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Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma Result & Analysis

Date: 28/01/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 0-5
Carroi
Carroi
Vs
12%
19%
69%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UE Santa Coloma
UE Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Carroi win✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma win✓ Hit
69.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-804L16L18L03L02L20W12L31W13L04LA·ORD08/10H·INT22/10A·ATL29/10A·UE 05/11H·PEN11/11A·ESP26/11A·FC 03/12A·ATL10/12A·INT17/12H·ESP20/01
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.772.431.711.751.81
vs Stronger (10)1.303.301.003.501.503.17
vs Similar (17)2.650.943.001.002.140.86
vs Weaker (3)1.331.33--1.331.33
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W21W51W30W12L21W21W21W60W00DA·ATL08/10H·ATL22/10A·PAS29/10H·CAR05/11H·FC 12/11A·PEN25/11A·ATL03/12A·FC 10/12H·ATL16/12H·INT21/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.971.880.761.541.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.311.001.600.900.831.17
vs Weaker (14)2.210.932.290.572.141.29
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.3%
Under 2.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.7%
Carroi goals ↓
UE Santa Coloma goals →
01234
04.3%7.6%10%8.2%5.0%
12.5%8.7%9.6%7.7%4.7%
21.5%3.7%4.5%3.6%2.2%
30.5%1.2%1.4%1.1%0.7%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Carroi goals (down), columns = UE Santa Coloma goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UE Santa Coloma
2.44
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.33
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.22
FC Santa Coloma
2.19
Penya Encarnada
1.63
Ranger's
1.50
Ordino
1.33
Pas de la Casa
0.67
Carroi
0.55
Esperança d'Andorra
0.52
Atlètic Amèrica
0.41
Carroi is 1.89 points worse than UE Santa Coloma in terms of average points per game (0.55 vs 2.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.63
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.44
FC Santa Coloma
2.37
UE Santa Coloma
2.11
Penya Encarnada
1.67
Ordino
1.22
Esperança d'Andorra
1.00
Pas de la Casa
0.89
Atlètic Amèrica
0.81
Carroi
0.69
Ranger's
0.50
Carroi is 1.42 goals worse than UE Santa Coloma in terms of goals scored per game (0.69 vs 2.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.44
Ranger's
0.50
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.59
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.78
FC Santa Coloma
0.85
Ordino
1.07
Penya Encarnada
1.26
Pas de la Casa
1.70
Carroi
2.69
Esperança d'Andorra
3.00
Atlètic Amèrica
3.30
Carroi is 2.25 goals worse than UE Santa Coloma in terms of goals conceded per game (2.69 vs 0.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L03L05L01L01L00D01L20W03L02LA·ORD08/10H·INT22/10A·ATL29/10A·UE 05/11H·PEN11/11A·ESP26/11A·FC 03/12A·ATL10/12A·INT17/12H·ESP20/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.330.171.330.221.33
vs Stronger (8)0.251.880.001.670.402.00
vs Similar (6)0.170.830.331.000.000.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W10W01L21W00D00D20W00DA·ATL08/10H·ATL22/10A·PAS29/10H·CAR05/11H·FC 12/11A·PEN25/11A·ATL03/12A·FC 10/12H·ATL16/12H·INT21/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.330.940.120.540.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.380.250.600.100.000.50
vs Weaker (14)1.210.431.430.141.000.71
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L13L13L02L01L20W11D11D10W02LA·ORD08/10H·INT22/10A·ATL29/10A·UE 05/11H·PEN11/11A·ESP26/11A·FC 03/12A·ATL10/12A·INT17/12H·ESP20/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.130.671.331.001.00
vs Stronger (8)0.881.501.001.670.801.40
vs Similar (6)0.830.830.331.001.330.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D30W20W11D00D21W21W40W00DA·ATL08/10H·ATL22/10A·PAS29/10H·CAR05/11H·FC 12/11A·PEN25/11A·ATL03/12A·FC 10/12H·ATL16/12H·INT21/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.630.940.651.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.940.751.000.800.830.67
vs Weaker (14)1.000.500.860.431.140.57
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
CAR wins
0
Draws
1
USC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma · H/A from CAR
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23AUE Santa Coloma Vs CAR3-0

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/01/24HCAR Vs Esperança d'Andorra0-4
17/12/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-1
10/12/23AAtlètic Amèrica Vs CAR1-3
03/12/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs CAR2-1
26/11/23AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR0-2
11/11/23HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-2
05/11/23AUE Santa Coloma Vs CAR3-0
29/10/23AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR8-1
22/10/23HCAR Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes1-6
08/10/23AOrdino Vs CAR4-0

UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/24HUSC Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-0
16/12/23HUSC Vs Atlètic Amèrica6-0
10/12/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs USC1-2
03/12/23AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs USC1-2
25/11/23APenya Encarnada Vs USC1-2
12/11/23HUSC Vs FC Santa Coloma1-2
05/11/23HUSC Vs Carroi3-0
29/10/23APas de la Casa Vs USC1-5
22/10/23HUSC Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2-1
08/10/23AAtlètic Amèrica Vs USC0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.62
HomeDLLLL1.68
AwayLWLWL1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%53%48%
AVG goals3.883.843.90
Over 1.5 %90%89%90%
Over 2.5 %72%63%81%
Over 3.5 %52%53%52%
Scored2.082.052.10
Conceded1.801.791.81
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet30%37%24%
Corners---
Cards---
UE Santa Coloma
UE Santa Coloma
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.77
HomeWWLWD1.61
AwayWWWWW1.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%39%60%
AVG goals2.632.432.85
Over 1.5 %77%74%80%
Over 2.5 %51%48%55%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.651.611.70
Conceded0.980.831.15
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet35%43%25%
Corners8.509.008.00
Cards8.008.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2766
74%
2.4
5712+45
2.6
78%
52%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.4
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2763
74%
2.3
6616+50
3.0
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.40.6
-
3Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2760
70%
2.2
7121+50
3.4
81%
59%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.60.8
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2759
70%
2.2
6423+41
3.2
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2112.40.9
-
5Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2744
48%
1.6
4534+11
2.9
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.71.3
-
6OrdinoOrdino2736
37%
1.3
3329+4
2.3
74%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa2718
11%
0.7
2446-22
2.6
74%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.7
-
8CarroiCarroi2916
14%
0.6
2078-58
3.4
86%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.72.7
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2714
15%
0.5
2781-54
4.0
93%
70%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.03.0
-
10Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica2711
11%
0.4
2289-67
4.1
85%
74%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.3
-
11RangerRanger's23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.50.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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