24.9
vs Similar (39)
10.1
9.8
10.4
3.6
3.8
3.3
22.8
23.9
21.6
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
14.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
53%
54%
52%
44%
46%
42%
57%
62%
52%
% under line
47%
46%
48%
56%
54%
58%
43%
38%
48%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
Bournemouth
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.2
West Ham
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Fulham
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Everton
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Arsenal
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Wolves
9.2
Burnley
9.0
Manchester City
8.9
Sunderland
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.6
Sunderland
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Everton
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Brentford
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Liverpool
3.1
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.4
Bournemouth
24.0
West Ham
23.2
Aston Villa
23.1
Nottingham Forest
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Brighton
22.5
Everton
22.5
Tottenham
22.3
Sunderland
22.2
Arsenal
21.9
Manchester United
21.7
Leeds
21.4
Burnley
21.0
Newcastle
20.8
Crystal Palace
20.2
Manchester City
20.2
Fulham
20.1
Liverpool
19.5
Brentford
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.7%
Under 21.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Burnley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.76
0.88
0.54
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.95
0.92
0.92
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.93
0.73
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.50
1.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
1.00
0.67
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Burnley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.71
0.47
0.85
1.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.40
0.40
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
0.83
0.25
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.33
1.27
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.80
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.75
1.04
0.42
1.17
1.08
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming34%
Jaydon Banel25%
Jaidon Anthony24%
Oliver Sonne20%
Josh Cullen11%
Lyle Foster11%
Loum Tchaouna9%
Ashley Barnes9%
Lesley Ugochukwu8%
Axel Tuanzebe6%
Josh Laurent6%
Marcus Edwards4%
Armando Broja4%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Florentino Luís0%
Kyle Walker0%
Joe Worrall0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Maxime Estève0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hannibal Mejbri37%
Ashley Barnes27%
Bashir Humphreys27%
Kyle Walker25%
Josh Laurent22%
Florentino Luís21%
Zian Flemming16%
Lyle Foster15%
Josh Cullen11%
Jaidon Anthony11%
Oliver Sonne10%
Loum Tchaouna9%
Lesley Ugochukwu8%
James Ward-Prowse7%
Axel Tuanzebe6%
Hjalmar Ekdal5%
Lucas Pires4%
Quilindschy Hartman4%
Marcus Edwards4%
Martin Dúbravka3%
Maxime Estève3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Joe Worrall0%
Mike Trésor0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Armando Broja0%
Max Weiss0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quilindschy Hartman17%
Marcus Edwards15%
Mike Trésor12%
Josh Cullen11%
Lyle Foster11%
Hannibal Mejbri10%
Armando Broja8%
James Ward-Prowse7%
Jacob Bruun Larsen7%
Florentino Luís6%
Kyle Walker6%
Jaidon Anthony5%
Hjalmar Ekdal5%
Loum Tchaouna3%
Lesley Ugochukwu3%
Joe Worrall0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Josh Laurent0%
Zian Flemming0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Maxime Estève0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming16%
Jaidon Anthony8%
Loum Tchaouna6%
Lucas Pires4%
Marcus Edwards4%
Armando Broja4%
Josh Laurent3%
Lesley Ugochukwu3%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Florentino Luís0%
Kyle Walker0%
Joe Worrall0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Josh Cullen0%
Mike Trésor0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Lyle Foster0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Maxime Estève0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Weiss0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Quilindschy Hartman0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos27%
Lucas Paquetá26%
Jarrod Bowen24%
Crysencio Summerville21%
Callum Wilson17%
Tomáš Souček15%
Mateus Fernandes11%
Axel Disasi6%
Konstantinos Mavropanos6%
Soungoutou Magassa4%
Kyle Walker-Peters4%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Andy Irving0%
Freddie Potts0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf0%
Ezra Mayers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valentín Castellanos32%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Crysencio Summerville21%
Jean-Clair Todibo20%
Max Kilman20%
Soungoutou Magassa19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka19%
Mateus Fernandes18%
El Hadji Malick Diouf18%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Kyle Walker-Peters14%
Mohamadou Kanté14%
Guido Rodríguez12%
Oliver Scarles12%
Tomáš Souček10%
Jarrod Bowen10%
Adama Traoré8%
Axel Disasi6%
Konstantinos Mavropanos6%
Freddie Potts4%
Callum Wilson3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Andy Irving0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Ezra Mayers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
El Hadji Malick Diouf15%
Ezra Mayers11%
Mateus Fernandes11%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Adama Traoré8%
Pablo Felipe6%
Lucas Paquetá5%
Mads Hermansen5%
Alphonse Aréola4%
Jean-Clair Todibo4%
Freddie Potts4%
Soungoutou Magassa4%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka4%
Kyle Walker-Peters4%
Callum Wilson3%
Tomáš Souček0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Max Kilman0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Axel Disasi0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Valentín Castellanos0%
Andy Irving0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos36%
Niclas Füllkrug11%
Lucas Paquetá11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
Callum Wilson6%
Crysencio Summerville3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Mateus Fernandes3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Axel Disasi0%
Andy Irving0%
Freddie Potts0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Soungoutou Magassa0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf0%
Ezra Mayers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Burnley's squad is €159m less valuable than West Ham's (€115m vs €274m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Burnley's attack is €15m less valuable than West Ham's (€70m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Burnley's midfield is €40m less valuable than West Ham's (€8m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Burnley's defence is €105m less valuable than West Ham's (€37m vs €141m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Wolves