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Cardiff Draconians vs llanelli AFC Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 4-2
Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
llanelli AFC
llanelli AFC
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Cardiff Draconians are expected to win this match, given their recent form and statistics. The team is still reeling from a 1-4 defeat to Pontypridd Town, but they have shown resilience in their past performances. Llanelli AFC, on the other hand, are coming off a 0-3 loss to Swansea University, and their away form has been struggling.

The model predicts a 43% chance of a home win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 31% chance of an away win. The most likely result is a home win, with a total of 2.9 expected goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability.

Cardiff Draconians have been scoring an average of 2.33 goals at home, with an average of 1.56 goals conceded. Llanelli AFC, meanwhile, have been scoring 0.55 goals away from home, with an average of 2.73 goals conceded.

The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with an 80.3% probability. Other suggested picks include a Cardiff Draconians win (43%), a draw (27%), and an Llanelli AFC win (31%).

Results analysis

Cardiff Draconians’ recent win extended their good run, and the model’s favourite - Home win - was spot on as the match finished 4-2. The pre-match probability for the home side was 43 %. The model’s selections largely came through: Under 7.5 hit at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.4 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.1 %. The Home under 2.5 HT goals missed at 96.8 %, and Under 5.5 missed at 92.2 %. All figures are reported once, with probabilities expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff Draconians win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied 42.7% · @ 2.12
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.17
Dafabet
2.16
1xBet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.63
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.66
Dafabet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
llanelli AFC win✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.80
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.90
Superbet
2.87
William Hil
2.80
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L04L41W01L44D22D41W01L00D14LH·CAR14/03H·TRE21/03H·YNY24/03H·NEW28/03A·TRE04/04H·PON11/04H·AFA18/04A·YNY01/08A·CAE07/08H·PON15/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.772.211.791.501.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)2.141.332.821.641.401.00
vs Weaker (9)1.112.780.002.331.673.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (llanelli AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L00D02L12L21W05L06L14L11D03LH·HAV20/02A·BAL27/02H·BRI13/03H·CAR20/03A·FLI28/03H·BAL03/04A·HAV18/04H·NEW31/07H·TRE07/08A·SWA15/08← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.632.330.622.120.642.57
vs Stronger (2)0.502.500.502.50--
vs Similar (27)0.632.260.621.920.642.57
vs Weaker (1)1.004.001.004.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff Draconians) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
@ 1.11-1.0%
Under 1.5
19.7%
@ 4.85+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.45-6.7%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 2.48+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Under
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.9%
@ 2.15-8.8%
Under 3.5
66.1%
@ 1.60+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
@ 1.41-5.2%
No
40.1%
@ 2.63+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.44
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
No
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.63
Superbet
2.60
William Hil
2.60

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 7.25+6.6%
2-1
9.1%@ 8.62+4.2%
1-2
7.5%@ 10.00+3.3%
1-0
7.4%@ 11.25+3.7%
2-0
6.9%@ 11.75+3.3%
0-0
6.4%@ 16.00+3.8%
2-2
6.1%@ 10.12+1.9%
0-1
5.9%@ 13.00+2.6%
Cardiff Draconians goals ↓
llanelli AFC goals →
01234
06.4%5.9%4.6%2.1%0.7%
17.4%12%7.5%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.1%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.7%4.9%3.3%1.4%0.5%
41.5%2.0%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff Draconians goals (down), columns = llanelli AFC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Cardiff Draconians is 0.67 points better than llanelli AFC in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Cardiff Draconians is 0.25 goals better than llanelli AFC in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Cardiff Draconians is 1.25 goals better than llanelli AFC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cardiff Draconians or Draw✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 67.8% · @ 1.35
Edge
+1.9%
43%
27%
30%
covers Cardiff Draconians + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Cardiff Draconians or llanelli AFC✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.7%
43%
27%
30%
covers Cardiff Draconians + llanelli AFC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Draw or llanelli AFC✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.60
Edge
-0.2%
43%
27%
30%
covers Draw + llanelli AFC
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.1%
@ 1.11-1.1%
Under
19.9%
@ 4.83+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
4.55
Cardiff Draconians over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.9%
@ 1.76-4.5%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.95+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
Cardiff Draconians over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.0%
@ 3.25-6.0%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.26+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Cardiff Draconians over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.1%
@ 7.30-4.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
llanelli AFC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.4%
@ 1.18-3.5%
Under
26.6%
@ 3.92+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
3.70
llanelli AFC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.2%
@ 2.02-7.6%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.71+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.68
llanelli AFC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 4.20-6.8%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.16+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
llanelli AFC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Cardiff Draconians, so a minus line means Cardiff Draconians give that many goals of a start and llanelli AFC receive them. At -1, Cardiff Draconians must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cardiff Draconians win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cardiff Draconians)Actual: Draw
Cardiff Draconians -2
9.3%
Draw -2
13.3%
llanelli AFC +2
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Cardiff Draconians)Actual: Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians -1
22.6%
@ 3.75-1.1%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 4.22-0.6%
llanelli AFC +1
56.9%
@ 1.61+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.90
Betfair
3.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Away
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.56
Handicap +1 (Cardiff Draconians)Actual: Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians +1
69.7%
@ 1.35+4.4%
Draw +1
16.6%
@ 4.80-1.8%
llanelli AFC -1
13.8%
@ 5.40-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.35
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Marathonbet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Cardiff Draconians)Actual: Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians +2
86.2%
Draw +2
9.0%
llanelli AFC -2
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L02L10W00D22D01L11D00D00D11DH·CAR14/03H·TRE21/03H·YNY24/03H·NEW28/03A·TRE04/04H·PON11/04H·AFA18/04A·YNY01/08A·CAE07/08H·PON15/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.710.860.811.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.810.620.910.910.700.30
vs Weaker (9)0.671.670.000.671.002.17
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (llanelli AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L01L10W02L03L13L10W01LH·HAV20/02A·BAL27/02H·BRI13/03H·CAR20/03A·FLI28/03H·BAL03/04A·HAV18/04H·NEW31/07H·TRE07/08A·SWA15/08← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.030.440.880.361.21
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (27)0.371.000.380.770.361.21
vs Weaker (1)1.003.001.003.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff Draconians) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.1%
@ 1.22-4.6%
Under 0.5
28.9%
@ 3.77+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.12-7.5%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.62+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Under
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 4.49-7.2%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.15+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.25
Under
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.0%
@ 1.70-4.5%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Cardiff Draconians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.2%
@ 4.10-7.2%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.18+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Cardiff Draconians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
3.2%
@ 10.00-6.1%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
llanelli AFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.1%
@ 1.89-5.8%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.81+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
llanelli AFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 5.10-7.2%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.12+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
llanelli AFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 11.00-6.5%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L31W01L22D21W30W01L00D03LH·CAR14/03H·TRE21/03H·YNY24/03H·NEW28/03A·TRE04/04H·PON11/04H·AFA18/04A·YNY01/08A·CAE07/08H·PON15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.500.930.690.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.330.711.910.730.700.70
vs Weaker (9)0.441.110.001.670.670.83
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (llanelli AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L11D11D03L03L01L01L02LH·HAV20/02A·BAL27/02H·BRI13/03H·CAR20/03A·FLI28/03H·BAL03/04A·HAV18/04H·NEW31/07H·TRE07/08A·SWA15/08← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.231.300.191.250.291.36
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (27)0.261.260.231.150.291.36
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff Draconians) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.4%
Under 0.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.0%
Under 1.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.5%
Under 2.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.6%
Under
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff Draconians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
llanelli AFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.6%
Under
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
llanelli AFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
llanelli AFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.5%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.8%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+6.1%✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals95.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.2%1.07
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
---+7.1%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals91.9%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+4.5%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.2%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+7.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.7%1.15
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
-+7.2%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap86.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals85.1%1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
---+6.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.8%1.18
1xBet
1.18
----+7.2%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.582.5%1.21
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
--+8.1%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals82.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.3%1.11
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
----1.0%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals80.1%1.11
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
----1.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.0%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
---+6.0%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap77.4%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away73.4%1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.20
-1.7%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals73.4%1.18
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
----3.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.1%1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
--4.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
CD wins
0
Draws
0
LA wins

Head-to-head

Cardiff Draconians vs llanelli AFC · H/A from CD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HCD Vs Pontypridd Town1-4
07/08/26ACaerphilly Athletic Vs CD0-0
01/08/26AYnyshir Albions Vs CD1-0
18/04/26HCD Vs Afan Lido4-1
11/04/26HCD Vs Pontypridd Town2-2
04/04/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs CD4-4
28/03/26HCD Vs Newport City0-1
24/03/26HCD Vs Ynyshir Albions4-1
21/03/26HCD Vs Trefelin0-4
14/03/26HCD Vs Carmarthen Town2-3

llanelli AFCllanelli AFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ASwansea University Vs LA3-0
07/08/26HLA Vs Trethomas Bluebirds1-1
31/07/26HLA Vs Newport City1-4
18/04/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs LA6-0
03/04/26HLA Vs Bala Town0-5
28/03/26AFlint Town United Vs LA1-2
20/03/26HLA Vs Cardiff MET1-2
13/03/26HLA Vs Briton Ferry0-2
27/02/26ABala Town Vs LA0-0
20/02/26HLA Vs Haverfordwest County AFC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff Draconians
Cardiff Draconians
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.34
HomeWLDWL1.65
AwayLLDLD1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%53%29%
AVG goals3.263.652.95
Over 1.5 %74%82%67%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %45%59%33%
Scored1.682.001.43
Conceded1.581.651.52
BTTS58%59%57%
Clean Sheet21%12%29%
Corners---
Cards---
llanelli AFC
llanelli AFC
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.88
HomeLLLLD0.77
AwayDDWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%19%29%
AVG goals3.022.773.29
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %58%46%71%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored0.880.850.92
Conceded2.141.922.38
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet16%19%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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