Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.08
0.54
1.47
0.59
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (11)
1.82
0.55
1.25
0.50
2.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aluminij
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.00
0.60
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.85
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.90
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.00
0.77
1.53
0.41
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.78
0.75
1.25
1.50
0.40
vs Weaker (11)
1.45
0.27
1.25
0.00
1.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aluminij
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
0.87
0.73
1.13
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.60
0.90
0.80
1.20
0.40
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.22
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
Celje
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franko KovaΔeviΔ50%
Armandas KuΔys25%
Svit SeΕ‘lar25%
Matej Poplatnik20%
Mario KvesiΔ17%
Rudi PoΕΎeg VancaΕ‘17%
Nikita Iosifov17%
Ε½an KarniΔnik12%
Danijel Ε turm12%
Ivica VidoviΔ12%
Darko Hrka10%
Milot Avdyli8%
Vitaliy Lisakovich0%
Matija Boben0%
Damjan VukliΕ‘eviΔ0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ivan ΔaluΕ‘iΔ0%
Εukasz Bejger0%
Ε½an-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus TutyΕ‘kinas0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaliy Lisakovich50%
Darko Hrka40%
Matija Boben33%
Ivan ΔaluΕ‘iΔ33%
Franko KovaΔeviΔ25%
Matej Poplatnik20%
Mario KvesiΔ17%
Damjan VukliΕ‘eviΔ17%
Juanjo Nieto17%
Ε½an KarniΔnik12%
Papa Daniel12%
Εukasz Bejger9%
Ε½an-Luk Leban9%
Armandas KuΔys0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Rudi PoΕΎeg VancaΕ‘0%
Svit SeΕ‘lar0%
Danijel Ε turm0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Artemijus TutyΕ‘kinas0%
Ivica VidoviΔ0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitaliy Lisakovich25%
Armandas KuΔys25%
Svit SeΕ‘lar25%
Mario KvesiΔ17%
Rudi PoΕΎeg VancaΕ‘17%
Milot Avdyli17%
Darko Hrka10%
Juanjo Nieto8%
Nikita Iosifov8%
Franko KovaΔeviΔ0%
Matija Boben0%
Matej Poplatnik0%
Damjan VukliΕ‘eviΔ0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Ε½an KarniΔnik0%
Ivan ΔaluΕ‘iΔ0%
Danijel Ε turm0%
Εukasz Bejger0%
Ε½an-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus TutyΕ‘kinas0%
Ivica VidoviΔ0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franko KovaΔeviΔ50%
Armandas KuΔys25%
Mario KvesiΔ17%
Ivica VidoviΔ12%
Nikita Iosifov8%
Milot Avdyli8%
Vitaliy Lisakovich0%
Matija Boben0%
Matej Poplatnik0%
Damjan VukliΕ‘eviΔ0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Rudi PoΕΎeg VancaΕ‘0%
Ε½an KarniΔnik0%
Svit SeΕ‘lar0%
Darko Hrka0%
Ivan ΔaluΕ‘iΔ0%
Danijel Ε turm0%
Εukasz Bejger0%
Ε½an-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus TutyΕ‘kinas0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Celje's squad is €10m more valuable than Aluminij's (€14m vs €4m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Celje's attack is €5m more valuable than Aluminij's (€7m vs €2m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Celje and Aluminij have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Celje's defence is €4m more valuable than Aluminij's (€6m vs €2m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →