The model favours an away win, with a 48% chance for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and 25% for Carroi to win, while a draw sits at 27%. The expected total is 2.7 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.9% probability. Carroi, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.71 goals scored and 2.0 conceded; Atlètic, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (94.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.8%), Away +2 handicap (89.8%), Home under 2.5 goals (89.7%), and Under 4.5 (85.6%). Carroi entered the match after a win, while Atlètic also came off a victory, hinting at a competitive encounter that may see a modest scoreline.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Carroi win
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win
48.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Carroi
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
2.00
0.87
1.40
0.73
2.60
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.50
0.71
2.00
0.14
3.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.79
1.17
1.17
1.25
2.25
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.10
1.81
0.88
1.36
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
1.81
1.14
1.71
0.78
1.89
vs Weaker (14)
2.36
0.29
2.33
0.22
2.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
Carroi goals ↓
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
9.3%
8.5%
4.6%
1.9%
1
6.0%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.1%
2
4.0%
6.5%
5.3%
2.9%
1.2%
3
1.5%
2.4%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carroi goals (down), columns = Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Carroi is 0.70 points worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.72 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Carroi is 0.69 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Carroi is 1.12 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Carroi or Draw
52.0%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers Carroi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi or Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
73.0%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers Carroi + Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
74.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers Draw + Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Carroi over/under 0.5
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5
Over
80.3%
Under
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5
Over
48.3%
Under
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5
Over
22.3%
Under
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 3.5
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Carroi, so a minus line means Carroi give that many goals of a start and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes receive them. At -1, Carroi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Carroi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Carroi)
Carroi -2
3.1%
Draw -2
7.1%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +2
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Carroi)
Carroi -1
10.2%
Draw -1
14.9%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +1
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Carroi)
Carroi +1
52.0%
Draw +1
22.1%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes -1
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Carroi)
Carroi +2
74.2%
Draw +2
15.0%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes -2
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Carroi
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.40
0.53
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.08
1.17
0.17
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.50
0.43
0.29
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.12
0.31
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.75
0.71
0.71
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
0.00
1.44
0.00
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Carroi
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.17
0.73
0.87
0.73
1.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.42
0.67
1.17
0.17
1.67
vs Similar (16)
1.00
1.06
0.86
0.71
1.11
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.69
0.56
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.44
1.06
0.43
1.00
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.29
0.89
0.22
1.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Carroi's squad is €1m less valuable than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's (€2m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Carroi and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Carroi and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Carroi and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →