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Burton vs Luton Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Burton
Burton
Vs
33%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Luton
Luton
England: League One
Referee: P Wright

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burton win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.73
Edge
+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.78
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Luton win✓ Hit
36.9%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.68
Edge
-18.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BurtonBurton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W11D13L21W23L00D11D12L01LH·BIR21/04H·CAM26/04H·WIG29/04A·CHA03/05H·MAN02/08A·BAR09/08H·POR16/08A·TRA19/08A·STO23/08H·LIN26/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.301.531.200.931.40
vs Stronger (7)0.712.291.002.000.602.40
vs Similar (23)1.391.001.621.081.100.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W31W10W35L10W20W01L12L10W01LA·DER18/04H·BRI21/04H·COV26/04A·WES03/05H·AFC01/08A·PET09/08A·COV12/08A·BRA16/08H·WIG19/08H·CAR23/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.200.640.571.001.75
vs Stronger (3)0.331.671.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.831.210.580.581.081.83
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.6%
Under 1.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.0%
@ 1.92-6.6%
Under 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.81+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
Burton goals ↓
Luton goals →
01234
011%10%7.1%2.9%0.9%
19.4%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.1%7.5%4.6%1.9%0.6%
32.3%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burton goals (down), columns = Luton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Burton is 0.43 points worse than Luton in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Burton is 0.39 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.48).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Burton is 0.09 goals worse than Luton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Burton is 9.7 percentage points worse than Luton in terms of average possession (46% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BurtonBurton

For 5.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1203284619347173375722251271211861294H·LINA·STOA·TRAH·PORA·BARH·MANA·CHAH·WIGH·CAMH·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

603242142132212112125436443133H·LINA·STOA·TRAH·PORA·BARH·MANA·CHAH·WIGH·CAMH·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

300121189119141014161315101567147131623172024302825132129H·LINA·STOA·TRAH·PORA·BARH·MANA·CHAH·WIGH·CAMH·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LutonLuton

For 6.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

20058849255635246182344913121110971020713H·CARH·WIGA·BRAA·COVA·PETH·AFCA·WESH·COVH·BRIA·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

902112221221122363223341424934H·CARH·WIGA·BRAA·COVA·PETH·AFCA·WESH·COVH·BRIA·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

3101110712151211612151011229916111213921192717272131252322H·CARH·WIGA·BRAA·COVA·PETH·AFCA·WESH·COVH·BRIA·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurtonBurton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.810.33.63.63.721.521.821.2
vs Stronger (13)9.19.58.74.24.73.721.123.818.7
vs Similar (36)9.78.611.03.63.53.621.721.122.3
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line50%46%54%54%54%54%50%58%42%
% under line50%54%46%46%46%46%50%42%58%
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.210.33.84.03.524.025.023.0
vs Stronger (5)8.89.08.52.84.51.722.527.018.0
vs Similar (42)11.111.610.53.94.03.824.025.023.1
vs Weaker (3)9.07.010.03.32.04.025.021.027.0
% over line67%68%67%52%48%56%65%76%54%
% under line33%32%33%48%52%44%35%24%46%
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Huddersfield
11.0
Luton
10.8
Barnsley
10.7
Doncaster
10.7
Reading
10.4
Peterboro
10.1
Port Vale
10.0
Rotherham
10.0
Exeter
9.9
Cardiff
9.8
Stevenage
9.7
Blackpool
9.6
Plymouth
9.6
Bradford
9.6
Bolton
9.5
Lincoln
9.5
Leyton Orient
9.5
Burton
9.5
Wigan
9.4
Mansfield
9.4
Wycombe
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.0
Northampton
8.8
Stockport
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.2
Bradford
4.8
Exeter
4.1
Peterboro
4.0
Stevenage
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Burton
3.9
Stockport
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Luton
3.9
Doncaster
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Wigan
3.8
Huddersfield
3.8
Northampton
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Barnsley
3.7
Mansfield
3.6
Plymouth
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.6
Reading
3.5
Rotherham
3.3
Blackpool
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.4
Stevenage
25.2
Wycombe
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Exeter
24.5
Stockport
24.5
Rotherham
24.2
Wigan
24.1
Luton
24.0
Lincoln
23.8
Peterboro
23.7
Doncaster
23.7
Mansfield
23.6
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Cardiff
23.1
Reading
23.0
Northampton
22.9
Plymouth
22.8
Blackpool
22.7
Huddersfield
22.6
Port Vale
22.3
Burton
21.6
Leyton Orient
21.3
Barnsley
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BurtonBurton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D12L10W20W00D11D10W00DH·BIR21/04H·CAM26/04H·WIG29/04A·CHA03/05H·MAN02/08A·BAR09/08H·POR16/08A·TRA19/08A·STO23/08H·LIN26/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.800.400.530.47
vs Stronger (7)0.291.000.001.500.400.80
vs Similar (23)0.780.260.920.230.600.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D13L00D00D00D01L10W00DA·DER18/04H·BRI21/04H·COV26/04A·WES03/05H·AFC01/08A·PET09/08A·COV12/08A·BRA16/08H·WIG19/08H·CAR23/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.470.210.070.440.81
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.380.420.170.000.580.83
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BurtonBurton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W11D01L11D03L00D00D02L01LH·BIR21/04H·CAM26/04H·WIG29/04A·CHA03/05H·MAN02/08A·BAR09/08H·POR16/08A·TRA19/08A·STO23/08H·LIN26/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.730.800.400.93
vs Stronger (7)0.431.291.000.500.201.60
vs Similar (23)0.610.740.690.850.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LutonLuton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W10W22D10W20W01L11D00D01LA·DER18/04H·BRI21/04H·COV26/04A·WES03/05H·AFC01/08A·PET09/08A·COV12/08A·BRA16/08H·WIG19/08H·CAR23/08← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.430.500.560.94
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.460.790.420.580.501.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.000.001.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards73.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Burton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Beesley23%
Charlie Webster21%
Tyrese Shade19%
Fábio Tavares16%
Kyran Lofthouse12%
Alex Hartridge8%
John Joshua Mckiernan6%
George Evans6%
Udoka Godwin-Malife5%
Jack Armer5%
Terence Vancooten4%
Jasper Moon4%
Dylan Williams3%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Julian Larsson0%
Finn Delap0%
Kain Adom0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Terence Vancooten22%
Finn Delap20%
George Evans19%
Jack Newall18%
Udoka Godwin-Malife18%
Bradley Collins17%
John Joshua Mckiernan15%
Kgagelo Chauke15%
Kyran Lofthouse14%
Dylan Williams13%
Alex Hartridge12%
Andy Cannon12%
Jake Beesley11%
Jack Armer10%
Toby Sibbick10%
Jasper Moon9%
Sulyman Krubally9%
Charlie Webster8%
Kain Adom7%
Fábio Tavares6%
Sebastian Revan6%
Tyrese Shade5%
Julian Larsson4%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kyran Lofthouse18%
Jake Beesley17%
Charlie Webster12%
George Evans11%
Terence Vancooten9%
Udoka Godwin-Malife8%
Julian Larsson8%
Kain Adom7%
Sebastian Revan6%
Jasper Moon4%
Sulyman Krubally4%
Dylan Williams3%
Fábio Tavares3%
John Joshua Mckiernan3%
Jack Armer3%
Alex Hartridge2%
Toby Sibbick2%
Tyrese Shade2%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Webster33%
Tyrese Shade29%
Jake Beesley23%
Kain Adom7%
Andy Cannon6%
Julian Larsson4%
Fábio Tavares3%
Jack Armer3%
Kyran Lofthouse2%
Udoka Godwin-Malife0%
Alex Hartridge0%
Terence Vancooten0%
George Evans0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Jasper Moon0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Dylan Williams0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasey Palmer35%
Jordan Clark32%
Gideon Kodua22%
Jake Richards17%
Shayden Morris16%
Nahki Wells15%
Hakeem Odofin11%
Lamine Fanne9%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Kal Naismith8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Millenic Alli6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Isaiah Jones6%
George Saville5%
Nigel Lonwijk5%
Zack Nelson5%
Liam Walsh3%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasey Palmer30%
Jacob Brown29%
Nigel Lonwijk23%
Joseph Gbode20%
George Saville18%
Kal Naismith18%
Millenic Alli18%
Josh Keeley17%
Liam Walsh17%
Davy van den Berg13%
Mads Juel Andersen12%
Jordan Clark11%
Zack Nelson10%
Teden Mengi9%
Christ Makosso9%
Lamine Fanne9%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Hakeem Odofin6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Jerry Yates4%
Nahki Wells2%
Gideon Kodua2%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Shayden Morris0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås0%
Reuell Walters0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emilio Lawrence29%
Liam Walsh23%
Lamine Fanne13%
George Saville13%
Millenic Alli12%
Nahki Wells10%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Jordan Clark8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Isaiah Jones6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Kal Naismith5%
Kasey Palmer5%
Zack Nelson5%
Shayden Morris3%
Cohen Bramall3%
Gideon Kodua2%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Christ Makosso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Clark27%
Emilio Lawrence24%
Millenic Alli18%
Nahki Wells18%
Kasey Palmer15%
Gideon Kodua10%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Shayden Morris6%
Liam Walsh6%
Zack Nelson5%
Lamine Fanne4%
Cohen Bramall3%
Kal Naismith3%
Mads Juel Andersen0%
George Saville0%
Jerry Yates0%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
Jake Richards0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Burton's squad is €24m less valuable than Luton's (€5m vs €29m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Burton's attack is €12m less valuable than Luton's (€1m vs €13m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Burton's midfield is €3m less valuable than Luton's (€1m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Burton's defence is €10m less valuable than Luton's (€2m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BUR wins
0
Draws
0
LUT wins

Head-to-head

Burton vs Luton · H/A from BUR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BurtonBurton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/25HBUR Vs Lincoln0-1
23/08/25AStockport Vs BUR2-1
19/08/25ATranmere Vs BUR1-1
16/08/25HBUR Vs Port Vale0-0
09/08/25ABarnsley Vs BUR3-2
02/08/25HBUR Vs Mansfield2-1
03/05/25ACharlton Vs BUR3-1
29/04/25HBUR Vs Wigan1-1
26/04/25HBUR Vs Cambridge2-1
21/04/25HBUR Vs Birmingham1-2

LutonLuton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HLUT Vs Cardiff0-1
19/08/25HLUT Vs Wigan1-0
16/08/25ABradford Vs LUT2-1
12/08/25ACoventry Vs LUT1-0
09/08/25APeterboro Vs LUT0-2
01/08/25HLUT Vs AFC Wimbledon1-0
03/05/25AWest Brom Vs LUT5-3
26/04/25HLUT Vs Coventry1-0
21/04/25HLUT Vs Bristol City3-1
18/04/25ADerby Vs LUT0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Burton
Burton
England: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.06
HomeWDWDL1.19
AwayDLLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%31%21%
AVG goals2.382.462.29
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.021.190.83
Conceded1.361.271.46
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners9.568.7910.33
Cards3.793.923.67
Luton
Luton
England: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.14
HomeWWWWL1.60
AwayWLWLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.381.802.96
Over 1.5 %64%48%80%
Over 2.5 %40%32%48%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored0.981.040.92
Conceded1.400.762.04
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners10.7611.2010.29
Cards3.844.003.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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