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Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 0-1
Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians
vs
Caerau (Ely)
Caerau (Ely)
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff Draconians win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L12LA·ST 21/09A·GOY22/10H·AMM26/07A·CAR09/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.000.001.001.331.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.001.003.000.00
Clean sheet %25% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Caerau (Ely)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L31W13L11D01L01L02L41W11DH·GAP16/02A·TRE21/02H·TAF28/02A·LLA07/03H·GOY21/03H·PEN28/03A·LLA05/04H·CAM12/04A·YNY26/07H·TRE08/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.431.691.251.711.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.711.351.891.331.501.38
vs Weaker (13)1.691.541.431.142.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff Draconians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Llandudno
2.67
Trefelin
2.60
Cambrian & Clydach
2.53
Airbus UK
2.50
Holywell
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Caerau (Ely)
1.94
Newtown AFC
1.60
Rhyl
1.53
Carmarthen Town
1.50
Aberystwyth Town
1.47
Guilsfield
1.43
Mold Alexandra
1.37
Cardiff Draconians
1.33
Denbigh Town
1.33
Treowen Stars
1.23
Caersws
1.23
Llantwit Major
1.23
Brickfield Rangers
1.23
Newport City
1.23
Holyhead Hotspur
1.20
Penrhyncoch
1.17
Pontypridd Town
1.13
Afan Lido
1.00
Buckley Town
1.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.97
Flint Mountain
0.97
Gresford Athletic
0.93
Baglan Dragons
0.81
Ynyshir Albions
0.77
Ruthin Town
0.77
Cwmbran Celtic
0.33
Cardiff Draconians is 0.60 points worse than Caerau (Ely) in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airbus UK
3.10
Trefelin
2.77
Holywell
2.60
Llandudno
2.57
Cambrian & Clydach
2.50
Caerau (Ely)
2.16
Denbigh Town
1.73
Treowen Stars
1.70
Newtown AFC
1.70
Cardiff Draconians
1.67
Buckley Town
1.67
Guilsfield
1.67
Ammanford AFC
1.63
Gresford Athletic
1.57
Rhyl
1.53
Caersws
1.53
Pontypridd Town
1.53
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.50
Carmarthen Town
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.47
Holyhead Hotspur
1.47
Brickfield Rangers
1.30
Flint Mountain
1.30
Mold Alexandra
1.27
Ruthin Town
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Aberystwyth Town
1.17
Afan Lido
1.07
Ynyshir Albions
0.90
Baglan Dragons
0.84
Cwmbran Celtic
0.83
Cardiff Draconians is 0.49 goals worse than Caerau (Ely) in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Trefelin
0.57
Cambrian & Clydach
0.67
Llandudno
0.73
Airbus UK
0.73
Ammanford AFC
0.87
Caerau (Ely)
1.10
Aberystwyth Town
1.27
Carmarthen Town
1.27
Holywell
1.33
Mold Alexandra
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.57
Cardiff Draconians
1.60
Guilsfield
1.60
Newport City
1.60
Newtown AFC
1.63
Brickfield Rangers
1.63
Holyhead Hotspur
1.63
Caersws
1.70
Pontypridd Town
1.70
Baglan Dragons
1.71
Penrhyncoch
1.77
Rhyl
1.83
Ynyshir Albions
1.87
Afan Lido
1.90
Denbigh Town
1.97
Flint Mountain
2.03
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.07
Treowen Stars
2.10
Ruthin Town
2.13
Buckley Town
2.57
Cwmbran Celtic
2.60
Gresford Athletic
2.90
Cardiff Draconians is 0.50 goals worse than Caerau (Ely) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.10).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01LA·GOY22/10H·AMM26/07A·CAR09/08
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Caerau (Ely)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L20W00D00D00D01L00D31W00DH·GAP16/02A·TRE21/02H·TAF28/02A·LLA07/03H·GOY21/03H·PEN28/03A·LLA05/04H·CAM12/04A·YNY26/07H·TRE08/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.560.190.570.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.410.410.560.110.250.75
vs Weaker (13)0.770.460.570.291.000.67
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff Draconians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L11DA·GOY22/10H·AMM26/07A·CAR09/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Caerau (Ely)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D13L11D01L00D02L10W11DH·GAP16/02A·TRE21/02H·TAF28/02A·LLA07/03H·GOY21/03H·PEN28/03A·LLA05/04H·CAM12/04A·YNY26/07H·TRE08/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.001.121.061.140.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.290.941.331.221.250.62
vs Weaker (13)0.921.080.860.861.001.33
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff Draconians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caerau (Ely) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
NC (4)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
CD wins
0
Draws
0
C( wins

Head-to-head

Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) · H/A from CD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25ACarmarthen Town Vs CD2-1
26/07/25HCD Vs Ammanford AFC0-1
22/10/24AGoytre AFC Vs CD1-0
21/09/24ASt Joseph's Vs CD0-3

Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/25HC( Vs Trethomas Bluebirds1-1
26/07/25AYnyshir Albions Vs C(1-4
12/04/25HC( Vs Cambrian & Clydach0-2
05/04/25ALlantwit Major Vs C(1-0
28/03/25HC( Vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers0-1
21/03/25HC( Vs Goytre United1-1
07/03/25Allanelli AFC Vs C(3-1
28/02/25HC( Vs Taffs Well3-1
21/02/25ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs C(1-0
16/02/25HC( Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLL0.75
HomeL0.00
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%0%33%
AVG goals2.001.002.33
Over 1.5 %50%0%67%
Over 2.5 %50%0%67%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.000.001.33
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS25%0%33%
Clean Sheet25%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Caerau (Ely)
Caerau (Ely)
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.36
HomeWDLLD1.58
AwayLLLLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals3.503.213.77
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.781.831.73
Conceded1.721.382.04
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LlandudnoLlandudno3080
87%
2.7
7722+55
3.3
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.7
-
2TrefelinTrefelin3078
83%
2.6
8317+66
3.3
93%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.6
-
3Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3076
80%
2.5
7520+55
3.2
87%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.7
-
4Airbus UKAirbus UK3075
80%
2.5
9322+71
3.8
93%
83%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.7
-
5HolywellHolywell3060
60%
2.0
7840+38
3.9
87%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.3
-
6Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)3160
58%
1.9
6734+33
3.3
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.1
-
7Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3060
57%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
8Newtown AFCNewtown AFC3048
50%
1.6
5149+2
3.3
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
9RhylRhyl3046
47%
1.5
4655-9
3.4
80%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3045
37%
1.5
4538+7
2.8
67%
37%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town3044
43%
1.5
3538-3
2.4
63%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12GuilsfieldGuilsfield3043
43%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
77%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
13Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3041
40%
1.4
3845-7
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians3040
40%
1.3
5048+2
3.3
77%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
15Denbigh TownDenbigh Town3040
40%
1.3
5259-7
3.7
87%
77%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
16Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3037
30%
1.2
4447-3
3.0
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
17CaerswsCaersws3037
37%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
18Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers3037
37%
1.2
3949-10
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
19Treowen StarsTreowen Stars3037
33%
1.2
5163-12
3.8
90%
70%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
20Newport CityNewport City3037
30%
1.2
3648-12
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
21Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur3036
33%
1.2
4449-5
3.1
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
22PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3035
33%
1.2
4553-8
3.3
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
23Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3034
30%
1.1
4651-5
3.2
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
24Afan LidoAfan Lido3030
30%
1.0
3257-25
3.0
67%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
25Buckley TownBuckley Town3030
30%
1.0
5077-27
4.2
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.6
-
26Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds3029
20%
1.0
4562-17
3.6
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
27Flint MountainFlint Mountain3029
30%
1.0
3961-22
3.3
83%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
28Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3028
27%
0.9
4787-40
4.5
90%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.9
-
29Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons3125
16%
0.8
2653-27
2.5
68%
48%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
30Ruthin TownRuthin Town3023
20%
0.8
3664-28
3.3
77%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
31Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions3023
17%
0.8
2756-29
2.8
80%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
32Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3010
3%
0.3
2578-53
3.4
83%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.6
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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