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BVSC vs Budapest Honved Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 4-1
BVSC
BVSC
Vs
28%
36%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives BVSC a 28% win probability against Budapest Honved in the Hungary: NB II on 2026-05-17, with 36% for the draw and 36% for Budapest Honved. The model estimates around 1.7 total goals, with 1 the most likely total (28%) and 0-0 the most likely scoreline (19.4%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (90%), Under 2.5 (75%).

Results analysis

BVSC finished 4-1 against Budapest Honved (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 28% home win, 36% draw and 36% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (90%), Under 2.5 (75%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BVSC winâś“ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budapest Honved winâś— Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

BVSCBVSC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W31W30W01L12L11D20W02L10W11DA·KAR01/03H·TIS08/03A·KOZ14/03H·MEZ22/03A·SOR05/04H·SZE11/04A·VAS20/04A·SZE26/04H·FEH03/05A·BUD10/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.071.070.861.251.25
vs Stronger (4)1.000.750.500.501.501.00
vs Similar (26)1.191.121.170.921.211.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Budapest Honved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L20W10W01L12L21W00D00D31WA·CSA28/02H·KEC09/03A·BEK14/03A·KAR22/03A·TIS05/04H·KOZ11/04A·MEZ18/04H·SOR27/04A·SZE03/05H·VAS10/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.802.070.871.270.73
vs Stronger (3)2.331.333.001.002.001.50
vs Similar (23)1.570.701.830.751.270.64
vs Weaker (4)1.751.003.001.500.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%19%028%128%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.4%
Under 1.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.6%
Under 2.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
9.5%
Under 3.5
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
34.2%
No
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.4%
0-1
15.4%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
BVSC goals ↓
Budapest Honved goals →
01234
019%15%7.8%2.4%0.6%
113%14%6.1%1.9%0.4%
25.6%5.2%2.4%0.7%0.2%
31.5%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
40.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BVSC goals (down), columns = Budapest Honved goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
BVSC is 0.60 points worse than Budapest Honved in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
BVSC is 0.43 goals worse than Budapest Honved in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
BVSC is 0.13 goals worse than Budapest Honved in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.5%-------âś— Miss
Under 2.575.4%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 10. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (29)
€7m
FF (44)
€4m
KT (35)
€4m
BH (27)
€4m
MEZ (33)
€3m
S2 (34)
€3m
SS (37)
€3m
CSA (32)
€2m
AJK (41)
€2m
SOR (38)
€2m
BVS (36)
€2m
KF (39)
€2m
TF (33)
€2m
KS (32)
€2m
BVSC's squad is €2m less valuable than Budapest Honved's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (0)
€0m
BH (0)
€0m
AJK (0)
€0m
BVS (0)
€0m
CSA (0)
€0m
FF (0)
€0m
KS (0)
€0m
KT (0)
€0m
KF (0)
€0m
MEZ (0)
€0m
SOR (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
TF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (0)
€0m
BH (0)
€0m
AJK (0)
€0m
BVS (0)
€0m
CSA (0)
€0m
FF (0)
€0m
KS (0)
€0m
KT (0)
€0m
KF (0)
€0m
MEZ (0)
€0m
SOR (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
TF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (0)
€0m
BH (0)
€0m
AJK (0)
€0m
BVS (0)
€0m
CSA (0)
€0m
FF (0)
€0m
KS (0)
€0m
KT (0)
€0m
KF (0)
€0m
MEZ (0)
€0m
SOR (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
SS (0)
€0m
TF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

BVSC vs Budapest Honved · H/A from BVS
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25ABudapest Honved Vs BVS3-0
06/04/25HBVS Vs Budapest Honved1-2
29/09/24ABudapest Honved Vs BVS0-1
26/05/24HBVS Vs Budapest Honved0-0
03/12/23ABudapest Honved Vs BVS1-1

BVSCBVSC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ABudafoki LC Vs BVS1-1
03/05/26HBVS Vs Fehérvár FC1-0
26/04/26ASzentlőrinc SE Vs BVS2-0
20/04/26AVasas Vs BVS0-2
11/04/26HBVS Vs Szeged 20111-1
05/04/26ASoroksar Vs BVS2-1
22/03/26HBVS Vs Mezokovesd-zsory0-1
14/03/26AKozarmisleny FC Vs BVS0-3
08/03/26HBVS Vs Tiszakecske FC3-1
01/03/26AKarcag SE Vs BVS1-3

Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HBH Vs Vasas3-1
03/05/26ASzeged 2011 Vs BH0-0
27/04/26HBH Vs Soroksar0-0
18/04/26AMezokovesd-zsory Vs BH1-2
11/04/26HBH Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-2
05/04/26ATiszakecske FC Vs BH1-0
22/03/26AKarcag SE Vs BH0-1
14/03/26ABekescsaba 1912 Vs BH0-2
09/03/26HBH Vs Kecskeméti TE0-1
28/02/26ACsakvar Vs BH0-2

đź“Š 12. Overall Statistics

BVSC
BVSC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWD1.24
HomeLWLDW1.31
AwayWLWLD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals2.181.812.58
Over 1.5 %66%58%75%
Over 2.5 %40%31%50%
Over 3.5 %16%12%21%
Scored1.100.961.25
Conceded1.080.851.33
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Budapest Honved
Budapest Honved
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.84
HomeWLLDW2.12
AwayWWLWD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%65%42%
AVG goals2.442.852.00
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %50%65%33%
Over 3.5 %16%23%8%
Scored1.582.001.12
Conceded0.860.850.88
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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