Celje are tipped to edge Koper to win, a 45% chance that outweighs the 26% draw and 28% away win odds. The model expects 2.9 goals in total, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.4% chance. Celje, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Koper, on the road, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.0% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.0% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.0% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.4% with a 5% edge) and Under 5.5 (92.4% with a 5% edge). Celje’s recent form shows a dip after a 1-4 loss to Brinje-Grosuplje, while Koper come into the match on a two-game winning streak, beating Aluminij 1-0.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Celje win
45.2%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 1.97
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.98
Dafabet
1.97
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.62
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Pinnacle
3.73
Dafabet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Koper win
28.3%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.19
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.47
1xBet
3.32
Dafabet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Celje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.27
2.13
1.20
1.87
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
0.00
4.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.53
1.20
1.44
0.78
1.67
1.83
vs Weaker (13)
2.69
1.23
3.80
1.40
2.00
1.12
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Koper
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.07
2.07
1.07
1.69
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.74
1.16
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.30
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.91
2.20
1.20
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.0%
@ 1.15+0.2%
Under 1.5
20.0%
@ 4.55-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
Under
BetVictor
4.80
Pinnacle
4.67
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.9%
@ 1.53-4.5%
Under 2.5
44.1%
@ 2.34+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Under
Betfair
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.5%
@ 2.31-6.6%
Under 3.5
66.5%
@ 1.55+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.29
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Both teams to score
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.47-3.2%
No
40.7%
@ 2.45+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
No
Betano
2.50
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.47
BetVictor
2.45
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.95+6.1%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.90+3.8%
1-0
7.8%@ 9.53+3.2%
2-0
7.3%@ 11.06+3.4%
1-2
7.2%@ 10.34+2.9%
0-0
6.5%@ 13.47+3.3%
2-2
5.9%@ 10.50+1.7%
0-1
5.7%@ 12.38+2.2%
Celje goals ↓
Koper goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
5.7%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.8%
12%
7.2%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.3%
9.3%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
4.0%
5.1%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celje goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Celje is 0.12 points better than Koper in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Celje is 0.67 goals better than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Celje is 0.62 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Celje
For 4.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Koper
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Celje
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
13.0
8.0
1.4
1.7
1.0
27.5
27.4
27.7
vs Stronger (3)
12.7
13.0
12.0
4.3
5.5
2.0
24.3
25.0
23.0
vs Similar (23)
9.8
13.0
7.2
2.1
2.0
2.2
29.2
30.0
28.6
vs Weaker (24)
13.0
13.0
-
0.3
0.7
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
% over line
54%
71%
33%
24%
26%
22%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
29%
67%
76%
74%
78%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Koper
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.9
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.2%
@ 1.72+10.4%
Under 9.5
35.8%
@ 2.01-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.0%
Under 3.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.6%
Under 21.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Celje or Draw
71.7%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.5%
45%
26%
28%
covers Celje + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Celje or Koper
73.6%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.22
Edge
-1.6%
45%
26%
28%
covers Celje + Koper
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Koper
54.8%
Avg Implied 53.7% · @ 1.71
Edge
+1.1%
45%
26%
28%
covers Draw + Koper
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
Betfair
1.73
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Celje over/under 0.5
Over
80.8%
@ 1.14-0.3%
Under
19.2%
@ 4.91+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.85
Celje over/under 1.5
Over
49.2%
@ 1.73-4.3%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.99+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Celje over/under 2.5
Over
23.0%
@ 3.25-5.4%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.29+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Celje over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
@ 6.88-4.9%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.07+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
1xBet
6.30
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Koper over/under 0.5
Over
71.9%
@ 1.27-0.9%
Under
28.1%
@ 3.40+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Pinnacle
3.43
Koper over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
@ 2.28-4.2%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.55+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
BetVictor
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
10Bet
2.30
Under
Unibet
1.64
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Koper over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
@ 5.14-4.3%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.12+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Koper over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
@ 9.75-5.6%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Celje, so a minus line means Celje give that many goals of a start and Koper receive them. At -1, Celje must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Celje win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Celje)
Celje -2
10.2%
@ 6.58-3.3%
Draw -2
14.0%
@ 5.75-1.5%
Koper +2
75.8%
@ 1.25+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Handicap -1 (Celje)
Celje -1
24.2%
@ 3.40-1.1%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 3.79-1.8%
Koper +1
54.8%
@ 1.66+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.40
Away
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.71
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.55
Handicap +1 (Celje)
Celje +1
71.7%
@ 1.29+4.9%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.74-2.3%
Koper -1
12.5%
@ 5.67-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
3.90
Away
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Celje)
Celje +2
87.5%
@ 1.09+5.5%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 8.50-2.2%
Koper -2
4.2%
@ 12.00-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.73
0.87
0.87
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.67
0.78
0.56
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (13)
1.38
0.69
1.20
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Koper
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.93
0.36
0.88
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.42
1.11
0.22
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.45
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.25+0.5%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.49-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.70
William Hil
3.70
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.3%
@ 2.22-3.3%
Under 1.5
61.7%
@ 1.58+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Under
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.81-4.9%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.14+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.90
William Hil
4.80
Betano
4.70
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.3%
@ 1.68-0.9%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.06+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Celje over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.6%
@ 4.43-3.3%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.17+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Celje over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.2%
@ 10.50-3.7%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Koper over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.2%
@ 2.03-3.3%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.69+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.67
Koper over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.2%
@ 6.25-4.5%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.08+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Koper over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 16.88-3.7%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
1.27
0.33
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.22
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
0.54
2.60
0.40
0.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Koper
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
1.14
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
0.89
0.78
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.45
1.60
0.60
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.15-1.5%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.79+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.75-4.3%
Under 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.96+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 3.26-6.9%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.29+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.6%
@ 1.46-3.7%
Under
40.4%
@ 2.51+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Celje over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.0%
@ 3.15-7.3%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.30+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Celje over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.4%
@ 7.80-6.5%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.05+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
10Bet
8.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Koper over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.0%
@ 1.73-5.4%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.99+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Koper over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.7%
@ 4.54-4.6%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.16+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Koper over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
@ 11.00-5.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+5.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.5%
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+5.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
+4.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+4.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+4.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.14
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+4.9%
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
+4.6%
Under 4.5
82.8%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+6.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.4%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
+3.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
80.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-0.3%
Over 1.5
80.0%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
+0.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
-1.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.29
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
+6.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.30
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
+7.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.0%
1.29
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
+5.4%
Away +2 handicap
75.8%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+4.8%
Over 8.5 corners
75.4%
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+9.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.0%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+0.5%
Home or Away
73.6%
1.22
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-1.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
-0.9%
Home or Draw
71.7%
1.29
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+0.5%
Home +1 handicap
71.7%
1.29
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
-
+4.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Celje · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franko Kovačević50%
Armandas Kučys25%
Svit Sešlar25%
Matej Poplatnik20%
Mario Kvesić17%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš17%
Nikita Iosifov17%
Žan Karničnik12%
Danijel Šturm12%
Ivica Vidović12%
Darko Hrka10%
Milot Avdyli8%
Vitaliy Lisakovich0%
Matija Boben0%
Damjan Vuklišević0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ivan Ćalušić0%
Łukasz Bejger0%
Žan-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaliy Lisakovich50%
Darko Hrka40%
Matija Boben33%
Ivan Ćalušić33%
Franko Kovačević25%
Matej Poplatnik20%
Mario Kvesić17%
Damjan Vuklišević17%
Juanjo Nieto17%
Žan Karničnik12%
Papa Daniel12%
Łukasz Bejger9%
Žan-Luk Leban9%
Armandas Kučys0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš0%
Svit Sešlar0%
Danijel Šturm0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Ivica Vidović0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitaliy Lisakovich25%
Armandas Kučys25%
Svit Sešlar25%
Mario Kvesić17%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš17%
Milot Avdyli17%
Darko Hrka10%
Juanjo Nieto8%
Nikita Iosifov8%
Franko Kovačević0%
Matija Boben0%
Matej Poplatnik0%
Damjan Vuklišević0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Žan Karničnik0%
Ivan Ćalušić0%
Danijel Šturm0%
Łukasz Bejger0%
Žan-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Ivica Vidović0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franko Kovačević50%
Armandas Kučys25%
Mario Kvesić17%
Ivica Vidović12%
Nikita Iosifov8%
Milot Avdyli8%
Vitaliy Lisakovich0%
Matija Boben0%
Matej Poplatnik0%
Damjan Vuklišević0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš0%
Žan Karničnik0%
Svit Sešlar0%
Darko Hrka0%
Ivan Ćalušić0%
Danijel Šturm0%
Łukasz Bejger0%
Žan-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus Tutyškinas0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Celje's squad is €6m more valuable than Koper's (€14m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Celje's attack is €4m more valuable than Koper's (€7m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Celje and Koper have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Celje's defence is €3m more valuable than Koper's (€6m vs €3m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →