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Burton vs Plymouth Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-4
Burton
Burton
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Plymouth
Plymouth
England: League One
Referee: T Reeves

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Burton win✗ Miss
45.2%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.48
Edge
+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.42
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Plymouth win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.67
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BurtonBurton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L21W23L00D11D12L01L03L01L00DA·CHA03/05H·MAN02/08A·BAR09/08H·POR16/08A·TRA19/08A·STO23/08H·LIN26/08H·LUT30/08H·LIN13/09A·HUD20/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.401.270.871.33
vs Stronger (8)0.622.380.672.330.602.40
vs Similar (22)1.320.911.581.001.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PlymouthPlymouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L32W23L01L10W11D04L42W32W01LA·BOL09/08H·QPR12/08A·LIN16/08H·LEY19/08H·BLA23/08A·SWA26/08A·CAR30/08H·STO06/09A·LUT13/09H·PET20/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.671.751.440.931.93
vs Stronger (4)1.501.501.671.001.003.00
vs Similar (25)1.401.721.921.580.921.85
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.83-1.2%
Under 2.5
50.1%
@ 1.91+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
Burton goals ↓
Plymouth goals →
01234
08.1%6.7%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.4%13%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.2%4.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Burton goals (down), columns = Plymouth goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Burton is 0.41 points worse than Plymouth in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Burton is 0.54 goals worse than Plymouth in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Burton is 0.07 goals better than Plymouth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Burton is 1.5 percentage points worse than Plymouth in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BurtonBurton

For 5.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

200515636432846193471733209105127121186A·HUDH·LINH·LUTH·LINA·STOA·TRAH·PORA·BARH·MANA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

60123132421421322121515436443A·HUDH·LINH·LUTH·LINA·STOA·TRAH·PORA·BARH·MANA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

30018111115910121189119141014161315101529261923172024302825A·HUDH·LINH·LUTH·LINA·STOA·TRAH·PORA·BARH·MANA·CHA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PlymouthPlymouth

For 6.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

190713168755834442641523881915101186101711H·PETA·LUTH·STOA·CARA·SWAH·BLAH·LEYA·LINH·QPRA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

100324221131113124614256342431016H·PETA·LUTH·STOA·CARA·SWAH·BLAH·LEYA·LINH·QPRA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

2608111012714614615139712111581791619222120212219262525H·PETA·LUTH·STOA·CARA·SWAH·BLAH·LEYA·LINH·QPRA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurtonBurton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.68.910.43.63.63.721.822.021.6
vs Stronger (14)9.19.68.73.94.13.720.923.118.7
vs Similar (35)9.88.711.13.63.53.822.221.622.8
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line50%48%52%54%52%57%52%60%43%
% under line50%52%48%46%48%43%48%40%57%
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PlymouthPlymouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.010.43.23.13.422.522.322.8
vs Stronger (8)8.27.58.71.62.01.422.620.524.0
vs Similar (41)9.99.110.73.53.23.922.622.622.6
vs Weaker (1)8.08.0-5.05.0-19.019.0-
% over line45%33%57%42%36%48%62%50%74%
% under line55%67%43%58%64%52%38%50%26%
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Luton
10.9
Doncaster
10.9
Huddersfield
10.8
Barnsley
10.3
Reading
10.1
Wigan
10.0
Peterboro
9.9
Port Vale
9.8
Lincoln
9.8
Bradford
9.8
Rotherham
9.8
Burton
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Plymouth
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Mansfield
9.6
Bolton
9.6
Exeter
9.6
Stevenage
9.6
Blackpool
9.4
Northampton
9.1
Wycombe
9.0
AFC Wimbledon
8.9
Stockport
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.0
Bradford
4.6
Lincoln
4.2
Peterboro
4.0
Stockport
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Mansfield
3.8
Exeter
3.8
Luton
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Wigan
3.8
Doncaster
3.7
Burton
3.7
AFC Wimbledon
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.7
Barnsley
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Northampton
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Plymouth
3.5
Reading
3.5
Rotherham
3.4
Blackpool
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.2
Wycombe
24.7
Rotherham
24.6
Stevenage
24.5
Stockport
24.4
Bradford
24.2
Exeter
24.1
Luton
23.8
Wigan
23.8
Peterboro
23.8
Mansfield
23.7
Lincoln
23.6
Doncaster
23.4
Cardiff
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Reading
23.0
Northampton
22.9
Huddersfield
22.6
Plymouth
22.6
Blackpool
22.2
Burton
21.6
Port Vale
21.6
Barnsley
21.5
Leyton Orient
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.5%
Under 3.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.5%
Under 21.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BurtonBurton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W20W00D11D10W00D02L01L00DA·CHA03/05H·MAN02/08A·BAR09/08H·POR16/08A·TRA19/08A·STO23/08H·LIN26/08H·LUT30/08H·LIN13/09A·HUD20/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.670.530.470.47
vs Stronger (8)0.251.120.001.670.400.80
vs Similar (22)0.680.270.830.250.500.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PlymouthPlymouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L00D00D11D02L21W21W01LA·BOL09/08H·QPR12/08A·LIN16/08H·LEY19/08H·BLA23/08A·SWA26/08A·CAR30/08H·STO06/09A·LUT13/09H·PET20/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.620.810.500.79
vs Stronger (4)1.000.501.000.331.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.840.580.920.460.77
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Burton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BurtonBurton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L00D00D02L01L01L00D00DA·CHA03/05H·MAN02/08A·BAR09/08H·POR16/08A·TRA19/08A·STO23/08H·LIN26/08H·LUT30/08H·LIN13/09A·HUD20/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.730.730.400.87
vs Stronger (8)0.381.250.670.670.201.60
vs Similar (22)0.640.640.750.750.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PlymouthPlymouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W22D01L10W00D02L21W11D00DA·BOL09/08H·QPR12/08A·LIN16/08H·LEY19/08H·BLA23/08A·SWA26/08A·CAR30/08H·STO06/09A·LUT13/09H·PET20/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.871.120.620.431.14
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.670.670.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.881.330.670.461.08
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Burton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Burton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Beesley23%
Charlie Webster21%
Tyrese Shade19%
Fábio Tavares16%
Kyran Lofthouse12%
Alex Hartridge8%
John Joshua Mckiernan6%
George Evans6%
Udoka Godwin-Malife5%
Jack Armer5%
Terence Vancooten4%
Jasper Moon4%
Dylan Williams3%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Julian Larsson0%
Finn Delap0%
Kain Adom0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Terence Vancooten22%
Finn Delap20%
George Evans19%
Jack Newall18%
Udoka Godwin-Malife18%
Bradley Collins17%
John Joshua Mckiernan15%
Kgagelo Chauke15%
Kyran Lofthouse14%
Dylan Williams13%
Alex Hartridge12%
Andy Cannon12%
Jake Beesley11%
Jack Armer10%
Toby Sibbick10%
Jasper Moon9%
Sulyman Krubally9%
Charlie Webster8%
Kain Adom7%
Fábio Tavares6%
Sebastian Revan6%
Tyrese Shade5%
Julian Larsson4%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kyran Lofthouse18%
Jake Beesley17%
Charlie Webster12%
George Evans11%
Terence Vancooten9%
Udoka Godwin-Malife8%
Julian Larsson8%
Kain Adom7%
Sebastian Revan6%
Jasper Moon4%
Sulyman Krubally4%
Dylan Williams3%
Fábio Tavares3%
John Joshua Mckiernan3%
Jack Armer3%
Alex Hartridge2%
Toby Sibbick2%
Tyrese Shade2%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Webster33%
Tyrese Shade29%
Jake Beesley23%
Kain Adom7%
Andy Cannon6%
Julian Larsson4%
Fábio Tavares3%
Jack Armer3%
Kyran Lofthouse2%
Udoka Godwin-Malife0%
Alex Hartridge0%
Terence Vancooten0%
George Evans0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Jasper Moon0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Dylan Williams0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Plymouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lorent Tolaj43%
Aribim Pepple35%
Owen Oseni24%
Caleb Watts19%
Herbie Kane12%
Bradley Ibrahim12%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu11%
Malachi Boateng10%
Mathias Ross10%
Joe Ralls10%
Xavier Amaechi10%
Ronan Curtis10%
Brendan Galloway8%
Alex Mitchell7%
Owen Dale4%
Matthew Sorinola3%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
Victor Pálsson0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Wes Harding0%
Bali Mumba0%
Joe Edwards0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Luca Ashby-Hammond0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Caleb Roberts0%
Ayman Benarous0%
Law McCabe0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Tegan Finn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julio Pleguezuelo38%
Bradley Ibrahim35%
Owen Dale32%
Matthew Sorinola32%
Caleb Watts23%
Bali Mumba22%
Joe Edwards22%
Caleb Roberts22%
Mathias Ross21%
Joe Ralls20%
Ronan Curtis19%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu18%
Jack Mackenzie18%
Alex Mitchell17%
Lorent Tolaj17%
Malachi Boateng17%
Wes Harding14%
Owen Oseni14%
Kornél Szűcs14%
Brendan Galloway12%
Aribim Pepple11%
Xavier Amaechi10%
Law McCabe9%
Ayman Benarous8%
Tegan Finn8%
Luca Ashby-Hammond5%
Conor Hazard3%
Victor Pálsson0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Herbie Kane0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Pálsson50%
Lorent Tolaj27%
Herbie Kane25%
Ronan Curtis19%
Ayman Benarous15%
Bali Mumba15%
Wes Harding14%
Malachi Boateng12%
Bradley Ibrahim12%
Owen Dale11%
Joe Ralls10%
Caleb Watts10%
Joe Edwards8%
Owen Oseni7%
Xavier Amaechi7%
Aribim Pepple5%
Matthew Sorinola5%
Luca Ashby-Hammond5%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu3%
Mathias Ross3%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Kornél Szűcs0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Brendan Galloway0%
Alex Mitchell0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Caleb Roberts0%
Law McCabe0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Tegan Finn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lorent Tolaj53%
Ronan Curtis19%
Aribim Pepple19%
Caleb Watts16%
Owen Oseni14%
Alex Mitchell10%
Ayman Benarous8%
Bradley Ibrahim6%
Kornél Szűcs5%
Jamie Paterson4%
Owen Dale4%
Xavier Amaechi3%
Joe Edwards3%
Mathias Ross3%
Malachi Boateng2%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
Victor Pálsson0%
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu0%
Joe Ralls0%
Wes Harding0%
Bali Mumba0%
Herbie Kane0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Brendan Galloway0%
Luca Ashby-Hammond0%
Matthew Sorinola0%
Frederick Issaka0%
Caleb Roberts0%
Law McCabe0%
Joseph Hatch0%
Tegan Finn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Burton's squad is €8m less valuable than Plymouth's (€5m vs €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Burton's attack is €3m less valuable than Plymouth's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Burton's midfield is €1m less valuable than Plymouth's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Burton's defence is €4m less valuable than Plymouth's (€2m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
BUR wins
3
Draws
3
PLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Burton vs Plymouth · H/A from BUR
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23APlymouth Vs BUR1-0
19/11/22HBUR Vs Plymouth2-2
09/04/22HBUR Vs Plymouth0-0
09/10/21APlymouth Vs BUR2-1
17/04/21HBUR Vs Plymouth1-1
10/10/20APlymouth Vs BUR2-0

BurtonBurton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AHuddersfield Vs BUR0-0
13/09/25HBUR Vs Lincoln0-1
30/08/25HBUR Vs Luton0-3
26/08/25HBUR Vs Lincoln0-1
23/08/25AStockport Vs BUR2-1
19/08/25ATranmere Vs BUR1-1
16/08/25HBUR Vs Port Vale0-0
09/08/25ABarnsley Vs BUR3-2
02/08/25HBUR Vs Mansfield2-1
03/05/25ACharlton Vs BUR3-1

PlymouthPlymouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HPLY Vs Peterboro0-1
13/09/25ALuton Vs PLY2-3
06/09/25HPLY Vs Stockport4-2
30/08/25ACardiff Vs PLY4-0
26/08/25ASwansea Vs PLY1-1
23/08/25HPLY Vs Blackpool1-0
19/08/25HPLY Vs Leyton Orient0-1
16/08/25ALincoln Vs PLY3-2
12/08/25HPLY Vs QPR3-2
09/08/25ABolton Vs PLY2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Burton
Burton
England: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.06
HomeWDLLL1.15
AwayLLDLD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals2.262.412.09
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %46%52%39%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored0.961.110.78
Conceded1.301.301.30
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet28%22%35%
Corners9.628.9210.39
Cards3.793.843.74
Plymouth
Plymouth
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.08
HomeWLWWL1.44
AwayLLDLW0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals3.063.322.80
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.181.640.72
Conceded1.881.682.08
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners9.688.9610.43
Cards3.453.253.65

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

← all matches