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Cardiff vs Northampton Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 5-1
Cardiff
Cardiff
Vs
69%
20%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Northampton
Northampton
England: League One
Referee: E Duckworth

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff win✓ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.19
Edge
-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied 13.6% · @ 6.87
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Northampton win✗ Miss
10.9%
Avg Implied 7.8% · @ 12.05
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D40W02L00D11D20W11D31W10WH·LIN07/03A·BAR10/03A·EXE14/03H·WYC17/03H·BLA21/03A·PET06/04H·BOL11/04A·HUD14/04A·REA18/04H·POR22/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.071.881.001.931.14
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (19)1.581.161.700.801.441.56
vs Weaker (10)2.600.702.401.002.800.40
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Northampton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NorthamptonNorthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L02L12L14L01L13L12L13LH·POR24/02H·PET28/02A·AFC08/03H·BUR14/03A·STO17/03A·MAN21/03A·BRA03/04H·WIG06/04A·LUT15/04H·DON18/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.831.071.640.752.00
vs Stronger (6)1.001.170.501.501.251.00
vs Similar (24)0.882.001.171.670.582.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.33-13.5%
Under 2.5
43.6%
@ 3.09+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.9%
Cardiff goals ↓
Northampton goals →
01234
06.1%3.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
111%9.7%3.4%0.9%0.2%
212%9.6%3.7%0.9%0.2%
39.1%7.0%2.7%0.7%0.1%
44.9%3.8%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Northampton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Cardiff is 1.22 points better than Northampton in terms of average points per game (1.98 vs 0.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Cardiff is 1.11 goals better than Northampton in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 0.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Cardiff is 0.52 goals better than Northampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Cardiff is 18.5 percentage points better than Northampton in terms of average possession (63% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CardiffCardiff

For 9.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 13.1

🚩 Corners

22066977481166112851013462121611922131310178H·PORA·REAA·HUDH·BOLA·PETH·BLAH·WYCA·EXEA·BARH·LIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

70143411222331131751454013H·PORA·REAA·HUDH·BOLA·PETH·BLAH·WYCA·EXEA·BARH·LIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 7.7 · Total 16.4

⚠️ Fouls

23036116147167117688968795109172123181417141615H·PORA·REAA·HUDH·BOLA·PETH·BLAH·WYCA·EXEA·BARH·LIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NorthamptonNorthampton

For 4.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1605551128653338746952610161011611111576H·DONA·LUTH·WIGA·BRAA·MANA·STOH·BURA·AFCH·PETH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

70523221331112211217524424131H·DONA·LUTH·WIGA·BRAA·MANA·STOH·BURA·AFCH·PETH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.8 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

31017615771316151114881561011111112723222031251621212219H·DONA·LUTH·WIGA·BRAA·MANA·STOH·BURA·AFCH·PETH·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CardiffCardiff

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.710.43.53.53.420.820.920.8
vs Stronger (2)11.510.013.03.03.03.017.514.021.0
vs Similar (31)11.011.310.83.53.53.520.720.321.1
vs Weaker (17)9.69.89.43.53.63.421.422.620.1
% over line63%68%58%50%52%48%33%36%29%
% under line37%32%42%50%48%52%67%64%71%
This opponent (Northampton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NorthamptonNorthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.73.43.93.022.322.721.9
vs Stronger (10)11.612.011.24.24.04.421.422.420.4
vs Similar (40)9.78.810.63.23.92.622.522.822.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line59%52%67%46%60%32%59%68%50%
% under line41%48%33%54%40%68%41%32%50%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.2
Cardiff
10.6
Port Vale
10.6
Barnsley
10.5
Huddersfield
10.5
Wigan
10.5
Luton
10.5
Burton
10.5
Blackpool
10.2
Northampton
10.1
Bolton
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
Exeter
10.0
Wycombe
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Bradford
9.8
Rotherham
9.6
Stockport
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.6
Mansfield
9.6
Leyton Orient
9.5
Reading
9.3
Lincoln
9.1
Stevenage
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Bradford
4.5
Peterboro
4.4
Huddersfield
4.1
Lincoln
4.1
Rotherham
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.8
Bolton
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Burton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Luton
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Blackpool
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Northampton
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Reading
3.5
Stockport
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Wigan
3.1
AFC Wimbledon
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bradford
25.0
Stevenage
24.5
Huddersfield
24.4
Peterboro
24.1
Plymouth
24.1
Rotherham
23.7
Luton
23.7
Blackpool
23.7
Wigan
23.5
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Doncaster
23.2
Lincoln
22.9
Leyton Orient
22.7
Bolton
22.5
Reading
22.5
Mansfield
22.4
Northampton
22.3
Burton
22.1
Exeter
21.9
Stockport
21.8
Port Vale
21.5
Wycombe
21.5
Barnsley
21.0
Cardiff
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.0%
Under 21.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D20W00D00D00D00D01L10W00DH·LIN07/03A·BAR10/03A·EXE14/03H·WYC17/03H·BLA21/03A·PET06/04H·BOL11/04A·HUD14/04A·REA18/04H·POR22/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.750.310.860.64
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (19)0.890.530.900.200.890.89
vs Weaker (10)0.700.400.600.600.800.20
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Northampton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NorthamptonNorthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L11D01L01L02L11D00DH·POR24/02H·PET28/02A·AFC08/03H·BUR14/03A·STO17/03A·MAN21/03A·BRA03/04H·WIG06/04A·LUT15/04H·DON18/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.430.790.311.00
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.000.500.500.50
vs Similar (24)0.381.000.500.830.251.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D20W02L00D11D20W10W21W10WH·LIN07/03A·BAR10/03A·EXE14/03H·WYC17/03H·BLA21/03A·PET06/04H·BOL11/04A·HUD14/04A·REA18/04H·POR22/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.601.120.691.070.50
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (19)0.680.630.800.600.560.67
vs Weaker (10)1.900.301.800.402.000.20
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Northampton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NorthamptonNorthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D01L01L13L00D11D01L13LH·POR24/02H·PET28/02A·AFC08/03H·BUR14/03A·STO17/03A·MAN21/03A·BRA03/04H·WIG06/04A·LUT15/04H·DON18/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.640.860.441.00
vs Stronger (6)0.670.670.501.000.750.50
vs Similar (24)0.501.000.670.830.331.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Northampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Saleh36%
Omari Kellyman24%
Rubin Colwill23%
Callum Robinson18%
Isaak Davies18%
Joel Colwill16%
Perry Ng15%
Chris Willock15%
Alex Robertson14%
Cian Ashford12%
Calum Chambers10%
Ollie Tanner7%
David Turnbull7%
Dylan Lawlor6%
Ronan Kpakio6%
William Fish5%
Ryan Wintle2%
Joel Bagan2%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Robertson25%
Ronan Kpakio19%
Joel Bagan18%
Dylan Lawlor18%
Calum Chambers17%
Joel Colwill16%
Gabriel Osho15%
Ryan Wintle14%
Perry Ng13%
Omari Kellyman11%
Ollie Tanner10%
William Fish10%
David Turnbull9%
Rubin Colwill9%
Yousef Saleh8%
Chris Willock7%
Isaak Davies6%
Callum Robinson5%
Nathan Trott4%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
Cian Ashford0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Tanner34%
Rubin Colwill23%
Chris Willock15%
Ryan Wintle14%
Perry Ng13%
Ronan Kpakio11%
Yousef Saleh10%
Joel Bagan10%
Isaak Davies9%
Alex Robertson8%
Cian Ashford7%
Callum Robinson7%
David Turnbull7%
Dylan Lawlor6%
Omari Kellyman5%
Joel Colwill5%
Calum Chambers3%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
William Fish0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Saleh38%
Rubin Colwill29%
Omari Kellyman21%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa20%
Ollie Tanner17%
Callum Robinson9%
Cian Ashford7%
Alex Robertson6%
Ryan Wintle5%
Chris Willock4%
Calum Chambers3%
Isaak Davies3%
Ronan Kpakio3%
Perry Ng3%
William Fish2%
David Turnbull2%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Dylan Lawlor0%
Northampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Eaves24%
Cameron McGeehan18%
Sam Hoskins14%
Ethan Wheatley13%
Jake Evans12%
Michael Forbes9%
Jordan Willis6%
Elliott List6%
Jon Guthrie6%
Max Dyche5%
Nesta Guinness-Walker5%
Michael Jacobs5%
Conor McCarthy3%
Jack Perkins3%
Elliott Moore0%
Ross Fitzsimons0%
Kyle Edwards0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Lee Burge0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Dean Campbell0%
Kamarai Swyer0%
Terry Taylor0%
Jack Vale0%
Tyrese Fornah0%
Joe Wormleighton0%
Kyle McAdam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Thorniley28%
Elliott Moore23%
Conor McCarthy19%
Joe Wormleighton19%
Jake Evans19%
Cameron McGeehan18%
Ethan Wheatley17%
Terry Taylor16%
Jack Perkins16%
Sam Hoskins14%
Elliott List12%
Jack Burroughs11%
Tyrese Fornah9%
Ross Fitzsimons7%
Dean Campbell7%
Jordan Willis6%
Jon Guthrie6%
Max Dyche5%
Nesta Guinness-Walker5%
Michael Forbes4%
Kamarai Swyer3%
Kyle Edwards0%
Michael Jacobs0%
Lee Burge0%
Tom Eaves0%
Jack Vale0%
Kyle McAdam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kyle McAdam25%
Dean Campbell12%
Nesta Guinness-Walker10%
Michael Jacobs10%
Terry Taylor7%
Conor McCarthy6%
Tom Eaves6%
Jon Guthrie6%
Tyrese Fornah6%
Michael Forbes4%
Ethan Wheatley4%
Jack Perkins3%
Cameron McGeehan3%
Kamarai Swyer3%
Elliott Moore0%
Sam Hoskins0%
Ross Fitzsimons0%
Kyle Edwards0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Lee Burge0%
Jordan Willis0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Elliott List0%
Jack Vale0%
Max Dyche0%
Joe Wormleighton0%
Jake Evans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cameron McGeehan24%
Jake Evans12%
Tom Eaves9%
Ethan Wheatley9%
Kyle Edwards8%
Elliott List3%
Sam Hoskins2%
Elliott Moore0%
Ross Fitzsimons0%
Jordan Thorniley0%
Michael Jacobs0%
Lee Burge0%
Jordan Willis0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Jon Guthrie0%
Dean Campbell0%
Conor McCarthy0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Kamarai Swyer0%
Terry Taylor0%
Jack Vale0%
Tyrese Fornah0%
Max Dyche0%
Joe Wormleighton0%
Michael Forbes0%
Kyle McAdam0%
Jack Perkins0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Cardiff's squad is €26m more valuable than Northampton's (€29m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Cardiff's attack is €15m more valuable than Northampton's (€15m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Cardiff's midfield is €3m more valuable than Northampton's (€4m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Cardiff's defence is €8m more valuable than Northampton's (€10m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
CAR wins
0
Draws
0
NOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cardiff vs Northampton · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25ANorthampton Vs CAR1-3

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/26HCAR Vs Port Vale1-0
18/04/26AReading Vs CAR1-3
14/04/26AHuddersfield Vs CAR1-1
11/04/26HCAR Vs Bolton2-0
06/04/26APeterboro Vs CAR1-1
21/03/26HCAR Vs Blackpool0-0
17/03/26HCAR Vs Wycombe0-2
14/03/26AExeter Vs CAR0-4
10/03/26ABarnsley Vs CAR1-1
07/03/26HCAR Vs Lincoln0-2

NorthamptonNorthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HNOR Vs Doncaster1-3
15/04/26ALuton Vs NOR2-1
06/04/26HNOR Vs Wigan1-3
03/04/26ABradford Vs NOR1-0
21/03/26AMansfield Vs NOR4-1
17/03/26AStockport Vs NOR2-1
14/03/26HNOR Vs Burton0-2
08/03/26AAFC Wimbledon Vs NOR1-0
28/02/26HNOR Vs Peterboro1-1
24/02/26HNOR Vs Port Vale0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff
Cardiff
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW2.00
HomeLLDWW2.24
AwayDWDDW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%72%48%
AVG goals2.843.082.60
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.822.041.60
Conceded1.021.041.00
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners10.5510.6810.42
Cards3.533.483.58
Northampton
Northampton
England: League One
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.80
HomeLDLLL1.08
AwayLLLLL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%28%12%
AVG goals2.382.242.52
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored0.861.040.68
Conceded1.521.201.84
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners10.089.4810.71
Cards3.513.883.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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