Cambridge vs Wigan Result & Analysis

Cambridge host Wigan in a closely contested League One match. Recent form suggests a turnaround for Cambridge, who are coming off a win, whereas Wigan have suffered three consecutive defeats. This finely balanced encounter is reflected in the probabilities, with Cambridge winning at 38%, Wigan winning at 33%, and a draw at 30%. The model predicts a Cambridge win as its most likely outcome.

A relatively low expected total of 2.5 goals is anticipated, with the most likely score being 1-1 at 14.1%. Cambridge have a strong record at home, scoring an average of 2.17 goals and conceding 0.67 per match against similar opponents. Wigan, however, have struggled away from home, scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.69 per match against similar opponents. The model suggests taking Under 3.5 goals, which has a 76% chance of being correct, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 72.4% probability.

Cambridge's win extends their run, coming off a win and having a strong home form with 2.17 goals scored on average. The final score of 3-2 was a high-scoring match, with the actual total well clear of the model's expected 2.5 goals. In contrast, the model's selection, Home win, was correct with a pre-match probability of 38%. The model's selection was the favourite, and it was the correct call.

The model's selection to suggest Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 76%, missed, while Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 72.4%, hit.