Cardiff are tipped to lift the tie, with a 42% chance of victory versus 30% for a draw and 28% for a Watford win. The model expects a modest 2.3 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal game, and the single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 14.3%. Cardiff’s home form shows they average 1.27 goals scored and 1.09 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Watford, on the road, average only 0.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 85.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 79.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.8% and Under 25.5 fouls at 71.3%. Cardiff have just come off a defeat to QPR, and Watford likewise left a loss to Swansea, suggesting both sides may be cautious. The predicted outcome remains a Cardiff win, but the match is expected to be tightly contested with a 1-1 finish.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Cardiff, failed to deliver as the match ended 1-1, a draw that snapped their recent string of defeats. The model had picked a home win with a 42% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual result of a draw. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards (85.3%) missed, Under 3.5 (79.1%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (78.5%) hit, Over 19.5 fouls (75.8%) missed, and Under 25.5 fouls (71.3%) hit. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cardiff win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.31
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.3%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.16
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.32
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.33
1.20
1.13
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.86
1.33
2.00
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.38
1.27
1.09
1.00
1.70
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.33
1.65
1.00
0.77
1.77
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
-
-
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.21
1.73
1.00
0.67
1.56
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.29-0.0%
Under 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.62+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
Cardiff goals ↓
Watford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.6%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.3%
8.5%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.6%
3.7%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Cardiff is 0.13 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Cardiff is 0.17 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Cardiff is 0.20 goals worse than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Cardiff is 6.6 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (45% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cardiff
For 4.2 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Watford
For 5.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.4
9.6
4.0
3.6
4.4
19.6
19.5
19.6
vs Stronger (11)
10.5
12.5
9.4
4.3
4.2
4.3
19.0
20.8
18.0
vs Similar (36)
9.7
9.8
9.6
4.1
3.6
4.6
20.0
19.8
20.2
vs Weaker (3)
11.3
12.0
10.0
1.3
1.5
1.0
16.3
13.5
22.0
% over line
54%
56%
52%
56%
52%
60%
32%
40%
24%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
44%
48%
40%
68%
60%
76%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.3
4.7
4.7
4.8
23.9
23.5
24.3
vs Stronger (4)
9.8
11.0
9.3
5.2
4.0
5.7
23.2
14.0
26.3
vs Similar (40)
10.7
10.5
10.9
4.6
4.6
4.5
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
10.3
8.0
5.5
5.7
5.3
22.8
22.7
23.0
% over line
56%
62%
50%
78%
77%
79%
70%
62%
79%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
22%
23%
21%
30%
38%
21%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.1
West Brom
11.0
Stoke
11.0
QPR
10.7
Norwich
10.7
Middlesbrough
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Hull
10.5
Coventry
10.5
Watford
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Ipswich
10.2
Southampton
10.1
Leeds
10.0
Cardiff
10.0
Rotherham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Birmingham
9.8
Preston
9.5
Sunderland
9.5
Swansea
9.3
Millwall
9.2
Sheffield Weds
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.7
Sunderland
4.4
Swansea
4.4
Coventry
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Norwich
4.2
Preston
4.2
Stoke
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Ipswich
4.0
Cardiff
4.0
Southampton
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
QPR
3.8
Huddersfield
3.7
Rotherham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Leicester
3.6
West Brom
3.6
Hull
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Bristol City
3.4
Plymouth
3.4
Millwall
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Watford
23.9
Sunderland
23.5
Stoke
22.9
Leeds
22.8
Swansea
22.8
Birmingham
22.5
QPR
22.3
Southampton
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.8
Ipswich
21.8
Leicester
21.7
Norwich
21.6
Plymouth
21.5
Coventry
21.5
Millwall
21.4
Preston
21.3
Hull
21.1
Middlesbrough
20.8
Bristol City
20.4
Rotherham
20.3
Huddersfield
20.2
Blackburn
19.7
West Brom
19.7
Cardiff
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.7%
Under 9.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.9%
Under 3.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.5%
Under 21.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.27
0.60
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.43
0.67
1.00
0.75
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.62
0.18
0.55
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.82
0.59
0.46
0.54
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
-
-
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.87
0.60
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
1.07
0.60
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.43
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.76
1.09
0.55
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.82
0.41
0.31
1.23
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
-
-
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.58
0.87
0.40
0.22
0.89
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Ramsey23%
Ike Ugbo20%
Cian Ashford20%
Perry Ng15%
Karlan Grant15%
Josh Bowler13%
Famara Diédhiou12%
Kion Etete11%
Callum O'Dowda9%
Callum Robinson9%
Dimitris Goutas9%
Mark McGuinness7%
Nathaniel Phillips6%
Ollie Tanner6%
Yakou Méïté5%
Ryan Wintle5%
Joe Ralls3%
Jamilu Collins3%
Rubin Colwill3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Ebou Adams0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Jak Alnwick0%
David Turnbull0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Raheem Conte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonathan Panzo50%
Ebou Adams36%
Jamilu Collins25%
Perry Ng23%
Yakou Méïté18%
Dimitris Goutas17%
Aaron Ramsey15%
Manolis Siopis14%
Josh Bowler13%
Nathaniel Phillips11%
Rubin Colwill11%
Ryan Wintle10%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand9%
Joe Ralls9%
Ollie Tanner8%
Karlan Grant8%
Kion Etete7%
Mahlon Romeo7%
Mark McGuinness7%
David Turnbull6%
Jak Alnwick4%
Ethan Horvath0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Famara Diédhiou0%
Callum Robinson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Ike Ugbo0%
Cian Ashford0%
Raheem Conte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joe Ralls20%
Cian Ashford20%
Jamilu Collins11%
Perry Ng10%
Ryan Wintle10%
Callum O'Dowda9%
Callum Robinson9%
David Turnbull6%
Rubin Colwill6%
Josh Bowler5%
Karlan Grant5%
Ike Ugbo5%
Ollie Tanner3%
Yakou Méïté3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Kion Etete0%
Ebou Adams0%
Famara Diédhiou0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Dimitris Goutas0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Nathaniel Phillips0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Raheem Conte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yakou Méïté13%
David Turnbull12%
Josh Bowler8%
Karlan Grant8%
Famara Diédhiou6%
Mark McGuinness3%
Rubin Colwill3%
Dimitris Goutas2%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Jamilu Collins0%
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson0%
Perry Ng0%
Ryan Wintle0%
Kion Etete0%
Ebou Adams0%
Joe Ralls0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Callum Robinson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Ike Ugbo0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Nathaniel Phillips0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Cian Ashford0%
Raheem Conte0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Cardiff's squad is €59m less valuable than Watford's (€29m vs €88m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Cardiff's attack is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€15m vs €28m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Cardiff's midfield is €35m less valuable than Watford's (€4m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Cardiff's defence is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€10m vs €22m).
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leicester
Ipswich
Leeds
Southampton
West Brom
Norwich
Hull
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Preston
Bristol City
Millwall
Swansea
Sunderland
Stoke
QPR
Blackburn
Sheffield Weds
Plymouth
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Rotherham