BVSC’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding 1.25 goals per game, while Nagykanizsai ULE’s away form shows a stronger attack, scoring 1.8 goals per match against similar opposition. The model projects a tight, low-scoring encounter, with an expected 2.1 goals and a 28% chance of exactly two goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.8% probability. Home win is the favoured result, with a 36% chance, draw 33%, and away win 31%. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 goals 99.9%, Under 6.599.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4%, Away under 3.5 goals98.2%, Under 5.598.1%, Home under 3.5 goals97.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%. BVSC enters the match coming off a win, while Nagykanizsai ULE is after a four-game losing streak.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
BVSC win
35.8%
Avg Implied 49.6% · @ 1.83
Edge
-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.91
Unibet
1.89
Dafabet
1.89
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Draw
32.9%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.33
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Nagykanizsai ULE win
31.3%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 3.92
Edge
+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.20
1xBet
4.08
Marathonbet
4.00
Bet365
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
BVSC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.97
1.00
1.07
1.20
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
0.12
0.33
0.33
1.40
0.00
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.27
1.17
1.25
1.10
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nagykanizsai ULE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.17
1.67
1.83
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.44
1.25
2.00
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.31-6.5%
Under 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.92+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Unibet
2.95
Betano
2.77
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
34.2%
@ 2.01-11.5%
Under 2.5
65.8%
@ 1.69+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Unibet
1.98
Betano
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
15.5%
@ 3.40-11.1%
Under 3.5
84.5%
@ 1.23+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
42.8%
@ 1.85-6.4%
No
57.2%
@ 1.79+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.82
No
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%@ 6.17+8.1%
0-0
14.0%@ 8.50+9.1%
1-0
12.3%@ 5.99+5.3%
0-1
11.2%@ 9.85+6.9%
2-0
7.3%@ 7.33+1.6%
2-1
7.3%@ 8.10+2.1%
1-2
6.7%@ 13.44+3.6%
0-2
6.2%@ 18.88+4.0%
BVSC goals ↓
Nagykanizsai ULE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.2%
0.5%
2
7.3%
7.3%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BVSC goals (down), columns = Nagykanizsai ULE goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
BVSC is 0.30 points better than Nagykanizsai ULE in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
BVSC is 0.23 goals worse than Nagykanizsai ULE in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
BVSC is 0.47 goals better than Nagykanizsai ULE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
BVSC or Draw
68.7%
Avg Implied 76.9% · @ 1.19
Edge
-8.2%
36%
33%
31%
covers BVSC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
BVSC or Nagykanizsai ULE
67.1%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-6.0%
36%
33%
31%
covers BVSC + Nagykanizsai ULE
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Nagykanizsai ULE
64.2%
Avg Implied 50.0% · @ 1.82
Edge
+14.2%
36%
33%
31%
covers Draw + Nagykanizsai ULE
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
BVSC over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
@ 1.17-11.8%
Under
34.0%
@ 4.10+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.10
BVSC over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
@ 2.01-16.6%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.71+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
BVSC over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
@ 4.15-12.3%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.16+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
BVSC over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5
Over
62.8%
@ 1.52+2.6%
Under
37.2%
@ 2.30-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5
Over
26.1%
@ 3.66+1.1%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.22-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to BVSC, so a minus line means BVSC give that many goals of a start and Nagykanizsai ULE receive them. At -1, BVSC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal BVSC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (BVSC)
BVSC -2
4.5%
@ 6.90-8.3%
Draw -2
10.3%
@ 5.25-6.5%
Nagykanizsai ULE +2
85.1%
@ 1.26+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.90
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Away
Marathonbet
1.26
Handicap -1 (BVSC)
BVSC -1
14.9%
@ 3.25-12.3%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 3.42-4.8%
Nagykanizsai ULE +1
64.2%
@ 1.87+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Away
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.83
Handicap +1 (BVSC)
BVSC +1
68.7%
@ 1.16+0.6%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 4.10-0.1%
Nagykanizsai ULE -1
12.1%
@ 6.30-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
6.30
Handicap +2 (BVSC)
BVSC +2
87.9%
Draw +2
8.7%
Nagykanizsai ULE -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
BVSC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.60
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.68
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nagykanizsai ULE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.92
0.83
1.17
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.40+4.1%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 2.64-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Under
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.63
1xBet
2.63
Betano
2.42
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.3%
@ 2.95+3.3%
Under 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.32-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
1xBet
2.92
Under
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 7.45+1.2%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.05-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
6.90
Under
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BVSC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.8%
@ 1.86+6.4%
Under
44.2%
@ 1.82-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.78
BVSC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
@ 5.33+0.4%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.10-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
BVSC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.6%
@ 2.59-2.9%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.43+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.63
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.6%
@ 10.00-1.6%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
BVSC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.12
0.00
0.33
0.80
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.59
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nagykanizsai ULE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.42
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (BVSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.25+2.4%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 3.60-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.3%
@ 2.21+1.7%
Under 1.5
56.7%
@ 1.57-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 4.70-4.4%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.14+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BVSC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.3%
@ 1.59+1.7%
Under
40.7%
@ 2.17-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.15
BVSC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.4%
@ 3.91-1.0%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.19+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
BVSC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.8%
@ 2.20-3.0%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.57+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.55
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.7%
@ 7.55-2.4%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.04+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.40
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
94.1%
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+6.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.5%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+12.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.3%
1.04
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
+2.4%
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.05
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-
-1.2%
Away +2 handicap
85.1%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
-
-
+14.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 3.5
84.5%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+11.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.10
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-
-0.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.19
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+1.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
Away under 1.5 goals
73.9%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
-1.1%
Home under 1.5 goals
70.7%
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
-
-
+16.6%
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Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →