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Carroi vs Penya Encarnada Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 18:30
Carroi
Carroi
Vs
34%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between Carroi and Penya Encarnada is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. The probability of a home win sits at 34 %, a draw at 30 %, and an away win at 36 %. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27 %. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.2 % chance. Carroi, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Penya Encarnada, on the road, averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1 %), Under 5.5 (95.9 %), Under 4.5 (89.4 %), Home under 2.5 goals (87.5 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (86.6 %). Carroi’s recent form shows a win after a streak of losses, while Penya Encarnada has returned from two consecutive defeats. The outcome remains uncertain, with the model’s pick pointing to a Penya Encarnada victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Carroi win
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win
36.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L00D00D02L14L00D05L12L03L21WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.000.871.400.732.60
vs Stronger (14)0.432.500.712.000.143.00
vs Similar (14)1.211.791.171.171.252.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D12L01L10W02L10W12L02LH·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05A·ATL17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.631.131.800.871.47
vs Stronger (15)0.532.070.572.140.502.00
vs Similar (14)1.431.291.621.501.171.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
Carroi goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
09.7%9.3%6.6%2.8%0.9%
19.0%14%8.1%3.4%1.1%
26.3%7.8%4.9%2.1%0.6%
32.5%3.2%2.0%0.8%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carroi goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Carroi is 0.28 points worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (0.72 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Carroi is 0.19 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Carroi is 0.49 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Carroi or Draw
64.0%
Avg Implied -
34%
30%
36%
covers Carroi + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi or Penya Encarnada
70.2%
Avg Implied -
34%
30%
36%
covers Carroi + Penya Encarnada
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Penya Encarnada
65.8%
Avg Implied -
34%
30%
36%
covers Draw + Penya Encarnada
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Carroi over/under 0.5
Over
70.4%
Under
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5
Over
34.3%
Under
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5
Over
35.7%
Under
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Carroi, so a minus line means Carroi give that many goals of a start and Penya Encarnada receive them. At -1, Carroi must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Carroi win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Carroi)
Carroi -2
5.0%
Draw -2
10.1%
Penya Encarnada +2
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Carroi)
Carroi -1
15.1%
Draw -1
19.1%
Penya Encarnada +1
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Carroi)
Carroi +1
64.0%
Draw +1
19.7%
Penya Encarnada -1
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Carroi)
Carroi +2
83.7%
Draw +2
10.7%
Penya Encarnada -2
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L00D02L10W01L11DH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.400.530.530.93
vs Stronger (12)0.081.170.171.000.001.33
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.430.290.890.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D00D10W01L00D01L02LH·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05A·ATL17/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.270.600.400.47
vs Stronger (15)0.200.800.140.710.250.88
vs Similar (14)0.500.290.380.500.670.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L13L00D03L02L02L10WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.730.870.731.47
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.671.170.171.67
vs Similar (16)1.001.060.860.711.111.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.500.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D12L01L00D01L10W11D00DH·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05A·ATL17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.100.871.200.471.00
vs Stronger (15)0.331.270.431.430.251.12
vs Similar (14)0.931.001.251.000.501.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.1%-------
Under 5.596.0%-------
Under 4.589.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals87.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.8%-------
Away +2 handicap84.9%-------
Home +2 handicap83.7%-------
Under 3.576.4%-------
Over 1.571.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals71.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals70.4%-------
Home or Away70.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Carroi's squad is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Carroi and Penya Encarnada have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Carroi and Penya Encarnada have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Carroi's defence is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
CAR wins
2
Draws
4
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Carroi vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs CAR0-0
18/01/26HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-0
19/10/25APenya Encarnada Vs CAR2-1
12/05/24HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-2
11/02/24APenya Encarnada Vs CAR4-1
11/11/23HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-2

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HCAR Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-1
26/04/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-0
19/04/26HCAR Vs Ranger's1-2
11/04/26AOrdino Vs CAR5-0
22/03/26HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-0
08/03/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR4-1
01/03/26HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
22/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs CAR0-0
15/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR0-0
08/02/26HCAR Vs Ranger's0-3

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-0
10/05/26HPE Vs Ranger's1-2
26/04/26AOrdino Vs PE0-1
18/04/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
13/04/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-1
21/03/26HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
01/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs Carroi0-0
14/02/26HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-1
07/02/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.14
HomeLLDLW1.42
AwayDDLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals3.002.583.38
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.821.422.19
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.14
HomeLDLLL1.25
AwayLLWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.702.582.81
Over 1.5 %64%62%65%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.681.501.85
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.00.0
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2110.00.0
-
4Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
5Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
7RangerRanger's00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
8OrdinoOrdino00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
9CarroiCarroi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.00.0
-
10Casa de PortugalCasa de Portugal00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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