Cardiff’s recent form shows a string of losses and draws, while Stoke arrive on a win, making an away victory the model’s pick. The model rates a 45% chance of Stoke winning, 29% for a draw and 26% for a Cardiff win, and the expected total goals sit at 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14% probability, a tidy reflection of the teams’ similar scoring and conceding averages of one goal scored and 1.18 conceded against comparable opposition. Suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 79.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 77.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.7% and Over 1.5 goals at 70.6%. The model’s forecast favours a Stoke win, but the balanced 1-1 outcome remains the most likely score.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, the away win, fell short as the game finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. Cardiff’s recent run of losses (LDLDD) and Stoke’s win-draw-loss-loss-loss streak (WLDLL) set the stage for an unpredictable encounter. The model had given the away side a 45% chance, yet the result was a stalemate. The model’s selections performed well: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 79.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.2%, Under 3.5 at 77.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 70.7% and Over 1.5 at 70.6%. Each hit matched the recorded outcome. The match delivered more parity than the model predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cardiff win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.51
Edge
-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
44.7%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.99
Edge
+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.30
0.87
1.20
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.67
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
1.42
1.00
1.18
1.08
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.10
1.06
1.06
1.57
1.14
vs Stronger (3)
3.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
4.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
1.00
1.12
1.00
1.08
1.00
1.18
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.3%
@ 2.37+3.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
@ 1.58-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.6%
Cardiff goals ↓
Stoke goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
11%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
1
7.8%
14%
8.9%
4.2%
1.5%
2
4.6%
6.4%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Cardiff is 0.09 points worse than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Cardiff is 0.30 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Cardiff is 0.09 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Cardiff is 6.4 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (47% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cardiff
For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stoke
For 6.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.5
4.2
3.9
4.5
20.1
20.2
20.0
vs Stronger (7)
12.0
14.0
10.5
4.3
4.0
4.5
19.6
22.7
17.2
vs Similar (42)
9.1
8.9
9.3
4.3
4.0
4.5
20.4
20.2
20.5
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
12.0
12.0
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
60%
58%
62%
38%
42%
35%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
40%
42%
38%
62%
58%
65%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.0
10.0
3.8
3.9
3.6
22.2
23.1
21.4
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
10.7
9.0
3.4
4.0
2.5
23.0
23.7
22.0
vs Similar (40)
10.8
11.2
10.4
4.0
4.2
3.9
22.2
23.4
21.1
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
9.5
8.0
2.4
1.5
3.0
21.4
19.0
23.0
% over line
64%
76%
52%
54%
52%
56%
50%
52%
48%
% under line
36%
24%
48%
46%
48%
44%
50%
48%
52%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.9
Rotherham
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Watford
10.5
QPR
10.5
Bristol City
10.4
Coventry
10.3
Luton
10.2
Burnley
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
Huddersfield
10.1
Blackpool
10.1
Hull
10.0
Birmingham
10.0
Preston
9.7
Blackburn
9.7
Cardiff
9.6
Millwall
9.6
Swansea
9.6
Sunderland
9.5
Reading
9.3
Wigan
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sheffield United
4.4
Watford
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Swansea
4.4
Preston
4.3
Cardiff
4.2
Luton
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Middlesbrough
4.0
Birmingham
4.0
Wigan
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Burnley
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Rotherham
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Huddersfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Blackpool
3.6
Reading
3.6
West Brom
3.4
Millwall
3.3
Hull
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Luton
23.2
Watford
22.4
Stoke
22.2
Blackpool
22.2
Wigan
22.2
Swansea
22.1
QPR
22.1
Preston
21.5
Birmingham
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Norwich
21.1
Millwall
21.0
Reading
21.0
Sheffield United
20.8
Burnley
20.8
Bristol City
20.7
Rotherham
20.4
Blackburn
20.2
Cardiff
20.1
Coventry
20.1
Hull
20.0
Huddersfield
19.8
West Brom
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.1%
Under 9.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.0%
Under 21.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.27
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.62
0.27
0.55
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.62
0.25
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.50
0.69
0.23
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.79
0.73
0.64
0.38
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.44
0.81
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.62
0.31
0.85
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Kaba47%
Callum Robinson23%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace11%
Kion Etete11%
Mark Harris10%
Isaak Davies10%
Connor Wickham8%
Romaine Sawyers8%
Callum O'Dowda8%
Cédric Kipré7%
Gavin Whyte7%
Mark Harris7%
Perry Ng5%
Ryan Wintle4%
Sheyi Ojo3%
Joe Ralls2%
Jamilu Collins0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Max Watters0%
Niels Nkounkou0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Rubin Colwill0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niels Nkounkou28%
Mark Harris27%
Jamilu Collins25%
Cédric Kipré24%
Curtis Nelson22%
Mark McGuinness21%
Joe Ralls17%
Perry Ng16%
Jack Simpson16%
Callum O'Dowda15%
Kion Etete14%
Ryan Wintle13%
Mahlon Romeo12%
Ryan Allsop12%
Andy Rinomhota10%
Mark Harris10%
Callum Robinson9%
Sheyi Ojo8%
Gavin Whyte7%
Romaine Sawyers5%
Rubin Colwill5%
Thomas Sang0%
Connor Wickham0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Sory Kaba0%
Max Watters0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Isaak Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Robinson23%
Connor Wickham17%
Mahlon Romeo12%
Callum O'Dowda8%
Andy Rinomhota8%
Gavin Whyte7%
Ryan Wintle7%
Sory Kaba6%
Niels Nkounkou6%
Rubin Colwill5%
Joe Ralls5%
Perry Ng5%
Kion Etete4%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace3%
Jamilu Collins0%
Mark Harris0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Romaine Sawyers0%
Cédric Kipré0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Sheyi Ojo0%
Max Watters0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaak Davies0%
Mark Harris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sory Kaba35%
Callum Robinson23%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace22%
Sheyi Ojo11%
Kion Etete11%
Max Watters9%
Connor Wickham8%
Mark Harris7%
Mark Harris5%
Mahlon Romeo3%
Jamilu Collins0%
Perry Ng0%
Ryan Wintle0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Joe Ralls0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Romaine Sawyers0%
Cédric Kipré0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Gavin Whyte0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Niels Nkounkou0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaak Davies0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ki-Jana Hoever20%
Tyrese Campbell20%
Jacob Brown18%
Nick Powell16%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips14%
Lewis Baker14%
Liam Delap14%
Harry Clarke11%
Josh Laurent9%
Ben Wilmot8%
Phil Jagielka7%
Will Smallbone7%
Dwight Gayle6%
Josh Tymon4%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Aden Flint0%
Bersant Celina0%
Morgan Fox0%
Ben Pearson0%
Sam Clucas0%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Souttar57%
Ben Pearson50%
Gavin Kilkenny33%
Axel Tuanzebe25%
Liam Delap23%
Connor Taylor21%
Jacob Brown21%
Jordan Thompson21%
Josh Laurent19%
Ben Wilmot15%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry15%
Lewis Baker14%
Nick Powell12%
Aden Flint11%
Harry Clarke11%
Tyrese Campbell10%
Dwight Gayle9%
Dujon Sterling8%
Josh Tymon7%
Josef Bursik6%
Morgan Fox5%
Jack Bonham4%
Will Smallbone2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Phil Jagielka0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Bersant Celina0%
Sam Clucas0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aden Flint22%
Dwight Gayle14%
Tyrese Campbell12%
Lewis Baker11%
Josh Tymon11%
Josh Laurent9%
Morgan Fox8%
Ben Pearson7%
Will Smallbone7%
Ki-Jana Hoever7%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry5%
Phil Jagielka4%
Jacob Brown3%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Bersant Celina0%
Sam Clucas0%
Nick Powell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Harry Clarke0%
Liam Delap0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jacob Brown21%
Tyrese Campbell20%
Bersant Celina17%
Liam Delap14%
Will Smallbone12%
Aden Flint11%
Lewis Baker9%
Dwight Gayle9%
Ben Pearson7%
Nick Powell4%
Josh Tymon4%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Phil Jagielka0%
Matija Šarkić0%
Axel Tuanzebe0%
Morgan Fox0%
Sam Clucas0%
Tariqe Fosu-Henry0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Harry Souttar0%
Jack Bonham0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Josef Bursik0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Harry Clarke0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Connor Taylor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Cardiff's squad is €50m less valuable than Stoke's (€29m vs €79m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Cardiff's attack is €20m less valuable than Stoke's (€15m vs €35m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Cardiff's midfield is €8m less valuable than Stoke's (€4m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Cardiff's defence is €22m less valuable than Stoke's (€10m vs €32m).
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Burnley
Sheffield United
Luton
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Sunderland
Blackburn
Millwall
West Brom
Swansea
Watford
Preston
Norwich
Bristol City
Hull
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Rotherham
Reading
QPR
Wigan
Blackpool