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Cardiff vs Reading Result & Analysis

Date: 17/02/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 1-0
Cardiff
Cardiff
Vs
49%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Reading
Reading
England: Championship
Referee: D Bond

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff win✓ Hit
49.2%
Avg Implied 49.6% · @ 1.91
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.31
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Reading win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.35
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D01L11D01L01L01L13L20WH·BLA17/12H·QPR26/12A·COV29/12A·BLA01/01H·WIG14/01H·MIL21/01A·LUT31/01A·HUL04/02H·MID11/02A·BIR14/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.130.731.070.731.20
vs Stronger (5)1.001.200.502.001.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.671.170.751.000.581.33
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W23L21W11D01L22D04L22D01L21WH·COV10/12A·BIR16/12H·SWA27/12A·NOR30/12A·WES02/01H·QPR14/01A·STO21/01H·WAT04/02A·SUN11/02H·ROT14/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.601.130.731.87
vs Stronger (22)0.951.551.201.200.751.83
vs Similar (8)1.751.382.401.000.672.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.2%
@ 2.37+6.1%
Under 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.59-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0 ✓
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
Cardiff goals ↓
Reading goals →
01234
09.2%6.6%3.9%1.3%0.3%
111%13%5.9%1.9%0.5%
29.5%9.4%4.6%1.5%0.4%
34.9%4.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.9%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Reading goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Cardiff is 0.02 points worse than Reading in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Cardiff is 0.11 goals worse than Reading in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Cardiff is 0.22 goals better than Reading in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Cardiff is 4.6 percentage points better than Reading in terms of average possession (47% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CardiffCardiff

For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

1504574732137433932516469111015116127710A·BIRH·MIDA·HULA·LUTH·MILH·WIGA·BLAA·COVH·QPRH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

603322233342231223336225665356A·BIRH·MIDA·HULA·LUTH·MILH·WIGA·BLAA·COVH·QPRH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

250713913710712131071196981114111320221719231815172524A·BIRH·MIDA·HULA·LUTH·MILH·WIGA·BLAA·COVH·QPRH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReadingReading

For 4.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

15044844426573678347448128812915778H·ROTA·SUNH·WATA·STOH·QPRA·WESA·NORH·SWAA·BIRH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

7022342241232311232270455525H·ROTA·SUNH·WATA·STOH·QPRA·WESA·NORH·SWAA·BIRH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

34010149717175121191211717247141411824163417202324312819H·ROTA·SUNH·WATA·STOH·QPRA·WESA·NORH·SWAA·BIRH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CardiffCardiff

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.29.94.23.84.519.820.019.6
vs Stronger (8)11.913.210.54.03.54.518.419.517.2
vs Similar (41)9.69.59.84.34.04.520.320.520.1
vs Weaker (1)13.013.0-1.01.0-12.012.0-
% over line54%50%58%60%62%58%38%42%33%
% under line46%50%42%40%38%42%62%58%67%
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.89.93.84.33.421.921.622.1
vs Stronger (35)9.59.19.83.84.53.321.721.821.5
vs Similar (15)9.18.010.13.73.73.822.321.023.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%43%52%58%70%48%46%35%56%
% under line52%57%48%42%30%52%54%65%44%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Norwich
10.9
Bristol City
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
Burnley
10.7
West Brom
10.6
Watford
10.5
Middlesbrough
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Luton
10.2
Rotherham
10.1
Cardiff
10.1
Hull
10.0
Blackpool
9.9
Swansea
9.9
Birmingham
9.8
Blackburn
9.8
QPR
9.7
Sunderland
9.6
Huddersfield
9.5
Millwall
9.5
Preston
9.5
Reading
9.4
Wigan
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Blackburn
4.3
Middlesbrough
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Luton
4.2
Cardiff
4.2
Swansea
4.1
Preston
4.1
Coventry
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Watford
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Blackpool
3.9
Bristol City
3.8
Reading
3.8
Huddersfield
3.8
Burnley
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
QPR
3.7
Rotherham
3.6
Norwich
3.6
West Brom
3.4
Hull
3.4
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.7
Wigan
22.9
Luton
22.4
Middlesbrough
22.2
Blackpool
21.9
Stoke
21.9
Reading
21.9
QPR
21.7
Birmingham
21.5
Blackburn
21.5
Watford
21.4
Bristol City
21.2
Swansea
21.2
Preston
21.2
Norwich
21.1
Sheffield United
21.0
Millwall
20.9
Rotherham
20.8
Burnley
20.4
Hull
19.9
Coventry
19.9
Cardiff
19.8
West Brom
19.7
Huddersfield
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.7%
Under 9.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.3%
Under 21.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D00D01L00D00D12L00DH·BLA17/12H·QPR26/12A·COV29/12A·BLA01/01H·WIG14/01H·MIL21/01A·LUT31/01A·HUL04/02H·MID11/02A·BIR14/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.430.270.400.330.47
vs Stronger (5)0.800.600.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.210.420.250.250.170.58
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L10W00D00D20W01L01L00D01LH·COV10/12A·BIR16/12H·SWA27/12A·NOR30/12A·WES02/01H·QPR14/01A·STO21/01H·WAT04/02A·SUN11/02H·ROT14/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.600.470.330.87
vs Stronger (22)0.320.590.300.500.330.67
vs Similar (8)0.880.881.200.400.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L11D00D01L01L01L20WH·BLA17/12H·QPR26/12A·COV29/12A·BLA01/01H·WIG14/01H·MIL21/01A·LUT31/01A·HUL04/02H·MID11/02A·BIR14/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.470.670.400.73
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.000.500.330.67
vs Similar (24)0.460.750.500.750.420.75
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W11D11D01L02L03L21W01L20WH·COV10/12A·BIR16/12H·SWA27/12A·NOR30/12A·WES02/01H·QPR14/01A·STO21/01H·WAT04/02A·SUN11/02H·ROT14/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.831.000.670.401.00
vs Stronger (22)0.640.950.900.700.421.17
vs Similar (8)0.880.501.200.600.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards71.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Kaba47%
Callum Robinson23%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace11%
Kion Etete11%
Mark Harris10%
Isaak Davies10%
Connor Wickham8%
Romaine Sawyers8%
Callum O'Dowda8%
Cédric Kipré7%
Gavin Whyte7%
Mark Harris7%
Perry Ng5%
Ryan Wintle4%
Sheyi Ojo3%
Joe Ralls2%
Jamilu Collins0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Max Watters0%
Niels Nkounkou0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Rubin Colwill0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niels Nkounkou28%
Mark Harris27%
Jamilu Collins25%
Cédric Kipré24%
Curtis Nelson22%
Mark McGuinness21%
Joe Ralls17%
Perry Ng16%
Jack Simpson16%
Callum O'Dowda15%
Kion Etete14%
Ryan Wintle13%
Mahlon Romeo12%
Ryan Allsop12%
Andy Rinomhota10%
Mark Harris10%
Callum Robinson9%
Sheyi Ojo8%
Gavin Whyte7%
Romaine Sawyers5%
Rubin Colwill5%
Thomas Sang0%
Connor Wickham0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Sory Kaba0%
Max Watters0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Isaak Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Robinson23%
Connor Wickham17%
Mahlon Romeo12%
Callum O'Dowda8%
Andy Rinomhota8%
Gavin Whyte7%
Ryan Wintle7%
Sory Kaba6%
Niels Nkounkou6%
Rubin Colwill5%
Joe Ralls5%
Perry Ng5%
Kion Etete4%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace3%
Jamilu Collins0%
Mark Harris0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Romaine Sawyers0%
Cédric Kipré0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Sheyi Ojo0%
Max Watters0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaak Davies0%
Mark Harris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sory Kaba35%
Callum Robinson23%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace22%
Sheyi Ojo11%
Kion Etete11%
Max Watters9%
Connor Wickham8%
Mark Harris7%
Mark Harris5%
Mahlon Romeo3%
Jamilu Collins0%
Perry Ng0%
Ryan Wintle0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Joe Ralls0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Romaine Sawyers0%
Cédric Kipré0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Gavin Whyte0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Niels Nkounkou0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaak Davies0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andy Carroll30%
Thomas Ince21%
Lucas João18%
Yakou Méïté15%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan12%
Jeff Hendrick7%
Cesare Casadei7%
Tyrese Fornah6%
Tom McIntyre5%
Naby Sarr4%
Amadou Salif Mbengue4%
Mamadou Loum3%
Shane Long3%
Junior Hoilett3%
Andy Yiadom0%
Scott Dann0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Joe Lumley0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Liam Moore0%
Ovie Ejaria0%
Abdul Baba Rahman0%
Dean Bouzanis0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Femi Azeez0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
John Clarke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Loum38%
Andy Yiadom34%
Abdul Baba Rahman28%
Thomas Holmes28%
Sam Hutchinson27%
Amadou Salif Mbengue23%
Andy Carroll20%
Dean Bouzanis20%
Thomas Ince16%
Scott Dann15%
Joe Lumley15%
Ovie Ejaria12%
Kelvin Abrefa12%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan12%
Junior Hoilett12%
Yakou Méïté11%
Tyrese Fornah9%
Naby Sarr8%
Tom McIntyre8%
Nesta Guinness-Walker7%
Jeff Hendrick7%
Cesare Casadei7%
Shane Long3%
Lucas João0%
Liam Moore0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Femi Azeez0%
Mamadi Camara0%
John Clarke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ovie Ejaria12%
Yakou Méïté11%
Thomas Ince11%
Femi Azeez10%
Sam Hutchinson9%
Andy Carroll7%
Lucas João6%
Tyrese Fornah6%
Naby Sarr4%
Nesta Guinness-Walker4%
Mamadou Loum3%
Shane Long3%
Tom McIntyre3%
Andy Yiadom2%
Joe Lumley2%
Jeff Hendrick2%
Scott Dann0%
Junior Hoilett0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Liam Moore0%
Abdul Baba Rahman0%
Dean Bouzanis0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
John Clarke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andy Carroll13%
Thomas Ince11%
Jeff Hendrick9%
Yakou Méïté7%
Cesare Casadei7%
Lucas João6%
Junior Hoilett3%
Andy Yiadom2%
Mamadou Loum0%
Scott Dann0%
Shane Long0%
Sam Hutchinson0%
Joe Lumley0%
Thomas Holmes0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Liam Moore0%
Ovie Ejaria0%
Naby Sarr0%
Abdul Baba Rahman0%
Dean Bouzanis0%
Nesta Guinness-Walker0%
Tyrese Fornah0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Amadou Salif Mbengue0%
Femi Azeez0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
John Clarke0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Cardiff's squad is €20m more valuable than Reading's (€29m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Cardiff's attack is €12m more valuable than Reading's (€15m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Cardiff and Reading have a similar midfield value (both €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Cardiff's defence is €6m more valuable than Reading's (€10m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
CAR wins
1
Draws
3
REA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cardiff vs Reading · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22AReading Vs CAR2-1
09/04/22AReading Vs CAR1-2
02/10/21HCAR Vs Reading0-1
16/04/21AReading Vs CAR1-1
26/09/20HCAR Vs Reading1-2

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/23ABirmingham Vs CAR0-2
11/02/23HCAR Vs Middlesbrough1-3
04/02/23AHull Vs CAR1-0
31/01/23ALuton Vs CAR1-0
21/01/23HCAR Vs Millwall0-1
14/01/23HCAR Vs Wigan1-1
01/01/23ABlackburn Vs CAR1-0
29/12/22ACoventry Vs CAR0-0
26/12/22HCAR Vs QPR0-0
17/12/22HCAR Vs Blackpool1-1

ReadingReading

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/23HREA Vs Rotherham2-1
11/02/23ASunderland Vs REA1-0
04/02/23HREA Vs Watford2-2
21/01/23AStoke Vs REA4-0
14/01/23HREA Vs QPR2-2
02/01/23AWest Brom Vs REA1-0
30/12/22ANorwich Vs REA1-1
27/12/22HREA Vs Swansea2-1
16/12/22ABirmingham Vs REA3-2
10/12/22HREA Vs Coventry1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff
Cardiff
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.12
HomeDDDLL1.23
AwayDLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals1.981.852.12
Over 1.5 %56%50%62%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %14%15%12%
Scored0.860.880.83
Conceded1.120.961.29
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners10.0610.199.92
Cards4.163.854.50
Reading
Reading
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.20
HomeWWDDW1.74
AwayLDLLL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%19%
AVG goals2.762.872.67
Over 1.5 %74%78%70%
Over 2.5 %60%65%56%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.121.570.74
Conceded1.641.301.93
BTTS52%61%44%
Clean Sheet18%22%15%
Corners9.388.789.89
Cards3.804.263.41

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches