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Carroi vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Carroi
Carroi
Vs
14%
21%
65%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inter Club d
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Carroi a 14% win probability against Inter Club d'Escaldes in the Andorra: 1a Divisió on 2026-05-16, with 21% for the draw and 65% for Inter Club d'Escaldes. The model estimates around 3.1 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 0-2 the most likely scoreline (10.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (83%).

Results analysis

Carroi finished 2-1 against Inter Club d'Escaldes (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 14% home win, 21% draw and 65% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (83%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Carroi win✓ Hit
13.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes win✗ Miss
65.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L03L00D00D02L14L00D05L12L03LH·ATL31/01H·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.772.000.801.400.732.60
vs Stronger (17)0.352.530.562.110.123.00
vs Similar (7)0.861.571.330.330.502.50
vs Weaker (6)1.831.001.000.332.671.67
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W10W21W23L02L11D40W53W31WH·FC 01/02A·ORD08/02A·PEN14/02H·PEN01/03A·FC 08/03H·ESP22/03A·UE 12/04H·ORD19/04A·RAN25/04H·ATL10/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.172.060.812.071.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.701.501.600.801.802.20
vs Weaker (20)2.251.002.270.822.221.22
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
Carroi goals ↓
Inter Club d'Escaldes goals →
01234
05.2%8.7%11%7.8%4.3%
13.1%9.8%9.8%7.2%4.0%
21.9%4.2%4.6%3.4%1.9%
30.6%1.3%1.4%1.1%0.6%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carroi goals (down), columns = Inter Club d'Escaldes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Carroi is 1.53 points worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.72 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Carroi is 1.36 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Carroi is 1.20 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D00D01L00D02L10W01LH·ATL31/01H·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.360.500.620.88
vs Stronger (14)0.071.210.141.000.001.43
vs Similar (9)0.330.330.250.000.400.60
vs Weaker (7)1.570.141.000.002.000.25
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D10W00D11D20W32W11DH·FC 01/02A·ORD08/02A·PEN14/02H·PEN01/03A·FC 08/03H·ESP22/03A·UE 12/04H·ORD19/04A·RAN25/04H·ATL10/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.430.750.311.070.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.500.200.400.600.60
vs Weaker (20)1.150.401.000.271.330.56
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (42)
€7m
USC (42)
€5m
PE (27)
€3m
ORD (45)
€3m
CAR (29)
€3m
ED (26)
€3m
SE (29)
€0m
PDL (36)
€0m
Carroi's squad is €4m less valuable than Inter Club d'Escaldes's (€3m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
CAR wins
0
Draws
5
ICD wins

Head-to-head

Carroi vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR2-0
02/11/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-1
05/05/24AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR6-0
17/12/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-1
22/10/23HCAR Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes1-6

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-0
19/04/26HCAR Vs Ranger's1-2
11/04/26AOrdino Vs CAR5-0
22/03/26HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-0
08/03/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR4-1
01/03/26HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
22/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs CAR0-0
15/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR0-0
08/02/26HCAR Vs Ranger's0-3
31/01/26HCAR Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1-4

Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HICD Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes3-1
25/04/26ARanger's Vs ICD3-5
19/04/26HICD Vs Ordino4-0
12/04/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ICD1-1
22/03/26HICD Vs Esperança d'Andorra0-2
08/03/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs ICD3-2
01/03/26HICD Vs Penya Encarnada2-1
14/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs ICD0-1
08/02/26AOrdino Vs ICD0-2
01/02/26HICD Vs FC Santa Coloma1-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.08
HomeLLLDL1.35
AwayDDLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%39%22%
AVG goals3.022.613.37
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %62%52%70%
Over 3.5 %36%30%41%
Scored1.161.131.19
Conceded1.861.482.19
BTTS40%43%37%
Clean Sheet26%26%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Inter Club d
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW2.16
HomeDWLWW2.44
AwayWWLDW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%74%52%
AVG goals3.403.193.65
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %62%59%65%
Over 3.5 %46%33%61%
Scored2.422.562.26
Conceded0.980.631.39
BTTS56%48%65%
Clean Sheet42%48%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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