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Cardiff vs Reading Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Cardiff
Cardiff
Vs
51%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Reading
Reading
England: League One
Referee: L Swabey

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cardiff win✓ Hit
51.1%
Avg Implied 59.8% · @ 1.57
Edge
-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.24
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Reading win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 18.1% · @ 5.19
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W30W40W11D13L21W20W01L43WA·AFC19/08A·LUT23/08H·CHE26/08H·PLY30/08A·STO13/09H·BRA20/09A·BUR23/09A·WIG27/09H·BUR30/09H·LEY04/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.561.061.071.14
vs Stronger (2)0.502.00--0.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.361.231.421.251.301.20
vs Weaker (6)1.500.332.000.500.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D21W10W23L21W02L11D11D11DA·BOL20/08A·WYC23/08H·AFC26/08H·POR30/08A·BAR13/09H·LEY20/09A·WRE23/09A·STO27/09H·MAN04/10A·EXE11/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.201.001.471.33
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.000.001.001.25
vs Similar (23)1.351.261.231.151.501.40
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.66-4.9%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 2.13+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Cardiff goals ↓
Reading goals →
01234
07.7%5.7%3.6%1.2%0.3%
19.8%13%6.0%2.1%0.5%
29.2%9.7%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.2%5.4%2.8%1.0%0.3%
42.2%2.3%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Reading goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Cardiff is 0.61 points better than Reading in terms of average points per game (1.98 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Cardiff is 0.57 goals better than Reading in terms of goals scored per game (1.96 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Cardiff is 0.22 goals better than Reading in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Cardiff is 12.8 percentage points better than Reading in terms of average possession (63% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CardiffCardiff

For 5.2 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1406883575247275573852514111271191010137H·LEYH·BURA·WIGA·BURH·BRAA·STOH·PLYH·CHEA·LUTA·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

8022241212441312212224633814434H·LEYH·BURA·WIGA·BURH·BRAA·STOH·PLYH·CHEA·LUTA·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

33041513126911131513111414615181011111019251524282520332121H·LEYH·BURA·WIGA·BURH·BRAA·STOH·PLYH·CHEA·LUTA·AFC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ReadingReading

For 3.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

13055453543264526268513109878988134A·EXEH·MANA·STOA·WREH·LEYA·BARH·PORH·AFCA·WYCA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

80112111153532213152321884145A·EXEH·MANA·STOA·WREH·LEYA·BARH·PORH·AFCA·WYCA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

34013141313791110131115191212914121021927261621243424232230A·EXEH·MANA·STOA·WREH·LEYA·BARH·PORH·AFCA·WYCA·BOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CardiffCardiff

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.48.93.33.82.922.923.222.5
vs Stronger (6)10.215.09.03.23.03.223.817.025.5
vs Similar (38)9.610.28.93.23.72.722.422.622.1
vs Weaker (6)9.710.58.04.34.54.025.027.520.0
% over line47%58%35%46%58%35%57%58%57%
% under line53%42%65%54%42%65%43%42%43%
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.010.63.23.42.922.723.222.2
vs Stronger (10)7.06.27.82.62.33.023.022.823.2
vs Similar (38)10.29.710.73.33.82.922.723.522.1
vs Weaker (2)13.58.019.03.02.04.020.519.022.0
% over line49%36%60%42%44%40%66%77%56%
% under line51%64%40%58%56%60%34%23%44%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Doncaster
11.0
Huddersfield
10.8
Luton
10.6
Barnsley
10.2
Wigan
10.2
Leyton Orient
9.9
Reading
9.9
Cardiff
9.8
Port Vale
9.8
Burton
9.8
Plymouth
9.8
Bradford
9.7
Bolton
9.6
Peterboro
9.6
Exeter
9.6
Lincoln
9.5
Rotherham
9.5
Stevenage
9.5
Mansfield
9.3
Northampton
9.1
Blackpool
9.1
Wycombe
9.1
AFC Wimbledon
9.0
Stockport
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
4.9
Bradford
4.7
Lincoln
4.1
Peterboro
4.0
Mansfield
3.8
Exeter
3.7
Doncaster
3.7
Luton
3.7
Port Vale
3.7
Stevenage
3.7
Burton
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Stockport
3.7
AFC Wimbledon
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Barnsley
3.6
Wigan
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.6
Northampton
3.5
Plymouth
3.5
Rotherham
3.5
Reading
3.3
Blackpool
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.1
Rotherham
24.7
Wycombe
24.4
Bradford
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Exeter
24.1
Mansfield
23.9
Stockport
23.8
Peterboro
23.8
Luton
23.8
Lincoln
23.5
Doncaster
23.4
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Cardiff
23.0
Northampton
22.9
Wigan
22.9
Huddersfield
22.9
Reading
22.7
Plymouth
22.6
Blackpool
22.0
Port Vale
21.6
Burton
21.5
Barnsley
21.3
Leyton Orient
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.0%
Under 21.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W20W01L02L20W10W00D11DA·AFC19/08A·LUT23/08H·CHE26/08H·PLY30/08A·STO13/09H·BRA20/09A·BUR23/09A·WIG27/09H·BUR30/09H·LEY04/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.620.380.430.57
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.590.420.500.500.70
vs Weaker (6)0.830.001.250.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D00D11D10W00D01L01L11DA·BOL20/08A·WYC23/08H·AFC26/08H·POR30/08A·BAR13/09H·LEY20/09A·WRE23/09A·STO27/09H·MAN04/10A·EXE11/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.270.270.200.600.33
vs Stronger (6)0.330.170.000.000.500.25
vs Similar (23)0.430.300.310.230.600.40
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CardiffCardiff

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W20W10W11D01L10W01L32WA·AFC19/08A·LUT23/08H·CHE26/08H·PLY30/08A·STO13/09H·BRA20/09A·BUR23/09A·WIG27/09H·BUR30/09H·LEY04/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.940.690.640.57
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.910.641.000.750.800.50
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.750.500.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Reading) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ReadingReading

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W10W12L11D02L10W10W00DA·BOL20/08A·WYC23/08H·AFC26/08H·POR30/08A·BAR13/09H·LEY20/09A·WRE23/09A·STO27/09H·MAN04/10A·EXE11/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.900.930.800.871.00
vs Stronger (6)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.910.960.920.920.901.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reading over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls77.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Saleh36%
Omari Kellyman24%
Rubin Colwill23%
Callum Robinson18%
Isaak Davies18%
Joel Colwill16%
Perry Ng15%
Chris Willock15%
Alex Robertson14%
Cian Ashford12%
Calum Chambers10%
Ollie Tanner7%
David Turnbull7%
Dylan Lawlor6%
Ronan Kpakio6%
William Fish5%
Ryan Wintle2%
Joel Bagan2%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Robertson25%
Ronan Kpakio19%
Joel Bagan18%
Dylan Lawlor18%
Calum Chambers17%
Joel Colwill16%
Gabriel Osho15%
Ryan Wintle14%
Perry Ng13%
Omari Kellyman11%
Ollie Tanner10%
William Fish10%
David Turnbull9%
Rubin Colwill9%
Yousef Saleh8%
Chris Willock7%
Isaak Davies6%
Callum Robinson5%
Nathan Trott4%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
Cian Ashford0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Tanner34%
Rubin Colwill23%
Chris Willock15%
Ryan Wintle14%
Perry Ng13%
Ronan Kpakio11%
Yousef Saleh10%
Joel Bagan10%
Isaak Davies9%
Alex Robertson8%
Cian Ashford7%
Callum Robinson7%
David Turnbull7%
Dylan Lawlor6%
Omari Kellyman5%
Joel Colwill5%
Calum Chambers3%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
William Fish0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Saleh38%
Rubin Colwill29%
Omari Kellyman21%
Tanatswa Nyakuhwa20%
Ollie Tanner17%
Callum Robinson9%
Cian Ashford7%
Alex Robertson6%
Ryan Wintle5%
Chris Willock4%
Calum Chambers3%
Isaak Davies3%
Ronan Kpakio3%
Perry Ng3%
William Fish2%
David Turnbull2%
Gabriel Osho0%
Nathan Trott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Matthew Turner0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Dylan Lawlor0%
Reading
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Marriott58%
Lewis Wing21%
Andre Garcia17%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan16%
Mamadi Camara15%
Will Keane14%
Daniel Kyerewaa14%
Randell Williams13%
Kami Doyle9%
Paudie O’Connor8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Jeriel Dorsett5%
Charlie Savage4%
Matt Ritchie4%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Ryan33%
Paudie O’Connor31%
Ashqar Ahmed27%
Matty Jacob27%
Charlie Savage22%
Haydon Roberts21%
Derrick Williams21%
Andy Yiadom21%
Daniel Kyerewaa19%
Finley Burns18%
Matt Ritchie18%
Sean Patton17%
Jeriel Dorsett15%
Michael Stickland14%
Kadan Young14%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan14%
Benn Ward12%
Lewis Wing11%
Ryan Nyambe11%
Ben Elliott9%
Kami Doyle9%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Mamadi Camara8%
Liam Fraser6%
Paddy Lane6%
Mark O'Mahony5%
Joel Pereira2%
Randell Williams0%
Jack Marriott0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tivonge Rushesha33%
Lewis Wing21%
Matt Ritchie18%
Kami Doyle14%
Jack Marriott12%
Charlie Savage9%
Daniel Kyerewaa8%
Kelvin Abrefa8%
Andre Garcia8%
Haydon Roberts7%
Randell Williams7%
Paddy Lane6%
Derrick Williams4%
Jeriel Dorsett2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Matty Jacob0%
Finley Burns0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jack Marriott21%
Lewis Wing13%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan11%
Paddy Lane8%
Daniel Kyerewaa6%
Charlie Savage4%
Kami Doyle2%
Andy Yiadom0%
Joel Pereira0%
Randell Williams0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Derrick Williams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Will Keane0%
Jack Stevens0%
Paudie O’Connor0%
Liam Fraser0%
Tivonge Rushesha0%
Matty Jacob0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Finley Burns0%
Jeriel Dorsett0%
John Ryan0%
Ben Elliott0%
Michael Stickland0%
Kelvin Abrefa0%
Mamadi Camara0%
Benn Ward0%
Kadan Young0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Sean Patton0%
Ashqar Ahmed0%
Andre Garcia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Cardiff's squad is €20m more valuable than Reading's (€29m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Cardiff's attack is €12m more valuable than Reading's (€15m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Cardiff and Reading have a similar midfield value (both €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Cardiff's defence is €6m more valuable than Reading's (€10m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
CAR wins
1
Draws
3
REA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cardiff vs Reading · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/23HCAR Vs Reading1-0
06/08/22AReading Vs CAR2-1
09/04/22AReading Vs CAR1-2
02/10/21HCAR Vs Reading0-1
16/04/21AReading Vs CAR1-1
26/09/20HCAR Vs Reading1-2

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25HCAR Vs Leyton Orient4-3
30/09/25HCAR Vs Burton0-1
27/09/25AWigan Vs CAR0-2
23/09/25ABurnley Vs CAR1-2
20/09/25HCAR Vs Bradford1-3
13/09/25AStockport Vs CAR1-1
30/08/25HCAR Vs Plymouth4-0
26/08/25HCAR Vs Cheltenham3-0
23/08/25ALuton Vs CAR0-1
19/08/25AAFC Wimbledon Vs CAR0-1

ReadingReading

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AExeter Vs REA1-1
04/10/25HREA Vs Mansfield1-1
27/09/25AStockport Vs REA1-1
23/09/25AWrexham Vs REA2-0
20/09/25HREA Vs Leyton Orient2-1
13/09/25ABarnsley Vs REA3-2
30/08/25HREA Vs Port Vale1-0
26/08/25HREA Vs AFC Wimbledon2-1
23/08/25AWycombe Vs REA2-2
20/08/25ABolton Vs REA1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cardiff
Cardiff
England: League One
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.30
HomeWWLLW1.38
AwayWWDWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.702.582.81
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.301.381.23
Conceded1.401.211.58
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.6610.428.87
Cards3.553.833.26
Reading
Reading
England: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD1.50
HomeLWWWD1.72
AwayDLLDD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.602.562.64
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.381.441.32
Conceded1.221.121.32
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.839.0010.56
Cards3.363.862.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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