Carmarthen Town vs Ynyshir Albions Result & Analysis

Carmarthen Town are the clear favourites to win, with a 48% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of Ynyshir Albions taking the points. The model expects a modest 2.4 goals in total, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest.

At home Carmarthen have scored an average of 0.67 goals and conceded 0.83 against weaker opposition, while Ynyshir, playing away against stronger sides, have managed only 0.5 goals and have been punished for 3.0 goals conceded. The recent form suggests Carmarthen are still recovering from a defeat, whereas Ynyshir are coming off a draw.

The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 77.1% and Over 1.5 goals at 71.1%. These are the only picks presented, each with its own probability.

The pre-match favourite, Carmarthen Town, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick incorrect. The model had given the home side a 48% chance of victory, but the result was a stalemate, so the prediction was wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals hit its mark, with a 77.1% probability, while its choice of Over 1.5 missed, at 71.1%. Carmarthen’s recent form shows a mixed run of losses and wins, yet the team was still expected to win, whereas Ynyshir Albions, coming off a draw, managed to hold the visitors to a goalless result. The final score of 0-0 confirms the model’s under-3.5 prediction was accurate, but its home-win call was off.