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Bylis vs FK Kukesi Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Bylis
Bylis
Vs
71%
21%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Kukesi
FK Kukesi
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Bylis are clear favourites, the model rating a 71% chance of a home win, 21% for a draw and only 8% for an away victory. The 2-0 scoreline is the single most likely result, with a 15.5% probability, while the average goal count sits at 2.6, most often a 2-goal total. Bylis’ home form is solid, scoring 2-0 in their last match after a defeat, and the opposition, FK Kukesi, is a weaker side at home, conceding 2.71 goals on average against stronger opponents. FK Kukesi’s away form is poor, with only 0.71 goals scored and 2.71 conceded, underscoring their vulnerability on Bylis’ turf.

The model’s selections include: Away under 3.5 goals 99.7%; Under 7.5 99.5%; Under 6.5 98.4%; Away under 2.5 goals 98.1%; Home +2 handicap 97.9%; Under 5.5 95.3%; Home or Draw 91.6%; Home +1 handicap 91.6%. Each is presented with its exact percentage, and the only edge noted is the 97.9% edge for Home +2. The match is heavily skewed in favour of Bylis, reflected in the high win probability and the numerous low-goal selections.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bylis win
70.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi win
8.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BylisBylis

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L21W03L11D11D20W20W21W25LH·VOR08/03A·TIR14/03H·FLA21/03A·EGN04/04H·DIN13/04A·PAR19/04H·TEU26/04A·VLL02/05H·AF 06/05A·VOR10/05← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.471.271.000.871.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.071.471.271.000.871.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D32W20W20W15L11D12L21W11D20WA·BUR14/03H·LUS18/03A·KAS22/03H·APO04/04A·POG11/04H·KOR19/04A·LAC25/04H·BES03/05H·BYL09/05H·BUT28/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.331.000.671.87
vs Stronger (11)0.732.180.751.250.712.71
vs Similar (19)1.161.001.550.910.621.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%018%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
38.1%
No
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.4%
1-0
14.5%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
Bylis goals ↓
FK Kukesi goals →
01234
08.5%3.4%1.2%0.2%0.0%
115%9.5%2.4%0.5%0.1%
215%8.7%2.4%0.5%0.1%
310%5.8%1.6%0.3%0.0%
45.2%2.9%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bylis goals (down), columns = FK Kukesi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Flamurtari
1.23
Oriku
1.23
Bylis
1.23
Besëlidhja Lezhë
1.23
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Bylis is 0.23 points better than FK Kukesi in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Flamurtari
1.10
Oriku
1.10
Bylis
1.10
Besëlidhja Lezhë
1.10
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Bylis is 0.13 goals better than FK Kukesi in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pogradeci
0.94
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Flamurtari
1.23
Oriku
1.23
Bylis
1.23
Besëlidhja Lezhë
1.23
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Burreli
1.36
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Bylis is 0.23 goals better than FK Kukesi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bylis or Draw
91.6%
Avg Implied -
71%
21%
8%
covers Bylis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bylis or FK Kukesi
79.2%
Avg Implied -
71%
21%
8%
covers Bylis + FK Kukesi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FK Kukesi
29.2%
Avg Implied -
71%
21%
8%
covers Draw + FK Kukesi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bylis over/under 0.5
Over
86.6%
Under
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5
Over
59.7%
Under
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5
Over
32.6%
Under
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 3.5
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 0.5
Over
43.0%
Under
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 1.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 2.5
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 3.5
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bylis, so a minus line means Bylis give that many goals of a start and FK Kukesi receive them. At -1, Bylis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bylis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bylis)
Bylis -2
23.7%
Draw -2
22.1%
FK Kukesi +2
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bylis)
Bylis -1
45.9%
Draw -1
25.0%
FK Kukesi +1
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bylis)
Bylis +1
91.6%
Draw +1
6.4%
FK Kukesi -1
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bylis)
Bylis +2
97.9%
Draw +2
1.7%
FK Kukesi -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BylisBylis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D10W11D10W00D00D11DH·VOR08/03A·TIR14/03H·FLA21/03A·EGN04/04H·DIN13/04A·PAR19/04H·TEU26/04A·VLL02/05H·AF 06/05A·VOR10/05← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.400.330.070.270.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.300.400.330.070.270.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W10W00D14L01L10W21W00D10WA·BUR14/03H·LUS18/03A·KAS22/03H·APO04/04A·POG11/04H·KOR19/04A·LAC25/04H·BES03/05H·BYL09/05H·BUT28/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.530.470.401.07
vs Stronger (11)0.361.270.500.250.291.86
vs Similar (19)0.530.470.550.550.500.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bylis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BylisBylis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L21W03L01L00D10W20W21W14LH·VOR08/03A·TIR14/03H·FLA21/03A·EGN04/04H·DIN13/04A·PAR19/04H·TEU26/04A·VLL02/05H·AF 06/05A·VOR10/05← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.070.930.930.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.771.070.930.930.601.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W20W01L10W02L00D11D10WA·BUR14/03H·LUS18/03A·KAS22/03H·APO04/04A·POG11/04H·KOR19/04A·LAC25/04H·BES03/05H·BYL09/05H·BUT28/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.800.530.270.80
vs Stronger (11)0.360.910.251.000.430.86
vs Similar (19)0.630.531.000.360.120.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bylis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bylis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bylis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.7%-------
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals98.1%-------
Home +2 handicap97.9%-------
Under 5.595.3%-------
Home or Draw91.6%-------
Home +1 handicap91.6%-------
Away under 1.5 goals89.1%-------
Under 4.588.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals86.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals85.5%-------
Home or Away79.2%-------
Under 3.574.2%-------
Over 1.573.6%-------
Home win70.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
BYL wins
2
Draws
2
FK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bylis vs FK Kukesi · H/A from BYL
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23HBYL Vs FK Kukesi1-1
10/03/23AFK Kukesi Vs BYL2-0
13/01/23HBYL Vs FK Kukesi0-0
08/10/22AFK Kukesi Vs BYL2-0

BylisBylis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AVora Vs BYL5-2
06/05/26HBYL Vs AF Elbasani2-1
02/05/26AVllaznia Shkodër Vs BYL0-2
26/04/26HBYL Vs Teuta Durrës2-0
19/04/26APartizani Vs BYL1-1
13/04/26HBYL Vs Dinamo Tirana1-1
04/04/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs BYL3-0
21/03/26HBYL Vs Flamurtari2-1
14/03/26ATirana Vs BYL1-0
08/03/26HBYL Vs Vora1-0

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/26HFK Vs Butrinti Sarandë2-0
09/05/26HFK Vs Bylis B1-1
03/05/26HFK Vs Besa Kavajë2-1
25/04/26ALaci Vs FK2-1
19/04/26HFK Vs Korabi Peshkopi1-1
11/04/26APogradeci Vs FK5-1
04/04/26HFK Vs Apolonia Fier2-0
22/03/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs FK0-2
18/03/26HFK Vs Lushnja3-2
14/03/26ABurreli Vs FK0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bylis
Bylis
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.18
HomeWWDWW1.60
AwayLLDWL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.421.962.88
Over 1.5 %66%56%76%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.400.921.88
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Kukesi
FK Kukesi
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW0.92
HomeWDWDW1.38
AwayDDWLL0.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%38%8%
AVG goals2.462.502.42
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %14%15%12%
Scored0.981.270.67
Conceded1.481.231.75
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurreliBurreli00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
2Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
3FlamurtariFlamurtari00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4OrikuOriku00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
5BylisBylis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.00.0
-
7Besëlidhja LezhëBesëlidhja Lezhë00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8FK KukesiFK Kukesi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
9Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10PogradeciPogradeci00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
11Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.00.0
-
12Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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