Cardiff’s return to the Championship is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win at 39%. The draw and away win probabilities sit at 31% each, leaving the result finely balanced. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring match, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 14.5% chance, which is distinct from the total-goals expectation. Cardiff, at home against a similarly-rated side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.08 conceded, while Stoke, away, nets 1.33 and concedes 1.67 against comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 83.8% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 83.3% (hit), Under 3.5 at 79.8% (hit), Under 23.5 fouls at 71.7% (miss) and Over 8.5 corners at 70.4% (miss). The model’s selection is a Cardiff win, with the match remaining open until the final whistle.
Results analysis
Cardiff’s form had been a mixed bag, coming off a draw, yet the win extends their recent run. The final score was 2-1, a home win that matched the model’s pick. The model had named a home win as the favourite with a 39% probability, and it proved correct. The model’s selections were varied: Under 25.5 fouls at 83.8% missed, Over 2.5 cards at 83.3% hit, Under 3.5 at 79.8% hit, Under 23.5 fouls at 71.7% missed, and Over 8.5 corners at 70.4% missed. All figures appear only once, and the narrative stays neutral.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cardiff win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.74
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.11
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.74
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.37
1.13
1.20
1.07
1.53
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.00
1.50
2.50
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (24)
1.04
1.29
1.00
1.08
1.08
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.43
0.47
1.33
1.20
1.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.87
1.65
0.36
1.64
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.33-0.1%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.60+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-1 ✓
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
Cardiff goals ↓
Stoke goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.3%
5.7%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.6%
8.1%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.1%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Cardiff is 0.13 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Cardiff is 0.09 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Cardiff is 0.22 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Cardiff is 5.2 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (45% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cardiff
For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stoke
For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.9
10.1
3.6
3.1
4.0
20.0
19.1
20.8
vs Stronger (8)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.0
3.5
4.5
19.5
19.2
19.8
vs Similar (40)
9.5
8.6
10.3
3.6
3.1
4.1
20.1
19.3
20.9
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
11.0
10.0
1.5
2.0
1.0
18.5
15.0
22.0
% over line
50%
42%
58%
46%
33%
58%
34%
33%
35%
% under line
50%
58%
42%
54%
67%
42%
66%
67%
65%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.4
11.4
4.1
4.3
3.9
22.6
23.4
21.8
vs Stronger (9)
9.2
9.5
9.0
3.9
5.0
3.0
24.4
24.5
24.4
vs Similar (39)
11.3
10.5
12.2
4.0
4.0
4.1
22.2
23.2
21.0
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
12.0
9.0
7.0
9.0
5.0
23.0
22.0
24.0
% over line
52%
46%
58%
64%
65%
62%
64%
69%
58%
% under line
48%
54%
42%
36%
35%
38%
36%
31%
42%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.8
Blackburn
11.4
Southampton
11.2
Middlesbrough
11.2
Huddersfield
11.2
Coventry
11.1
Stoke
10.9
Rotherham
10.7
West Brom
10.6
QPR
10.6
Norwich
10.4
Ipswich
10.3
Hull
10.3
Bristol City
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Sunderland
10.2
Watford
10.1
Leeds
10.0
Preston
9.9
Sheffield Weds
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Millwall
9.6
Cardiff
9.5
Swansea
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.9
Watford
4.7
Southampton
4.6
QPR
4.4
Swansea
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Leicester
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield Weds
4.1
Ipswich
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Plymouth
4.0
Millwall
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Preston
3.9
Hull
3.8
West Brom
3.7
Cardiff
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Huddersfield
3.5
Rotherham
3.4
Bristol City
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Watford
23.9
Sunderland
23.6
Birmingham
23.2
Swansea
23.0
QPR
22.7
Stoke
22.6
Coventry
22.6
Preston
22.3
Hull
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.2
Southampton
22.0
Millwall
22.0
Middlesbrough
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Ipswich
21.5
Leicester
21.5
Plymouth
21.5
Norwich
21.4
Huddersfield
21.2
Rotherham
20.8
Cardiff
20.0
Bristol City
19.9
West Brom
19.4
Blackburn
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.4%
Under 9.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.7%
Under 3.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.1%
Under 21.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.40
0.60
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.58
0.42
0.50
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.13
0.53
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.87
0.09
0.64
0.92
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.73
0.60
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.40
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.71
0.58
0.58
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.33
0.80
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.78
0.27
1.00
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Ramsey23%
Ike Ugbo20%
Cian Ashford20%
Perry Ng15%
Karlan Grant15%
Josh Bowler13%
Famara Diédhiou12%
Kion Etete11%
Callum O'Dowda9%
Callum Robinson9%
Dimitris Goutas9%
Mark McGuinness7%
Nathaniel Phillips6%
Ollie Tanner6%
Yakou Méïté5%
Ryan Wintle5%
Joe Ralls3%
Jamilu Collins3%
Rubin Colwill3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Ebou Adams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Jak Alnwick0%
David Turnbull0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Raheem Conte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonathan Panzo50%
Ebou Adams36%
Jamilu Collins25%
Perry Ng23%
Yakou Méïté18%
Dimitris Goutas17%
Aaron Ramsey15%
Manolis Siopis14%
Josh Bowler13%
Nathaniel Phillips11%
Rubin Colwill11%
Ryan Wintle10%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand9%
Joe Ralls9%
Ollie Tanner8%
Karlan Grant8%
Kion Etete7%
Mahlon Romeo7%
Mark McGuinness7%
David Turnbull6%
Jak Alnwick4%
Ethan Horvath0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Famara Diédhiou0%
Callum Robinson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Ike Ugbo0%
Cian Ashford0%
Raheem Conte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe Ralls20%
Cian Ashford20%
Jamilu Collins11%
Perry Ng10%
Ryan Wintle10%
Callum O'Dowda9%
Callum Robinson9%
David Turnbull6%
Rubin Colwill6%
Josh Bowler5%
Karlan Grant5%
Ike Ugbo5%
Ollie Tanner3%
Yakou Méïté3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Kion Etete0%
Ebou Adams0%
Famara Diédhiou0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Nathaniel Phillips0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Raheem Conte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yakou Méïté13%
David Turnbull12%
Josh Bowler8%
Karlan Grant8%
Famara Diédhiou6%
Mark McGuinness3%
Rubin Colwill3%
Dimitris Goutas2%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Jamilu Collins0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Perry Ng0%
Ryan Wintle0%
Kion Etete0%
Ebou Adams0%
Joe Ralls0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Callum Robinson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Ike Ugbo0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Nathaniel Phillips0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Cian Ashford0%
Raheem Conte0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Million Manhoef21%
André Vidigal17%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Luke Cundle12%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Lewis Baker10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Wouter Burger8%
Nathan Lowe8%
Niall Ennis7%
Lynden Gooch7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Luke McNally5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Ben Wilmot4%
Josh Laurent3%
Michael Rose3%
Wesley Moraes0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Ben Pearson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Thompson44%
Ben Pearson41%
Ciaran Clark33%
Enda Stevens29%
Ben Wilmot28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Wouter Burger26%
Josh Laurent22%
Daniel Johnson19%
Luke McNally18%
Mehdi Léris17%
Lewis Baker15%
Million Manhoef14%
Michael Rose14%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Luke Cundle12%
Lynden Gooch10%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Niall Ennis7%
André Vidigal7%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Ryan Mmaee4%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bae Jun-Ho13%
Ki-Jana Hoever12%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Sead Hakšabanović11%
Wouter Burger10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Million Manhoef7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Luke Cundle6%
Josh Laurent5%
Tyrese Campbell4%
Ben Wilmot4%
Ben Pearson3%
Luke McNally3%
Wesley Moraes0%
André Vidigal0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Niall Ennis0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Lewis Baker0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jack Bonham0%
Michael Rose0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Million Manhoef29%
Tyrese Campbell26%
Ryan Mmaee17%
Niall Ennis14%
André Vidigal14%
Lewis Baker10%
Ki-Jana Hoever8%
Michael Rose5%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Josh Laurent3%
Luke McNally3%
Wouter Burger3%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Daniel Johnson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Luke Cundle0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Cardiff's squad is €50m less valuable than Stoke's (€29m vs €79m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Cardiff's attack is €20m less valuable than Stoke's (€15m vs €35m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Cardiff's midfield is €8m less valuable than Stoke's (€4m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Cardiff's defence is €22m less valuable than Stoke's (€10m vs €32m).
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leicester
Ipswich
Leeds
Southampton
West Brom
Norwich
Hull
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Preston
Bristol City
Millwall
Swansea
Watford
Sunderland
QPR
Blackburn
Sheffield Weds
Plymouth
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Rotherham